Documents / FOIA release
This Joint Committee Print, dated December 8, 1982, gathers studies that the Central Intelligence Agency's Directorate of Intelligence prepared for the Joint Economic Committee of the US Congress. It gives estimates of Soviet gross national product for 1950 to 1980, with indexes of industrial production, agricultural production and consumption, and explains the methods and data behind them. The foreword says official Soviet statistics inflate growth and that the CIA measures offer a more accurate picture. The document contains no UFO material.
“Cooper”25 pages
Approved for Release: 2019/07/19 C05210421 rubles), privately provided services (0.929 billion rubles), and other services (0.087 billion rubles). The state-provided everyday services are from Narkhoz 1972, p. 621. The Narkhoz data must be adjusted to exclude sales of housing repair and construction and sales to enterprises of all types of services. They also must be adjusted to include the value of materials used in repair and tailoring of clothing and repair of knitwear, which was deducted from the retail sales of goods to households for consumption (item 1, above). According to data published by Dmitriev (Metodologicheskiye osnovy prognozir- ovaniya sprosa na bytovyye uslugi, p. 98), 7.6 percent of the total sales reported in the Narkhoz (307.4 million rubles) represent purchases by enterprises. This amount presumably includes sales to enterprises of housing construction and repair services, estimated above at 5 percent of the sales of these services. In order to avoid dou- ble counting these sales, only 95 percent of the published value of housing construction and repair value is deducted. Similarly, the purchases of clothing and knitted materials must be added, net of the portion sold to enterprises. The latter is estimated at 4 percent of reported sales. Total sales of state-provided everyday services to the population are estimated as follows: Million Rubles reported sales of everyday services 4,044.4 oLess: 7 i Enterprise purchasesof everyday services 307.4 95 percent of sales of housing construction and 375.0 repa_ir services Plus: 96 percent of materials used in tailoring and 1,003.3 repair of clothing _I _96 percent of materials used in repair of knitwear 1 15.4 _iEquals: Sales of everyday services to households 4,480.7 Household expenditures on privately provided services were estimat- ed in table D-1, item 4,a, (2),(b). Expenditures on other services are from CIA, GNP I970, p. 42. (5) Recreation expenditures (2.547 billion rubles) have been reduced by 0.100 billion rubles from the value derived in CIA, GNP 1970, p. 42 in order to account for business travel expenses on hotel accommodations. This deduction is an arbitrary value. Household expenditures on recreation are computed as follows: Billion Rubles Bnal household expenditures on recreation _ 2.547 1.500 0.447 Entertainment _*Passes to resorts and the_1_i_k§___ Hotelsgrimotels, and the like V _0.062 0.538Private room rentals (6) Education expenditures by households consist of expenditures for private services (0.470 billion rubles) and fees for public education (0.971 billion rubles). The former is derived in table D-1, item 4,a,(2), (d) and the later in CIA, GNP 1970, pp. 42-43. 133 93-89? 1) — 82 - 10 (7) Health expenditures by households consist of expenditures for private services (0.250 billion rubles) and fees paid by parents for children‘s nursery care (0.095 billion rubles). The former is derived I111 table D-1, item 4.a,(2),(e) and the latter in CIA. GNP 1970, p. 43. 3. Consumption in kind a. Farm consumption in kind. See table D-1, item 2,c,(1). (1) Food is from CIA, GNP I970, p. 61. (.2) Soft goods is from CIA, GNP I970, pp. 61-62. b. Military subsistence. See table D-1, item 3,b. (1) Food is a CIA estimate. . (.2) Soft goods is a CIA estimate. 4. Total outlaysfor consumption. This was derived as the sum of items 1, 2. and 3. 5. Investment a.. Private housing construction. See Narkhoz I972, p. 486. b. Farm investment in kind. See table D-1, item 2,c.(2). 6. Total outlaysfor consumption and investment. This was derived as the sum of items 4 and 5. 7. Transfer outlays a. Net savings. This is from CIA, GNP I970, p. 43. b. Direct taxes. This is from CIA, GNP I970, p. 43. cw. Other payments to the state. This item (2.703 billion rubles) is estimated as the sum of: (1) trade union and other dues (2.066 billion rubles), (2) net lottery ticket purchases (0.254 billion rubles), (3) taxes on land and buildings owned by individuals and coopera- tives (0.211 billion rubles), (4) collective-farm-market fees paid by households (0.050 billion rubles), and (5) other state budget revenue from the population (0.122 billion rubles). Trade union and other dues are now treated as transfer outlays because they are used to finance various social-cultural and administrative activities that are included in public-sector outlays. They are estimated as in CIA, GNP I970, pp. 40-41, except for Communist Party dues. These dues (0.390 billion rubles) are derived on the basis of: (1) estimated total membership in 1970 of 14,192,174; the average of member- ship figures for 1 January 1970 and 1 January 1971 given in Partiinaya zhizn’, No. 14, 1973, pp. 9-10; (2) an estimated average annual wage of members of 1830 rubles—25 percent above the level for all state employees (Narkhoz I972, p. 516); and (3) a dues rate of 1.5 percent of wages, the applicable rate given in Ustav kommunisticheskoy partly sovetskogo soyuza, Moscow, Politizdat, 1964, p. 385. Net lottery ticket purchases are from CIA, GNP I970, p. 43. Taxes on land and buildings owned by individuals and cooperatives are from Gosb_vudzhet I972, p. 77. Collective-farm- market fees paid by households are from CIA, GNP I970, pp. 23- 24. Other state budget revenue from the population is derived as the difference between total state budget revenues from the population (l3.844 billion rubles—Gosbyudzhet I972, p. 12), and the sum of: (1) direct taxes from the population (12.737 billion rub1es—1bid), (2) net bond purchases (0.470 billion rubles—1bid), (3) net lottery ticket purchases (0.254 billion rubles—Ibid), (4) collective-farm-market fees paid by households (0.050 billion rubleswabove), and (5) taxes on land and buildings owned by individuals and cooperatives (0.21 1 billion rubles—above). 8. Total outlays. This was derived as the sum of items 6 and 7. Approved for Release: 2019/07/19 C05210421
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FOIA release, from the cia-readingroom collection. The PDF is mirrored here; the original link is above. 399 pages are in the text index: search them above, or from the library's search.