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USSR: Measures of Economic Growth and Development, 1950-80

Central Intelligence Agency · 1982-12-08 · 399 pages · text from the file's own layer

This Joint Committee Print, dated December 8, 1982, gathers studies that the Central Intelligence Agency's Directorate of Intelligence prepared for the Joint Economic Committee of the US Congress. It gives estimates of Soviet gross national product for 1950 to 1980, with indexes of industrial production, agricultural production and consumption, and explains the methods and data behind them. The foreword says official Soviet statistics inflate growth and that the CIA measures offer a more accurate picture. The document contains no UFO material.

  • p. 36 …In the USSR the collective farm, or kolkhoz, is part state and part cooperative. The land…
  • p. 47 …0.66e_ Consumer cooperatives 1.283 i Retained profits of consumer cooperatives 0.821 Tax on…
  • p. 50 …Hill, The Measurement of Real Product, The Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development, Paris, 1971; R…
  • p. 103 …Net profits of consumer cooperatives were included with retail trade and public dining. Subsidies. This item…
  • p. 118 …and economic admin- istration, administrative organs of cooperative and social organizations,” for which employment and oth…
  • p. 119 …Social organi- zations include the administrative organs of the All- Union Society of Consumer Cooperatives, the…
  • p. 130 …The profits distributed to consumer cooperative members are now considered to be a transfer receipt rather…
  • p. 133 …Profits distributed to consumer cooperative members 0.027 9. Total income 217.206 Sources to this…
  • p. 134 …Profits distributed to consumer cooperative members. See CIA, GNP I970, p. 23. 9. Total income. This…
  • p. 135 …State, cooperative, and commission sales 141.096 (1)Fo0d 84.104 (2) Soft goods 42.734…
  • p. 137 …Charges paid by members of housing 0.075 cooperatives for maintenance lmputed gross rent on urban…
  • p. 138 …Taxes on land and buildings owned by individuals and cooperatives are from Gosb_vudzhet I972, p…
  • p. 139 …Retained profits of consumer cooperatives 0.821 d. Retained profits of other organizations 0.321 2…
  • p. 142 …Profits distributed to consumer 0.027 cooperative members 8.’C;solidate_d total outlays 215.841…
  • p. 147 …Consumer cooperatives 1.283 (1) Retained profits of consumer cooperatives 0.821 (2) Tax on income…
  • p. 160 …532) plus a share of the amortization deductions of consumer cooperatives. Altough consumer cooperatives are primarily…
  • p. 162 …532) and amortization deductions of consumer cooperatives on industrial capital (0.083 billion ru~ bles-—see…
  • p. 164 …retained profits and income taxes of consumer cooperatives and other organizations, respectively. 7. Total pra/its…
  • p. 257 …Other state purchasing orga- nizations are the Central Union of Consumer Cooper- atives, and the Ministries…
  • p. 286 …Review of I978 and Outlook for I97 9, Economics, Statistics, and Cooperatives Service, April 1979, p…
  • p. 330 …exceeded the prices paid in state and cooperative retail outlets by an average of ~59 percent…
  • p. 331 …index of retail prices in state and cooperative outlets. The index which shows almost no change…
  • p. 332 …In coverage, it differs from the CIA index of consumption, mainly by inclusion of cooperative housing…
  • p. 335 …purchases of these items in state and cooperative retail outlets and in collective farm markets, including…
  • p. 339 …The index implicitly covers all goods purchased in state and cooperative retail out- lets, except those…
Approved for Release: 2019/07/19 C05210421
rubles), privately provided services (0.929 billion rubles), and other
services (0.087 billion rubles). The state-provided everyday services
are from Narkhoz 1972, p. 621. The Narkhoz data must be adjusted
to exclude sales of housing repair and construction and sales to
enterprises of all types of services. They also must be adjusted to
include the value of materials used in repair and tailoring of clothing
and repair of knitwear, which was deducted from the retail sales of
goods to households for consumption (item 1, above). According to
data published by Dmitriev (Metodologicheskiye osnovy prognozir-
ovaniya sprosa na bytovyye uslugi, p. 98), 7.6 percent of the total
sales reported in the Narkhoz (307.4 million rubles) represent
purchases by enterprises. This amount presumably includes sales to
enterprises of housing construction and repair services, estimated
above at 5 percent of the sales of these services. In order to avoid dou-
ble counting these sales, only 95 percent of the published value of
housing construction and repair value is deducted. Similarly, the
purchases of clothing and knitted materials must be added, net of the
portion sold to enterprises. The latter is estimated at 4 percent of
reported sales. Total sales of state-provided everyday services to the
population are estimated as follows:
Million Rubles
reported sales of everyday services 4,044.4
oLess:
7 i Enterprise purchasesof everyday services 307.4
95 percent of sales of housing construction and 375.0
repa_ir services
Plus:
96 percent of materials used in tailoring and 1,003.3
repair of clothing _I
_96 percent of materials used in repair of knitwear 1 15.4
_iEquals:
Sales of everyday services to households 4,480.7
Household expenditures on privately provided services were estimat-
ed in table D-1, item 4,a, (2),(b). Expenditures on other services are
from CIA, GNP I970, p. 42.
(5) Recreation expenditures (2.547 billion rubles) have been reduced
by 0.100 billion rubles from the value derived in CIA, GNP 1970, p.
42 in order to account for business travel expenses on hotel
accommodations. This deduction is an arbitrary value. Household
expenditures on recreation are computed as follows:
Billion Rubles
Bnal household expenditures on recreation _ 2.547
1.500
0.447
Entertainment
_*Passes to resorts and the_1_i_k§___
Hotelsgrimotels, and the like V
_0.062
0.538Private room rentals
(6) Education expenditures by households consist of expenditures for
private services (0.470 billion rubles) and fees for public education
(0.971 billion rubles). The former is derived in table D-1, item 4,a,(2),
(d) and the later in CIA, GNP 1970, pp. 42-43.
133
93-89? 1) — 82 - 10
(7) Health expenditures by households consist of expenditures for
private services (0.250 billion rubles) and fees paid by parents for
children‘s nursery care (0.095 billion rubles). The former is derived
I111 table D-1, item 4.a,(2),(e) and the latter in CIA. GNP 1970, p. 43.
3. Consumption in kind
a. Farm consumption in kind. See table D-1, item 2,c,(1).
(1) Food is from CIA, GNP I970, p. 61.
(.2) Soft goods is from CIA, GNP I970, pp. 61-62.
b. Military subsistence. See table D-1, item 3,b.
(1) Food is a CIA estimate. .
(.2) Soft goods is a CIA estimate.
4. Total outlaysfor consumption. This was derived as the sum of
items 1, 2. and 3.
5. Investment
a.. Private housing construction. See Narkhoz I972, p. 486.
b. Farm investment in kind. See table D-1, item 2,c.(2).
6. Total outlaysfor consumption and investment. This was derived
as the sum of items 4 and 5.
7. Transfer outlays
a. Net savings. This is from CIA, GNP I970, p. 43.
b. Direct taxes. This is from CIA, GNP I970, p. 43.
cw. Other payments to the state. This item (2.703 billion rubles) is
estimated as the sum of: (1) trade union and other dues (2.066
billion rubles), (2) net lottery ticket purchases (0.254 billion rubles),
(3) taxes on land and buildings owned by individuals and coopera-
tives (0.211 billion rubles), (4) collective-farm-market fees paid by
households (0.050 billion rubles), and (5) other state budget revenue
from the population (0.122 billion rubles). Trade union and other
dues are now treated as transfer outlays because they are used to
finance various social-cultural and administrative activities that are
included in public-sector outlays. They are estimated as in CIA,
GNP I970, pp. 40-41, except for Communist Party dues. These
dues (0.390 billion rubles) are derived on the basis of: (1) estimated
total membership in 1970 of 14,192,174; the average of member-
ship figures for 1 January 1970 and 1 January 1971 given in
Partiinaya zhizn’, No. 14, 1973, pp. 9-10; (2) an estimated average
annual wage of members of 1830 rubles—25 percent above the
level for all state employees (Narkhoz I972, p. 516); and (3) a dues
rate of 1.5 percent of wages, the applicable rate given in Ustav
kommunisticheskoy partly sovetskogo soyuza, Moscow, Politizdat,
1964, p. 385. Net lottery ticket purchases are from CIA, GNP
I970, p. 43. Taxes on land and buildings owned by individuals and
cooperatives are from Gosb_vudzhet I972, p. 77. Collective-farm-
market fees paid by households are from CIA, GNP I970, pp. 23-
24. Other state budget revenue from the population is derived as the
difference between total state budget revenues from the population
(l3.844 billion rubles—Gosbyudzhet I972, p. 12), and the sum of:
(1) direct taxes from the population (12.737 billion rub1es—1bid), (2)
net bond purchases (0.470 billion rubles—1bid), (3) net lottery ticket
purchases (0.254 billion rubles—Ibid), (4) collective-farm-market
fees paid by households (0.050 billion rubleswabove), and (5) taxes
on land and buildings owned by individuals and cooperatives (0.21 1
billion rubles—above).
8. Total outlays. This was derived as the sum of items 6 and 7.
Approved for Release: 2019/07/19 C05210421

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FOIA release, from the cia-readingroom collection. The PDF is mirrored here; the original link is above. 399 pages are in the text index: search them above, or from the library's search.