Documents / FOIA release

USSR: Measures of Economic Growth and Development, 1950-80

Central Intelligence Agency · 1982-12-08 · 399 pages · text from the file's own layer

This Joint Committee Print, dated December 8, 1982, gathers studies that the Central Intelligence Agency's Directorate of Intelligence prepared for the Joint Economic Committee of the US Congress. It gives estimates of Soviet gross national product for 1950 to 1980, with indexes of industrial production, agricultural production and consumption, and explains the methods and data behind them. The foreword says official Soviet statistics inflate growth and that the CIA measures offer a more accurate picture. The document contains no UFO material.

  • p. 4 …The volume contains a series of tables estimating the Soviet gross national product and its components…
  • p. 5 …quantified estimates of the value of Soviet gross national product (GNP), its rate of growth, its…
  • p. 6 …The Soviet indices of industrial and agricultural production are based on gross output rather than value…
  • p. 7 …For example, data on the amount of waste included in the gross output data of agricultural…
  • p. 8 …The measure shown represents “net output,” or gross output less products used by agriculture (seed and…
  • p. 9 …compendium on the Soviet eeonomV- “The Real Gross National Product of the U.S.S.R…
  • p. 10 …Contributions of Rush V. Greenslade ________ _________________-________ ____ __ 1x I. Gross National Product of the USSR, 1950—80.-______________________________ 3…
  • p. 12 …Release: 2019/07/19 C05210421 Part I. GROSS NATIONAL PRODUCT OF THE USSR, 1950-80 By…
  • p. 14 …Turnover Taxes as a Share of Gross Output in Industry, 1972 6. Subsidies on Agricultural Products…
  • p. 15 …2019/07/19 C05210421 Gross National Product of the Soviet Union in Established Prices, 39 by…
  • p. 16 …of Value Added in Agriculture B-8. Gross Output, Total Material Purchases, and Value Added in…
  • p. 17 …I Soviet Gross National Product in Established Priceskby End Use, I if I970 D-6. I…
  • p. 18 …An International Comparison, 1981 Gross National Product of the USSR: An International Comparison, 1982 Soviet Economic…
  • p. 19 …2019/07/19 C05210421 Gross National Product of the USSR, 1950-80 Introduction This paper presents…
  • p. 20 …Lee, “USSR Gross National Product in Established Prices, 1955-1975,” Jahrbuch der Wirtsc/la/I Osteuropas…
  • p. 27 …GNP for the Soviet Union and of gross domestic product (GDP) for selected OECD countries.” For…
  • p. 34 …Lee, “USSR Gross National Product," p. 413; and Becker, 1969, p. 128. difference between the growth…
  • p. 35 …conducted on a net rather than a gross basis. The enterprise is expected to be managed…
  • p. 41 …the business sector and are included in gross private business investment. The second US account shows…
  • p. 43 …On the other hand, the tax amounts to 30 percent of the gross output of the…
  • p. 44 …Turnover taxes were 30 and 56 percent of the gross outputs of the sugar and other…
  • p. 45 …The capital stock data used in this study are gross of depreciation. Approved for Release: 2019…
  • p. 47 …2019/07/19 C05210421 Table 8 Billion Rubles Gross National Product of the Soviet Union ' in…
  • p. 48 …The row and column sums are determined as each sector’s gross output less, respec- tively…
  • p. 49 …2019/07/19 C05210421 Table 10 Percent 1970 Soviet Gross National Product by End Use W…
  • p. 52 …Therefore, value added is computed as a residual—the difference between gross output and current material…
  • p. 53 …Therefore, if in- dexes of gross output and current inputs are both available, the gross output…
  • p. 56 …Each subbranch index measures the gross output of an I-O sector by summing the physical…
  • p. 57 …The material-input index is less desirable than a double deflation or gross output index, but…
  • p. 58 …2019/07/19 C05210421 Appendix A ' Soviet Gross National Product, 1950-80 This appendix presents the…
  • p. 59 …5 0.5 0.6 0.6 Gross national product 133.6 137.7 145.8…
  • p. 60 …4 ._ §l§5QfI.i2j§§5 1.0 Gross national product 232.3 245.3 254.5…
  • p. 61 …4 1.4 1.4 1.4 Gross national product 383.3 398.2 405.7…
  • p. 62 …0 5.2 3.7 2.7___ Gross national product 5.5 5.9 5.0…
  • p. 63 …8 7.6 5.8 4.0 Gross national product 3.1 5.9 5.2…
  • p. 64 …5.1 4.; 2.9 7.7“ ' Gross national product 5.6 3.8 -1.1…
  • p. 65 …2 3.4 0.8 1 4 Gross national product 3.9 1.9 7.3…
  • p. 66 …9 0.3 2.5 0.3 Gross national product 100.0 100.0 100.0…
  • p. 67 …3 0.3 0.3 0.3 Gross national product 100.0 100.0 100.0…
  • p. 68 …3 0.3 0.3 0.3 Gross national product 100.0 100.0 100.0…
  • p. 69 …3 51.2 55.1 58.3 _ Gross national product 34.9 35.9 38.0…
  • p. 71 …7 134.1 135.2 137.1 Gross national product 100.0 103.9 105.9…
  • p. 72 …27.5 24.. ?6i5j_; Gross national product 133.6 137.7 145.8 153.4 160…
  • p. 73 …1 43.7 45.9 s9.7_‘ Gross national product 232.3 245.3 254.5…
  • p. 75 …4.5 1.1 5.9 -3.1 Gross national product 5.5 5.9 5…
  • p. 76 …0 0.0 0.0 0.0 Gross national product 3.1 5.9 5.2…
  • p. 77 …0 0.0 0.0 0.0 Gross national product 5.6 3.8 -1.1…
  • p. 78 …g 4.3 0.0 0.0 Gross national product 3.9 1.9 7.3…
  • p. 79 …1 28.1 29.1 30.2 Gross national product 741.7 752.2 784.0…
  • p. 80 …9 36.6 31.8 Ww3§’.98W Gross national product 1,083.8 1,124.6…
  • p. 81 …1 46.1 46.9 46.8 Gross national product 1,578.5 1,624.6…
  • p. 82 …3.2 7* 1.4 1.3 Gross national product 3.7 4.0 3.5…
  • p. 83 …1 14.0 13.8 13.5 Gross national product 100.0 100.0 100.0…
  • p. 84 …8 13.4 13.3 7 17717 Gross national product 100.0 100.0 100.0…
  • p. 85 …4 9.6 8.1 6.9 Gross national product 100.0 100.0 100.0…
  • p. 86 …31.7 65.3______s.9 g Gross national product 34.9 35.9 38.0…
  • p. 87 …9 98.2 103.1 89.1 Gross national product 60.6 64.0 66.4…
  • p. 88 …8 110.4 93.7 81.8 Gross national product 100.0 103.9 105.9…
  • p. 89 …Subtracting the deflated material pur- chases from the deflated gross output produces value added in constant…
  • p. 90 …The ratio of material inputs (gross output less NMP) to gross output declined slowly in this…
Approved for Release: 2019/07/19 C05210421
Table D-2 (Continued)
Sources ta this table (Continued):
Total sales of food include the entire food category in the
enumeration of retail sales by type of good (86168 billion rubles-
Narkhoz I972, p. 584) plus sales of tobacco goods (2.780 billion
rubles-—1bid. p. 585).
Total identified sales of soft goods are derived from the Narkhaz
data (lbid. PD. 584-585) as follows:
Billion Rubles
Total retail sales of soft goods 45.092
Cloth 5.026
Clothing 15.278
Knitwear 8.567
Shoes 7.693
Laundry soap 0.262
Synthetic cleaning materials 0.435
Toilet soap and perfumes 1.176
Haberdashery 3.638
Matches 0.137
Kerosene 0.131
Notebooks and paper 1.015
Publications 1.734
Total identified sales of durables are derived from the Narkhoz data
(lbid, p. S85) as follows:
Billion Rubles
The sales to institutions are allocated as in CIA, GNP I970, pp.
6|-62. The 0.329 billion rubles in the other and unidentified column
represents institutional purchases of window glass and lumber.
cement, and other construction materials. Producer goods sold to
farm households and film rentals are assumed to be in the
unidentified residual. The value of construction materials sold to
households is the difference between: (a) total sales of window glass
and lumber, cement. and other construction materials and (b)
institutional purchases of the same.
Commission sales and sales to rental agencies are believed to
consist mainly of used cars, appliances, furniture, jewelry, and the
like. Since these are durable goods, it is assumed that 80 percent of
these sales are durables and 20 percent are soft goods. The sales of
productive services included in retail sales were divided between
soft goods and durables. Those allocated to soft goods are: shoe
repair, repair and tailoring of clothing, repair of knitwear, dry
cleaning, laundries, and 50 percent of other productive services.
Those allocated to durables are: repair of durables, furniture repair,
photo services, and 50 percent of other productive services. The
remaining unidentified retail sales (4.625 billion rubles) were
allocated approximately equally between soft goods and durables.
b. Collectivefnrm ex-village market sales. The total value of these
sales and their allocation between food and soft goods is from CIA,
GNP I970, pp. 40 and 61-62.
2. Consumer services
a. Housing. The components of this item have been regrouped to
conform more closely with the accounting procedures of the United
States and the United Nations. Expenditures on housing now
consist of:
Total retail sales of durables 14.856
Furniture. carpets, and
metal beds
3.604
Billion Rubles
Total housing expenditures 3.429
Metal dishes 0.961 Gross rent 2.733
Glass dishes 0.617 Cash rent for urban public housing 1.016
Sporting goods 0.542
Radio goods 2.832
Musical instruments 0.281
Toys 0.649
Bicycles and motorbikes 1 .009
Watches 0.578
Jewelry 0.533
Electrical goods 2.050
Sewing machines 0.104
Automobiles 0.520
Other household goods 0.576
Other and unidentified retail sales include: window glass (0.050
billion rubles); lumber, cement, and other construction materials
(1.500 billion rubles); and an unidentified residual (5.282 billion
rubles).
Charges paid by members of housing 0.075
cooperatives for maintenance
lmputed gross rent on urban private and
rural housing
Repair expenditures by tenants of
public housing
This accounting conforms with the US and UN standard, which
treats maintenance expenditures by tenants as a final expenditure
and maintenance expenditures by owner-occupiers as a portion of
gross rent.
1.642
0.696
b. Other services
(I) Utilities are from CIA, GNP I970, p. 41.
(2) Transportation expenditures are reduced from those in CIA,
GNP I970, p. 42 by 25 percent to remove estimated business travel
expenditures.
(3) Communications expenditures are from CIA, GNP I970, p. 42.
(4) Repair and personal care expenditures are derived as the sum of
expenditures on state-provided everyday services (4.481 billion
132
Approved for Release: 2019/07/19 C05210421

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FOIA release, from the cia-readingroom collection. The PDF is mirrored here; the original link is under it. 399 pages are in the text index: search them above, or from the library's search.