Documents / FOIA release

USSR: Measures of Economic Growth and Development, 1950-80

Central Intelligence Agency · 1982-12-08 · 399 pages · text from the file's own layer

This Joint Committee Print, dated December 8, 1982, gathers studies that the Central Intelligence Agency's Directorate of Intelligence prepared for the Joint Economic Committee of the US Congress. It gives estimates of Soviet gross national product for 1950 to 1980, with indexes of industrial production, agricultural production and consumption, and explains the methods and data behind them. The foreword says official Soviet statistics inflate growth and that the CIA measures offer a more accurate picture. The document contains no UFO material.

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Approved for Release: 2019/07/19 C05210421
Table D-2 Billion Rubles
Soviet Household Outlays, 1970
1. Retail sales of goods for consumption 144.9§i
a. State, cooperative, and commission sales 141.096
(1)Fo0d 84.104
(2) Soft goods 42.734
(3) Durables 14.258
b. Collective farm ex-village market sales 3.835
(l)F0od 3.617
(2) Soft goods 0.218
2. Consumer services 23.337
a. Housing 3.429
(1) Gross rent 2.733
(2) Repair 0.696
b. Other services 19.908
(1) Utilities 3.478
Sources to this table:
1. Retail sales Qfgoodsfor consumption
a. S tare, cooperative, and commission sales.
Total sales to households of consumption goods are estimated as
follows:
Billion Rubles
Total state and cooperative retail sales, including
commission sales
155.208
Less:
Sales to institutions 7.177
Producer goods sold to farm households 0.462
Construction materials sold to households 1.221
Kerosene 0.131
Film rentals 0.195
_
(2) Transportation 5.400
(3) Communications 1.200
(4) Repair and personal care 5.497
(5) Recreation 2.547
(6) Education 1.441
(7) Health 0.345
3. Consumption in kind 21.547
a. Farm consumption in kind 18.347
(1)Food 18.235
(2) Soft goods 0.112
b. Military subsistence 3.200
(1)Food 1.970
(2) Soft goods 1.230
4. Total outlays for consumption 189.815
5. Investment 2.231
a. Private housing construction 1.636
b. Farm investment in kind 0.595
6. Total outlays for consumptionand investment 192.046
7. Transfer outlays 25.160
a. Net savings 9.720
b. Direct taxes 12.737
c. Other payments to the state 2.703
8. Total outlays 217.206
0.699
0.301
3.926
Commission sales and sales to rental agencies
Business travel expenditures
Services included in retail sales
Equals:
Sales of goods to households for consuption 141.096
The values for all items are from CIA, GNP 1970, p. 39 except for
commission sales and sales to rental agencies, business travel
expenditures, and services included in retail sales. An arbitrary
deduction of 1.0 billion rubles is made to cover sales of secondhand
goods in commission stores, sales to rental agencies, and purchases of
restaurant meals by persons on business travel. These items are
known to be included in reported retail sales, but their amounts are
unknown. It is further assumed that the latter is equal to 2 percent of
the reported sales of public catering establishments (1 5.033 billion
rubles—Narkhoz I972, p. 578), or 0.301 billion rubles. This amount
was subtracted from the 1.0-billion-ruble total to obtain the value for
sales of secondhand goods in commission stores and sales to rental
agencies.
The values of services included in retail trade have been modified
from those listed in CIA, GNP I970, p. 39, as follows:
~ Sales of laundry and photo services have been added because they
are classified as productive services (Ukazaniya, pp. 763-764).
~ Sales of housing construction and repair services have been deleted
because they are believed to be included in the reported retail sales
of construction materials, which are deducted as a separate item in
the list above.
- The values published in the Narkhoz for the repair and tailoring of
clothing and the repair of knitwear were doubled to account for the
materials used by these services. These materials are included in
130
Approved for Release: 2019/07/19 C05210421

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FOIA release, from the cia-readingroom collection. The PDF is mirrored here; the original link is under it. 399 pages are in the text index: search them above, or from the library's search.