Documents / FOIA release
This Joint Committee Print, dated December 8, 1982, gathers studies that the Central Intelligence Agency's Directorate of Intelligence prepared for the Joint Economic Committee of the US Congress. It gives estimates of Soviet gross national product for 1950 to 1980, with indexes of industrial production, agricultural production and consumption, and explains the methods and data behind them. The foreword says official Soviet statistics inflate growth and that the CIA measures offer a more accurate picture. The document contains no UFO material.
“Gross”60+ pages
Approved for Release: 2019/07/19 C05210421 at 5 percent of state-provided services, or 19.7 million rubles. The remainder (375.0 million rubles) are sales to households. These sales are arbitrarily divided roughly equally between new construction and repair. The resulting distribution of state-provided private housing construction and repair services is as follows: 0.579 billion rubles. As with other services included in the retail trade statistics, the entire value of state-provided housing construc- tion and repair services is assumed to be included in the listed purchases of construction materials. The residual retail sales of construction materials to households are 0.267 billion rubles: Million Rubles Billion Rubles 394.7 19.7 375.0 187.0 188.0 Total sales Sales to enterprises Sales to households Housing repair New construction Privately provided private housing construction is calculated as total private housing construction (1.636 billion rubles) less state-provided private housing construction (0.188 billion rubles), or 1.448 billion rubles. Of this amount, 60 percent is assumed to be labor payments and 40 percent, materials. The labor payments are further assumed to be one-third hired labor and two-thirds owner-supplied construc- tion services. The resulting distribution of private housing construc- tion expenditures is: Billion Rubles Total private housing construction expenditures 1.636 State-provided construction 0.188 ‘ 1.448 0.579 0.869 0.290 0.579 _ Privately provided construction Materials Labor payments Private earnings in construction Owner-supplied construction services (2) Private earnings in services (a) Housing repair earnings (0.804 billion rubles) are estimated as total expenditures on housing repair less purchases of state-provided services and of materials used in privately provided repair services. Household expenditures for housing repair are estimated at 1.258 billion rubles (CIA, GNP I 970, p. 41). Purchases from state enterprises were estimated above in item 4,a,(1) at 0.187 billion rubles; this figure implies that purchases of privately supplied housing repair services were 1.071 billion rubles. Of this amount, expenditures for materials are estimated at 0.267 billion rubles. Private earnings in housing repair are calculated as a residual (1.071 billion rubles less 0.267 billion rubles). The material expenditures of 0.267 billion rubles are determined as total retail sales of construction materials to households (1.221 billion rubles—CIA, GNP I970, p. 39) less other uses of those materials. Construction materials purchased by households are assumed to be used for privately provided housing repair, for state- provided private housing repair and construction, and for privately provided housing construction. In item 4,a,(1) above the materials used in privately provided housing construction were estimated at 129 Total retail sales of construction materials to 1.221 households Less: W Materials used in privately provided new 0.579 housing construction Materials used in state-provided private 0.375 housing repair and construction services Equals: m I 7:7 “vi Materials used in privately provided housing 0.267 repair services (b) Other private repair and persona! care earnings (0.836 billion rubles) are estimated at 90 percent of household expenditures on these services. Expenditures (0.929 billion rubles) are derived as the difference between total household expenditures on privately provid- ed services (2.0 billion rubles-—ClA, GNP 1970, p. 42), and expenditures on privately provided housing repair services (1.071 billion rubles——item 4,a,(2),(a) above). (c) Private room rental earnings are from CIA, GNP 1970, p. 42. (d) Education earnings (0.470 billion rubles) are equal to household expenditures for private educational services, which are assumed to be 5 percent of the state wage bill for education. The state wage bill (9.400 billion rubles) is derived in item l,a of table D-4. (e) Health earnings (0.250 billion rubles) are equal to household expenditures for private health services, which are assumed to be 5 percent of the state wage bill for health. The state wage bill (5.004 billion rubles) is derived in item 1,b of table D-4. b. Unidentified money income and statistical discrepancy. This item is derived as the difference between total income (item 9, below) and the sum of items 1; 2; 3; 4,a; 5; 6; and 8. 5. Imputed net rent. This is from CIA, GNP 1970, p. 41. 6. lmputed value Q/owner-supplied construction services. See item 4,a,(1) above. 7. Total income currently earned. This was derived as the sum of items 1 through 6. 8. Transfer receipts a. Pensions and allowances. See Narkhoz I 97 2, p. 535. b. Stipends. See CIA, GNP I970, p. 26. c. Interest income. See CIA, GNP 1970, p. 26. d. Net new bank loans to households. See CIA, GNP 1970, p. 26. e. Profits distributed to consumer cooperative members. See CIA, GNP I970, p. 23. 9. Total income. This is equal to total outlays (table D-2, item 8). Approved for Release: 2019/07/19 C05210421
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FOIA release, from the cia-readingroom collection. The PDF is mirrored here; the original link is under it. 399 pages are in the text index: search them above, or from the library's search.