Documents / FOIA release
This Joint Committee Print, dated December 8, 1982, gathers studies that the Central Intelligence Agency's Directorate of Intelligence prepared for the Joint Economic Committee of the US Congress. It gives estimates of Soviet gross national product for 1950 to 1980, with indexes of industrial production, agricultural production and consumption, and explains the methods and data behind them. The foreword says official Soviet statistics inflate growth and that the CIA measures offer a more accurate picture. The document contains no UFO material.
“V.M.”23 pages
Approved for Release: 2019/07/19 C05210421 Table D-I Billion Rubles Soviet Household Incomes, 1970 l. State wages and salaries 132.032 2. Net income of households from agriculture 41.709 _a. Money wage payments by collective farms 14.453 (1) Payments to collective farm members 14.040 (2) Payments to hired workers 0.413 b. Net income from sales of farm products 8.314 c. Net farm income in kind 18.942 0 (1) Consumption in kind 18.347 (2) Investment in kind 0.595 3. Income of the armed forces 6.580 a_.‘Military pay and allowances 3.380 b. Military subsistence 3.200 4. Other money income currently earned and ‘_ statistical discrepancy 10.598 _a. Private money income currently earned 3.134 (1) Private earnings in construction 0.290 (2) Private earnings in services 2.844 A“m(a) Housing repair 0.804 (b) Other private repair and personal care AW services 0.836 (c) Private room rentals 0.484 (d) Education 0.470 (e) Health 0.250 b. Unidentified money income and statistical discrepancy 7.464 5. Imputed net rent 1.080 6. Imputed value of owner-supplied construction services 0.579 7. Total income currently earned 192.578 8. Transfer receipts 24.628 a. Pensions and allowances 22.300 b. Stipends 1.300 c. Interest income -1.035 d. Net new bank loans to households —0.034 e. Profits distributed to consumer cooperative members 0.027 9. Total income 217.206 Sources to this table: I. State wages and salaries are from CIA, GNP I970, p. 23. 2. Net income of households from agriculture a. Money wage payments by collective farms. (1) Payments to collectivefarm members are from CIA, GNP I 970, p.23. (2) Payments to hired workers are from CIA, GNP 1970, p. 23. b. Net income from sales offarm products. This item (8.314 billion rubles) is derived as the difference between gross income from the sale of farm products (9.238 billion rubles—CIA, GNP I970, p. 23) and purchases of materials and services (0.924 billion rubles—Ibid). c. Netfarm income in kind. (1) Consumption in kind is from CIA, GNP I970, pp. 24-25. (2) Investment in kind, a monetary valuation of the net additions to private livestock inventories, is estimated at 0.595 billion rubles on the basis of the change in numbers of cattle, hogs, sheep and goats, and poultry and the estimated average realized price per head for each animal. The calculation is presented below: Valuation of the Net Additions to Private-Sector Livestock Inventories, 1970 (1) (2) Inventory of Animals (thousand head) End End 1969 1970 (3) (4) (5) Net Additions to Livestock Inventories Thou- Rubles sand Per Head Head -36 442 Billion Rubles Cattle 24,989 Hogs 13,830 16,562 2,732 173 Sheep and 31,665 33,180 1,515 37 goats Poultry 360,126 376,480 16,354 5 24,953 -0.016 0.473 0.056 0.082 Total 0.595 Sources: All data are from CIA, GNP I970, p. 57, except for poultry. The poultry inventory data are from Selkhoz I971, p. 273. The poultry price is derived by Margaret Hughes and Barbara Severin in JEC, Agriculture, p. 51. 3. Income of the armed forces a. Military pay. This is a CIA estimate. b. Military subsistence. This is a CIA estimate. 4. Other money income currently earned and statistical discrepancy a. Private money income currently earned. (1) Private earnings in construction (0.290 billion rubles) are based on total expenditures for private housing construction (1.636 billion rubles—Narkhoz I 972, p. 486) and assumptions about the distribu- tion of those expenditures. Contrary to the view expressed in CIA, GNP I 970, p. 43 we now believe that the reported value for private housing construction is in current prices rather than 1955 prices. Private housing is constructed by state organizations and by private groups. The value of state-provided private housing construc- tion and repair services in 1970 was 394.7 million rubles (Narkhoz I 972, p. 621). This value is believed to include sales to enterprises, as do the reported sales of other state-provided services. They probably represent repairs done for enterprises without their own repair crews. Based on data published by V. I. Dmitriev (Metodologicheskiye osnovy prognozirovaniya sprosa na bytovyye uslugi, Moscow, Legkaya Industriya, 1975, p. 98), sales to enterprises are estimated 128 Approved for Release: 2019/07/19 C05210421
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FOIA release, from the cia-readingroom collection. The PDF is mirrored here; the original link is under it. 399 pages are in the text index: search them above, or from the library's search.