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USSR: Measures of Economic Growth and Development, 1950-80

Central Intelligence Agency · 1982-12-08 · 399 pages · text from the file's own layer

This Joint Committee Print, dated December 8, 1982, gathers studies that the Central Intelligence Agency's Directorate of Intelligence prepared for the Joint Economic Committee of the US Congress. It gives estimates of Soviet gross national product for 1950 to 1980, with indexes of industrial production, agricultural production and consumption, and explains the methods and data behind them. The foreword says official Soviet statistics inflate growth and that the CIA measures offer a more accurate picture. The document contains no UFO material.

  • p. 36 …In the USSR the collective farm, or kolkhoz, is part state and part cooperative. The land…
  • p. 47 …0.66e_ Consumer cooperatives 1.283 i Retained profits of consumer cooperatives 0.821 Tax on…
  • p. 50 …Hill, The Measurement of Real Product, The Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development, Paris, 1971; R…
  • p. 103 …Net profits of consumer cooperatives were included with retail trade and public dining. Subsidies. This item…
  • p. 118 …and economic admin- istration, administrative organs of cooperative and social organizations,” for which employment and oth…
  • p. 119 …Social organi- zations include the administrative organs of the All- Union Society of Consumer Cooperatives, the…
  • p. 130 …The profits distributed to consumer cooperative members are now considered to be a transfer receipt rather…
  • p. 133 …Profits distributed to consumer cooperative members 0.027 9. Total income 217.206 Sources to this…
  • p. 134 …Profits distributed to consumer cooperative members. See CIA, GNP I970, p. 23. 9. Total income. This…
  • p. 135 …State, cooperative, and commission sales 141.096 (1)Fo0d 84.104 (2) Soft goods 42.734…
  • p. 137 …Charges paid by members of housing 0.075 cooperatives for maintenance lmputed gross rent on urban…
  • p. 138 …Taxes on land and buildings owned by individuals and cooperatives are from Gosb_vudzhet I972, p…
  • p. 139 …Retained profits of consumer cooperatives 0.821 d. Retained profits of other organizations 0.321 2…
  • p. 142 …Profits distributed to consumer 0.027 cooperative members 8.’C;solidate_d total outlays 215.841…
  • p. 147 …Consumer cooperatives 1.283 (1) Retained profits of consumer cooperatives 0.821 (2) Tax on income…
  • p. 160 …532) plus a share of the amortization deductions of consumer cooperatives. Altough consumer cooperatives are primarily…
  • p. 162 …532) and amortization deductions of consumer cooperatives on industrial capital (0.083 billion ru~ bles-—see…
  • p. 164 …retained profits and income taxes of consumer cooperatives and other organizations, respectively. 7. Total pra/its…
  • p. 257 …Other state purchasing orga- nizations are the Central Union of Consumer Cooper- atives, and the Ministries…
  • p. 286 …Review of I978 and Outlook for I97 9, Economics, Statistics, and Cooperatives Service, April 1979, p…
  • p. 330 …exceeded the prices paid in state and cooperative retail outlets by an average of ~59 percent…
  • p. 331 …index of retail prices in state and cooperative outlets. The index which shows almost no change…
  • p. 332 …In coverage, it differs from the CIA index of consumption, mainly by inclusion of cooperative housing…
  • p. 335 …purchases of these items in state and cooperative retail outlets and in collective farm markets, including…
  • p. 339 …The index implicitly covers all goods purchased in state and cooperative retail out- lets, except those…
Approved for Release: 2019/07/19 C05210421
Table D-I Billion Rubles
Soviet Household Incomes, 1970
l. State wages and salaries 132.032
2. Net income of households from agriculture 41.709
_a. Money wage payments by collective farms 14.453
(1) Payments to collective farm members 14.040
(2) Payments to hired workers 0.413
b. Net income from sales of farm products 8.314
c. Net farm income in kind 18.942
0
(1) Consumption in kind 18.347
(2) Investment in kind 0.595
3. Income of the armed forces 6.580
a_.‘Military pay and allowances 3.380
b. Military subsistence 3.200
4. Other money income currently earned and
‘_ statistical discrepancy
10.598
_a. Private money income currently earned 3.134
(1) Private earnings in construction 0.290
(2) Private earnings in services 2.844
A“m(a) Housing repair 0.804
(b) Other private repair and personal care
AW services
0.836
(c) Private room rentals 0.484
(d) Education 0.470
(e) Health 0.250
b. Unidentified money income and statistical
discrepancy
7.464
5. Imputed net rent 1.080
6. Imputed value of owner-supplied
construction services
0.579
7. Total income currently earned 192.578
8. Transfer receipts 24.628
a. Pensions and allowances 22.300
b. Stipends 1.300
c. Interest income -1.035
d. Net new bank loans to households —0.034
e. Profits distributed to
consumer cooperative members
0.027
9. Total income 217.206
Sources to this table:
I. State wages and salaries are from CIA, GNP I970, p. 23.
2. Net income of households from agriculture
a. Money wage payments by collective farms.
(1) Payments to collectivefarm members are from CIA, GNP I 970,
p.23.
(2) Payments to hired workers are from CIA, GNP 1970, p. 23.
b. Net income from sales offarm products. This item (8.314 billion
rubles) is derived as the difference between gross income from the
sale of farm products (9.238 billion rubles—CIA, GNP I970, p. 23)
and purchases of materials and services (0.924 billion rubles—Ibid).
c. Netfarm income in kind.
(1) Consumption in kind is from CIA, GNP I970, pp. 24-25.
(2) Investment in kind, a monetary valuation of the net additions to
private livestock inventories, is estimated at 0.595 billion rubles on
the basis of the change in numbers of cattle, hogs, sheep and goats,
and poultry and the estimated average realized price per head for
each animal. The calculation is presented below:
Valuation of the Net Additions
to Private-Sector Livestock
Inventories, 1970
(1) (2)
Inventory of
Animals
(thousand head)
End End
1969 1970
(3) (4) (5)
Net Additions
to Livestock
Inventories
Thou- Rubles
sand Per
Head Head
-36 442
Billion
Rubles
Cattle 24,989
Hogs 13,830 16,562 2,732 173
Sheep and 31,665 33,180 1,515 37
goats
Poultry 360,126 376,480 16,354 5
24,953 -0.016
0.473
0.056
0.082
Total 0.595
Sources: All data are from CIA, GNP I970, p. 57, except for
poultry. The poultry inventory data are from Selkhoz I971, p. 273.
The poultry price is derived by Margaret Hughes and Barbara
Severin in JEC, Agriculture, p. 51.
3. Income of the armed forces
a. Military pay. This is a CIA estimate.
b. Military subsistence. This is a CIA estimate.
4. Other money income currently earned and statistical discrepancy
a. Private money income currently earned.
(1) Private earnings in construction (0.290 billion rubles) are based
on total expenditures for private housing construction (1.636 billion
rubles—Narkhoz I 972, p. 486) and assumptions about the distribu-
tion of those expenditures. Contrary to the view expressed in CIA,
GNP I 970, p. 43 we now believe that the reported value for private
housing construction is in current prices rather than 1955 prices.
Private housing is constructed by state organizations and by
private groups. The value of state-provided private housing construc-
tion and repair services in 1970 was 394.7 million rubles (Narkhoz
I 972, p. 621). This value is believed to include sales to enterprises, as
do the reported sales of other state-provided services. They probably
represent repairs done for enterprises without their own repair crews.
Based on data published by V. I. Dmitriev (Metodologicheskiye
osnovy prognozirovaniya sprosa na bytovyye uslugi, Moscow,
Legkaya Industriya, 1975, p. 98), sales to enterprises are estimated
128
Approved for Release: 2019/07/19 C05210421

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FOIA release, from the cia-readingroom collection. The PDF is mirrored here; the original link is above. 399 pages are in the text index: search them above, or from the library's search.