Documents / FOIA release
This Joint Committee Print, dated December 8, 1982, gathers studies that the Central Intelligence Agency's Directorate of Intelligence prepared for the Joint Economic Committee of the US Congress. It gives estimates of Soviet gross national product for 1950 to 1980, with indexes of industrial production, agricultural production and consumption, and explains the methods and data behind them. The foreword says official Soviet statistics inflate growth and that the CIA measures offer a more accurate picture. The document contains no UFO material.
“V.M.”23 pages
Approved for Release: 2019/07/19 C05210421 budget institutions and a revised method for estimat- ing the value of new construction and other capital outlays. In addition, smaller revisions were made to the value of net additions to livestock inventories and capital repair expenditures. Outlays n.e.c., determined as total public-sector in- comes less identified public-sector outlays, is 7.4 billion rubles larger than in CIA, GNP 1970. The revised accounting of foreign trade income, however, means that net exports, a component of outlays n.e.c., are now valued in foreign trade prices. As a result, the portion of outlays n.e.c. which might be associated with defense expenditures, changes in strategic re- serves, or a statistical discrepancy is virtually un- changed from that computed in CIA, GNP I970 (p. 16). GNP by End Use The GNP of the Soviet Union is estimated by combin- ing the relevant portions of the outlays of the house- hold and public sectors (table D-5). As a result of the changes made in these accounts, total GNP is now 2.5 billion rubles higher than calculated in CIA, GNP 1970. The changes in the important components of GNP by end use are shown in the following tabulation: GNP by End Use (percent) Original Current Estimate Estimate 57.7 55.1 44.0 43.4 13.7 ll.6 31.6 32.5 10.8 12.5 Consumption Goods Services Investment Other government expenditures 127 GNP by Sector of Origin The growth of GNP in 1970 prices is measured as an aggregation of the growth rates of the various sectors of origin. In order to compute the growth of GNP, it is necessary to estimate how much of each type of income (table D-6) was earned in each sector of origin (table D-7). Tables D-8 through D-l6 show the distri- bution of each type of income by sector of origin. Approved for Release: 2019/07/19 C05210421
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FOIA release, from the cia-readingroom collection. The PDF is mirrored here; the original link is under it. 399 pages are in the text index: search them above, or from the library's search.