Documents / FOIA release

USSR: Measures of Economic Growth and Development, 1950-80

Central Intelligence Agency · 1982-12-08 · 399 pages · text from the file's own layer

This Joint Committee Print, dated December 8, 1982, gathers studies that the Central Intelligence Agency's Directorate of Intelligence prepared for the Joint Economic Committee of the US Congress. It gives estimates of Soviet gross national product for 1950 to 1980, with indexes of industrial production, agricultural production and consumption, and explains the methods and data behind them. The foreword says official Soviet statistics inflate growth and that the CIA measures offer a more accurate picture. The document contains no UFO material.

  • p. 19 …Monica, Calif, 1962; Becker, 1969; and Sally Anderson, Soviet National Income, I 964-I 966, in…
Approved for Release: 2019/07/19 C05210421
Contents
Page
List of Standard Citations l0
Introduction
_ ._ ___H ___, ___
Our Estimates in Perspective 11
Soviet National Income Data
__._l_2*_,, _,.__,_
The Plan of the Paper
— “W13 W
Part I. Results and Analysis
__
15
Soviet Economic Growth in'Perspective
_._.
Wis _,_, _ _ _
Changes in Soviet Growth Since 195077
The Evolving Structure of the Soviet Economy
C
l6_,_ ,,
Changing Patterns of Output Use 18
Soviet Growth in International Perspective
___l_9__,,
How Reliable Are the Synthetic Measures of Soviet Growth‘? 23
Sensitivity to the Base Year Used Z23
Patterns in the GNP Residual
*1
24
Comparisons With Official Soviet Data 25
Comparisons With Other Western Estimates
I
Part II. Methodology
___2_6
27
The Accounting Framework
M _,, __
The Accounting Units
--
W27
The Main Financial Flows
— w—‘Wi§ I
Definitions and Conventions
_,,_3_0_ .
Summary of Differences in the Soviet and US GNP
Accounts
Valuation
33
_ __3 _
Soviet Established Prices
T __ 3I_,_,_,_
Finding a Basis for Valuing Soviet GNP 34
Distortions Caused by Turnover Taxes and Subsidies‘
I
Variations in Profit Rates
A 36
Differential Prices and New-Product Pricing
mu‘? I
The Adjusted Factor-Cost Standard 37
Soviet GNP in 1970 in Established Prices and at Factor Cost
W 38
,,,_,_,,
The Revised 1970 Soviet GNP Accounts
— 337% I
Construction of the 1970 Input-Output Table and
Conversion of the 1970 Accounts to Factor Cost 38
A Comparison of Established and Famor-Cost Prices
I
40
In I I
93-892 O - 82 - 2
5
Approved for Release: 2019/07/19 C05210421

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FOIA release, from the cia-readingroom collection. The PDF is mirrored here; the original link is above. 399 pages are in the text index: search them above, or from the library's search.