Documents / FOIA release

USSR: Measures of Economic Growth and Development, 1950-80

Central Intelligence Agency · 1982-12-08 · 399 pages · text from the file's own layer

This Joint Committee Print, dated December 8, 1982, gathers studies that the Central Intelligence Agency's Directorate of Intelligence prepared for the Joint Economic Committee of the US Congress. It gives estimates of Soviet gross national product for 1950 to 1980, with indexes of industrial production, agricultural production and consumption, and explains the methods and data behind them. The foreword says official Soviet statistics inflate growth and that the CIA measures offer a more accurate picture. The document contains no UFO material.

  • p. 18 …Power, United Nations International Comparisons Project, Phase I (Baltimore, The Johns Hopkins University Press, 1975) ICP…
  • p. 19 …Oleg 1-Ioeffding, Soviet National Income and Product in 1928, Columbia University Press, New York, 1954…
  • p. 21 …In theory, the Soviets " Basic Principles of the System of Balances of the National Economy, United…
  • p. 50 …Lawrence Grose, Real Output Measurement in the United States National Income and Product Accounts, US Department…
  • p. 166 …The subsidies on housing, recreation, and the press were allocated to the housing, recreation, and other…
  • p. 181 …Duke University Press, 1972), pp. 155-194; with Wade Robertson, “Industrial Production in the USSR," Soviet…
  • p. 183 …tons, square meters, units of production, or some other convention- al measure. Examples of this type…
  • p. 210 …For example, the production of commodities pub- lished in physical units includes intraplant turnover, but the…
  • p. 222 …bulbs Units Narkhoz Machine tools sector ml Meta? cutting machine tools Rubles Narkhoz Forge presses sector…
  • p. 249 …Hardt, eds., Soviet Economic Statistics, Durham, N.C., Duke University Press, 1972 Treml and Hardt U…
  • p. 261 …Khrushchev stat- ed that “figures for average yield (of grain) which you read in the press…
  • p. 308 …central press. 8 Because the official data have again been made available to the United States…
  • p. 320 …Power, United Nations International Comparisons Project, Phase I (Baltimore: The Johns Hopkins University Press, 1975) ICP…
  • p. 321 …2 For details, see United Nations, Comparisons ofthe System of National Accounts and the System of…
  • p. 328 …Judging from a mass of anecdotal evidence from the Soviet press concerning the poor quality of…
  • p. 342 …Although the average size of a dwelling unit increased between 1950 and 1978-by 17 percent…
Approved for Release: 2019/07/19 C05210421
Table C-3
Derivation of the Index of Capital Repair Expenditures
Year (1) (2) (3) (4) (5)
Capital Repair Machinery Capital Repair Capital Repair Total Capital Repair
of Machinery Price of Machinery of Buildings (billion 1970 rubles)
and Equipment Index and Equipment and Structures
(current prices) (1970=100) (billion 1970 rubles) (billion 1970 rubles)
1950 1.5 NA 1.6 1.4 3.0
1951 1.6 NA 1.8 1.5 3.3
1952 1.8 NA 2.1 1.4 3.6
1953 2.1 NA 2.3 1.7 4.0
1954 2.2 NA 2.4 1.9 4.4
1955 2.3 86.6 2.6 2.6 5.3
1956 2.1 NA 2.8 3.5 6.3
1957 2.1 NA 3.0 4.2 7.2
1958 2.3 69.9 3.3 4.9 8.1
1959 3.1 73.4 4.2 5.3 9.5
1960 3.4 77.2 4.5 5.6 10.1
1961 3.8 81.0 4.7 6.1 10.9
1962 4.4 80.4 5.5 6.4 11.9
1963 5.7 82.9 6.9 6.7 13.6
1964 6.2 83.1 7.4 7.3 14.7
1965 7.0 83.2 8.5 7.1 15.6
1 966 7.6 90.4 8.4 7.7 16.1
1967 8.3 94.0 8.8 7.5 16.4
1968 9.1 95.9 91.5 7.8 17.4
1969 10.1 98.0 10.3 7.7 18.0
1970 11.2 100.0 11.2 7.8 19.0
1971 12.2 96.1 12.6 8.5 21.2
1972 13.7 97.7 14.0 9.1 23.1
1973 15.2 93.5 16.2 10.0 26.2
1974 16.5 94.6 17.4 11.0 28.4
1975 15.3 96.1 15.9 12.0 27.9
1976 16.4 93.8 17.5 13.1 30.6
1977 17.5 93.6 18.7 14.4 33.1
1978 18.6 95.5 19.4 15.6 35.1
1979 19.5 96.6 20.2 15.8 36.1
1980 20.6 97.6 21.1 16.5 37.6
Sources: Columns 1 and 2: See text. Data are not available to
calculate the current-price machinery series for 1950-54 and 1956-
57 and, hence, the price index.
Column 3: This is column 1 deflated by the price index in column 2.
The values for 1950-54 and 1956-57 are estimated by using a series
of expenditures for capital repair of machinery and equipment in
Approved for Release: 2019/07/19 C05210421
1937 prices derived from data estimated by Moorsteen and Powell,
The Soviet Capital Stock, 1928-1962, pp. 386-387
Column 4: This is table C-2, column 2, deflated by the price index in
table B-3, column 4.
Column 5: This is column 3 plus column 4.
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FOIA release, from the cia-readingroom collection. The PDF is mirrored here; the original link is under it. 399 pages are in the text index: search them above, or from the library's search.