Documents / FOIA release

USSR: Measures of Economic Growth and Development, 1950-80

Central Intelligence Agency · 1982-12-08 · 399 pages · text from the file's own layer

This Joint Committee Print, dated December 8, 1982, gathers studies that the Central Intelligence Agency's Directorate of Intelligence prepared for the Joint Economic Committee of the US Congress. It gives estimates of Soviet gross national product for 1950 to 1980, with indexes of industrial production, agricultural production and consumption, and explains the methods and data behind them. The foreword says official Soviet statistics inflate growth and that the CIA measures offer a more accurate picture. The document contains no UFO material.

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Approved for Rele
administrative organs of social organizations. Average
annual man-hours worked by police were assumed to
be the same as for state administration.
Military Personnel
Scope and Coverage
All uniformed personnel of the armed forces—includ-
ing border guards, internal security, construction
troops, and railroad troops—are included in this
activity. It should be noted that substantial definition-
al differences complicate any comparison of the activ-
ities of US and Soviet armed forces.
Description of the Index
Separate indexes are computed in established prices
and factor-cost prices. The index in established prices
is the sum of wages, social security payments, and
outlays for subsistence, all computed in 1970 prices.
The index takes account of changes in the mix of
conscripts, officers, and noncommissioned officers.
For the factor-cost index, the conscript costs are
replaced by an estimate that attempts to allow for the
opportunity cost of conscripts. For this we have used a
minimum industrial wage, which is slightly higher
than expenditures on military pay and subsistence.
Other Branches
The index for this sector is assumed to be equal to the
index for total GNP.
Approved for Release: 2019/07/19 C05210421
ase: 2019/07/19 C05210421
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FOIA release, from the cia-readingroom collection. The PDF is mirrored here; the original link is under it. 399 pages are in the text index: search them above, or from the library's search.