Documents / FOIA release
This Joint Committee Print, dated December 8, 1982, gathers studies that the Central Intelligence Agency's Directorate of Intelligence prepared for the Joint Economic Committee of the US Congress. It gives estimates of Soviet gross national product for 1950 to 1980, with indexes of industrial production, agricultural production and consumption, and explains the methods and data behind them. The foreword says official Soviet statistics inflate growth and that the CIA measures offer a more accurate picture. The document contains no UFO material.
“Gross”60+ pages
Approved for Release: Description of the Index. The index of government administrative services is a weighted average of the separate measures of man-hour employment in the six subsectors. The weights for the subsectors are the value added in each subsector as shown in table D-7. To the extent that labor productivity has increased, man-hour employment understates the growth of the real product rendered by this group of services. An alternative procedure to deflate current expendi- tures on these activities by appropriate price index- es—cannot be used because there is little information on nonwage outlays for the sector and suitable price deflators are not available. The procedure used in US accounts is to deflate general government expendi- tures largely by input price indexes. The man-hour employment data for each subsector are shown in table B-21. General Agricultural Program. These programs pro- vide general services to agriculture and are apparently financed largely if not entirely from the state budget. The services include plant and animal disease control, general veterinary services and inspection, erosion control and land improvement, management of land tenure procedures, and the like. Activity is measured by an index of man-hour employment obtained as follows: (l) Employment is estimated in each year as the difference between total reported employment in state agriculture and employment in “state farms, interfarm economic enterprises, subsidiary and other productive agricultural enterprises.” Data given in Trud v SSSR, Moscow, Statistika, 1968, p. 26, suggest that nearly all of this residual group consists of employees providing veterinary and other services to agriculture. (2) The average annual number of man-hours was assumed to be the same as in state agriculture as a whole. The latter was calculated for 1950-78 from data on average annual employment and total man-hours worked given in Stephen Rapawy, Civilian Employment, p. 24. The average number of man-hours in 1979 and 1980 was assumed to be the same as in 1978. 113 2019/07/19 C05210421 Forestry. This activity encompasses enterprises and organizations engaged in the management and protec- tion of state forests and parks; it is financed largely from the state budget. The man-hour employment data used to measure this activity are given for 1950- 78 in Rapawy, Civilian Employment, p. 14, and extended to 1980 by the same methodology. State Administration and the Administrative Organs of Social Organization. This activity includes the operations of state administrative bodies at all levels (ministries, state committees, and the like), legislative and judicial organs, administrative organs of state security and defense, and the administrative organs of trade unions, the Communist Party and other so- called social organizations. The activity of this sector is financed mainly from state budget funds, but also partly from charges to enterprise costs. Social organi- zations include the administrative organs of the All- Union Society of Consumer Cooperatives, the Com- munist Party and Komsomol, the trade unions and professional unions, and a number of other groups that are permitted to function (for example, the Red Cross, civil defense, and nature societies). Their activ- ities are financed largely from dues paid by members. The man-hour employment data used to measure this activity are given for 1950-78 in Rapawy, Civilian Employment, p. 14, and extended to 1980 by the same methodology. Culture. Public libraries, museums, parks, zoos, clubs, and children's camps are the principal institutions covered by this sector. Rapawy published data for education and culture combined (Civilian Employ- ment, p. 14). The education component is derived in JEC, Consumption as part of the consumption index. The remainder forms the index of culture. Municipal Services. These services consist mainly of the upkeep of city streets and municipal facilities, garbage and trash collection, fire protection, and similar functions. Activity is measured by an index of man-hour employment obtained in the “housing-com- munal economy and personal services” category of Approved for Release: 2019/07/19 C05210421
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FOIA release, from the cia-readingroom collection. The PDF is mirrored here; the original link is under it. 399 pages are in the text index: search them above, or from the library's search.