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USSR: Measures of Economic Growth and Development, 1950-80

Central Intelligence Agency · 1982-12-08 · 399 pages · text from the file's own layer

This Joint Committee Print, dated December 8, 1982, gathers studies that the Central Intelligence Agency's Directorate of Intelligence prepared for the Joint Economic Committee of the US Congress. It gives estimates of Soviet gross national product for 1950 to 1980, with indexes of industrial production, agricultural production and consumption, and explains the methods and data behind them. The foreword says official Soviet statistics inflate growth and that the CIA measures offer a more accurate picture. The document contains no UFO material.

  • p. 36 …In the USSR the collective farm, or kolkhoz, is part state and part cooperative. The land…
  • p. 47 …0.66e_ Consumer cooperatives 1.283 i Retained profits of consumer cooperatives 0.821 Tax on…
  • p. 50 …Hill, The Measurement of Real Product, The Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development, Paris, 1971; R…
  • p. 103 …Net profits of consumer cooperatives were included with retail trade and public dining. Subsidies. This item…
  • p. 118 …and economic admin- istration, administrative organs of cooperative and social organizations,” for which employment and oth…
  • p. 119 …Social organi- zations include the administrative organs of the All- Union Society of Consumer Cooperatives, the…
  • p. 130 …The profits distributed to consumer cooperative members are now considered to be a transfer receipt rather…
  • p. 133 …Profits distributed to consumer cooperative members 0.027 9. Total income 217.206 Sources to this…
  • p. 134 …Profits distributed to consumer cooperative members. See CIA, GNP I970, p. 23. 9. Total income. This…
  • p. 135 …State, cooperative, and commission sales 141.096 (1)Fo0d 84.104 (2) Soft goods 42.734…
  • p. 137 …Charges paid by members of housing 0.075 cooperatives for maintenance lmputed gross rent on urban…
  • p. 138 …Taxes on land and buildings owned by individuals and cooperatives are from Gosb_vudzhet I972, p…
  • p. 139 …Retained profits of consumer cooperatives 0.821 d. Retained profits of other organizations 0.321 2…
  • p. 142 …Profits distributed to consumer 0.027 cooperative members 8.’C;solidate_d total outlays 215.841…
  • p. 147 …Consumer cooperatives 1.283 (1) Retained profits of consumer cooperatives 0.821 (2) Tax on income…
  • p. 160 …532) plus a share of the amortization deductions of consumer cooperatives. Altough consumer cooperatives are primarily…
  • p. 162 …532) and amortization deductions of consumer cooperatives on industrial capital (0.083 billion ru~ bles-—see…
  • p. 164 …retained profits and income taxes of consumer cooperatives and other organizations, respectively. 7. Total pra/its…
  • p. 257 …Other state purchasing orga- nizations are the Central Union of Consumer Cooper- atives, and the Ministries…
  • p. 286 …Review of I978 and Outlook for I97 9, Economics, Statistics, and Cooperatives Service, April 1979, p…
  • p. 330 …exceeded the prices paid in state and cooperative retail outlets by an average of ~59 percent…
  • p. 331 …index of retail prices in state and cooperative outlets. The index which shows almost no change…
  • p. 332 …In coverage, it differs from the CIA index of consumption, mainly by inclusion of cooperative housing…
  • p. 335 …purchases of these items in state and cooperative retail outlets and in collective farm markets, including…
  • p. 339 …The index implicitly covers all goods purchased in state and cooperative retail out- lets, except those…
Approved for Release: 2019/07/19 C05210421
Description of the Index. The index is based on man-
hour employment, which probably understates growth
since the accounting operations that form a large part
of this sector’s work have been gradually mechanized.
The data on employment and man-hours are obtained
from Rapawy, Civilian Employment, pp. 2 and 14 for
1950-78 and extended to 1980 by the same method-
ology. These data and the resulting index are shown in
table B-20.
Government Administrative Services
Scope and Coverage. These services represent activi-
ties that are usually financed and treated statistically
as part of the government (nondefense) sector in the
national accounts of Western countries. Soviet statis-
tical practice in the treatment of government types of
activities differs from Western practice. Accordingly,
to obtain a group of activities for the Soviet Union
which are reasonably comparable to the Western
concept of general government, several Soviet statisti-
cal categories had to be combined and others estimat-
ed independently from a variety of information. This
procedure is better than using the single Soviet cate-
gory “apparat of organs of state and economic admin-
istration, administrative organs of cooperative and
social organizations,” for which employment and oth-
er types of data are reported but which is extremely
narrow in scope. The problems of reconciling Soviet
and Western concepts and definitions of government
and administrative employment are discussed in some
detail in Stephen Rapawy, Comparison of U.S. and
U.S.S.R. Civilian Employment in Government: I950-
I969, Washington, D. C., US Department of Com-
merce, Bureau of Economic Analysis, 1972, Interna-
tional Population Reports Series P-95, No. 69; and
Gertrude E. Schroeder, “A Critique of Official Statis-
tics on Public Administration in the USSR,” ACES
Bulletin 18, Spring 1976, pp. 23-44.
Activities explicitly included in this sector are: general
agricultural programs, forestry, state administration
and the administrative organs of social organizations,
culture, municipal services, and civilian police. Each
of these categories is discussed below. The coverage of
this group is hard to compare with general govern-
ment activities in the United States. Major activities
known to be excluded are upkeep of highways (includ-
ed in transportation) and research and development
(included in science).
Table B-20
Derivation of the Index of Value Added in Credit and
Insurance
Year (1 ) (2) (3)
Employment Hours Worked Index
(thousands) (million) (1970 = 100)
1950 264 571 80.8
1951 263 567 80.3
1952 262 563 79.8
1953 263 564 79.9
1954 264 566 80.1
1955 265 567 80.3
1956 266 555 78.6
1957 261 532 75.3
1958 260 526 74.5
1959 260 512 72.4
1960 265 502 71.0
1961 277 502 71.0
1962 283 513 72.6
1963 289 522 74.0
1964 296 538 76.1
1965 300 541 76.6
1966 313 567 80.3
1967 329 598 84.6
1968 346 630 89.2
1969 363 662 93.8
1970 388 706 100.0
1971 411 753 106.6
1972 439 802 113.6
1973 465 844 119.5
1974 493 897 127.0
1975 519 943 133.5
1976 546 992 140.4
1977 574 1,040 147.3
1978 604 1,095 155.0
1979 632 1,146 162.2
1980 650 1,178 166.8
Sources: Column 1: 1950-78 are from Rapawy, Civilian Employ-
ment, p. 2. 1979 is from Narkhoz I979, p. 388. 1980 is from
Tsifrakh I980, p. 161.
Column 2: Rapawy, Civilian Employment, p. 14, was used for 1950
78, and extended to 1980 by the growth rate of column 1.
Column 3: This is the index of column 2.
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Approved for Release: 2019/07/19 C05210421

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FOIA release, from the cia-readingroom collection. The PDF is mirrored here; the original link is above. 399 pages are in the text index: search them above, or from the library's search.