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USSR: Measures of Economic Growth and Development, 1950-80

Central Intelligence Agency · 1982-12-08 · 399 pages · text from the file's own layer

This Joint Committee Print, dated December 8, 1982, gathers studies that the Central Intelligence Agency's Directorate of Intelligence prepared for the Joint Economic Committee of the US Congress. It gives estimates of Soviet gross national product for 1950 to 1980, with indexes of industrial production, agricultural production and consumption, and explains the methods and data behind them. The foreword says official Soviet statistics inflate growth and that the CIA measures offer a more accurate picture. The document contains no UFO material.

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p. 4 …The volume contains a series of tables estimating the Soviet gross national product and its components…
p. 5 …quantified estimates of the value of Soviet gross national product (GNP), its rate of growth, its…
p. 6 …The Soviet indices of industrial and agricultural production are based on gross output rather than value…
p. 7 …For example, data on the amount of waste included in the gross output data of agricultural…
p. 8 …The measure shown represents “net output,” or gross output less products used by agriculture (seed and…
p. 9 …compendium on the Soviet eeonomV- “The Real Gross National Product of the U.S.S.R…
p. 10 …Contributions of Rush V. Greenslade ________ _________________-________ ____ __ 1x I. Gross National Product of the USSR, 1950—80.-______________________________ 3…
p. 12 …Release: 2019/07/19 C05210421 Part I. GROSS NATIONAL PRODUCT OF THE USSR, 1950-80 By…
p. 14 …Turnover Taxes as a Share of Gross Output in Industry, 1972 6. Subsidies on Agricultural Products…
p. 15 …2019/07/19 C05210421 Gross National Product of the Soviet Union in Established Prices, 39 by…
p. 16 …of Value Added in Agriculture B-8. Gross Output, Total Material Purchases, and Value Added in…
p. 17 …I Soviet Gross National Product in Established Priceskby End Use, I if I970 D-6. I…
p. 18 …An International Comparison, 1981 Gross National Product of the USSR: An International Comparison, 1982 Soviet Economic…
p. 19 …2019/07/19 C05210421 Gross National Product of the USSR, 1950-80 Introduction This paper presents…
p. 20 …Lee, “USSR Gross National Product in Established Prices, 1955-1975,” Jahrbuch der Wirtsc/la/I Osteuropas…
p. 27 …GNP for the Soviet Union and of gross domestic product (GDP) for selected OECD countries.” For…
p. 34 …Lee, “USSR Gross National Product," p. 413; and Becker, 1969, p. 128. difference between the growth…
p. 35 …conducted on a net rather than a gross basis. The enterprise is expected to be managed…
p. 41 …the business sector and are included in gross private business investment. The second US account shows…
p. 43 …On the other hand, the tax amounts to 30 percent of the gross output of the…
p. 44 …Turnover taxes were 30 and 56 percent of the gross outputs of the sugar and other…
p. 45 …The capital stock data used in this study are gross of depreciation. Approved for Release: 2019…
p. 47 …2019/07/19 C05210421 Table 8 Billion Rubles Gross National Product of the Soviet Union ' in…
p. 48 …The row and column sums are determined as each sector’s gross output less, respec- tively…
p. 49 …2019/07/19 C05210421 Table 10 Percent 1970 Soviet Gross National Product by End Use W…
p. 52 …Therefore, value added is computed as a residual—the difference between gross output and current material…
p. 53 …Therefore, if in- dexes of gross output and current inputs are both available, the gross output…
p. 56 …Each subbranch index measures the gross output of an I-O sector by summing the physical…
p. 57 …The material-input index is less desirable than a double deflation or gross output index, but…
p. 58 …2019/07/19 C05210421 Appendix A ' Soviet Gross National Product, 1950-80 This appendix presents the…
p. 59 …5 0.5 0.6 0.6 Gross national product 133.6 137.7 145.8…
p. 60 …4 ._ §l§5QfI.i2j§§5 1.0 Gross national product 232.3 245.3 254.5…
p. 61 …4 1.4 1.4 1.4 Gross national product 383.3 398.2 405.7…
p. 62 …0 5.2 3.7 2.7___ Gross national product 5.5 5.9 5.0…
p. 63 …8 7.6 5.8 4.0 Gross national product 3.1 5.9 5.2…
p. 64 …5.1 4.; 2.9 7.7“ ' Gross national product 5.6 3.8 -1.1…
p. 65 …2 3.4 0.8 1 4 Gross national product 3.9 1.9 7.3…
p. 66 …9 0.3 2.5 0.3 Gross national product 100.0 100.0 100.0…
p. 67 …3 0.3 0.3 0.3 Gross national product 100.0 100.0 100.0…
p. 68 …3 0.3 0.3 0.3 Gross national product 100.0 100.0 100.0…
p. 69 …3 51.2 55.1 58.3 _ Gross national product 34.9 35.9 38.0…
p. 71 …7 134.1 135.2 137.1 Gross national product 100.0 103.9 105.9…
p. 72 …27.5 24.. ?6i5j_; Gross national product 133.6 137.7 145.8 153.4 160…
p. 73 …1 43.7 45.9 s9.7_‘ Gross national product 232.3 245.3 254.5…
p. 75 …4.5 1.1 5.9 -3.1 Gross national product 5.5 5.9 5…
p. 76 …0 0.0 0.0 0.0 Gross national product 3.1 5.9 5.2…
p. 77 …0 0.0 0.0 0.0 Gross national product 5.6 3.8 -1.1…
p. 78 …g 4.3 0.0 0.0 Gross national product 3.9 1.9 7.3…
p. 79 …1 28.1 29.1 30.2 Gross national product 741.7 752.2 784.0…
p. 80 …9 36.6 31.8 Ww3§’.98W Gross national product 1,083.8 1,124.6…
p. 81 …1 46.1 46.9 46.8 Gross national product 1,578.5 1,624.6…
p. 82 …3.2 7* 1.4 1.3 Gross national product 3.7 4.0 3.5…
p. 83 …1 14.0 13.8 13.5 Gross national product 100.0 100.0 100.0…
p. 84 …8 13.4 13.3 7 17717 Gross national product 100.0 100.0 100.0…
p. 85 …4 9.6 8.1 6.9 Gross national product 100.0 100.0 100.0…
p. 86 …31.7 65.3______s.9 g Gross national product 34.9 35.9 38.0…
p. 87 …9 98.2 103.1 89.1 Gross national product 60.6 64.0 66.4…
p. 88 …8 110.4 93.7 81.8 Gross national product 100.0 103.9 105.9…
p. 89 …Subtracting the deflated material pur- chases from the deflated gross output produces value added in constant…
p. 90 …The ratio of material inputs (gross output less NMP) to gross output declined slowly in this…

Approved for Release: 2019/07/19 C05210421
Table B- l 9
Derivation of the Index of Value Added in Science
Year (1)
Material Inputs
(billion rubles)
(2)
Price Index for
Material Inputs
of Science
(3)
Material Inputs
(billion 1970
rubles)
(1970=100)
(4)
Man-Hour
Employment
(million)
(5) (6) (7)
Wage Income Total Science Index of Science
(billion 1970 Expenditures Expenditures
rubles) (billion 1970 (l970= 100)
-.51.PL=S>... -3--- -
19% 0.376 135.3 0.278 1,538
7
1.498 1.775 18.2
1951 0.414 116.6 0.355 1,639 1.596 1.951 20.0
1952* 0.451 107.9 0.418
— 1,737 1.691 1 2.110_l 2_l_Z
1953 0.489 100.5 0.486 1»77_4_ 1.728 2.214 22.7
‘"7
1954 0.526 97.2 0.541 1,849 1.800 i 2.342
8_—vWnlYz
1955 0.601
I
92.3 0.652
I
1,952 1.901
24.0
W 2.553 26.2 VWWWW
17956 0.752 87.8 0.856 2,088 2.034 é 2.890 __29.6 _ _
E]
1958
0.902 86.3 1.045 2,216 2.158 3.203 32.8
1.053 85.0
_ 1.239
'
2,45" 2.390 I3-929
I
3.1-1*.7“§.:-.
1959 ..
1.241 85.5 1.451 2,644 2.575 i 4.026 V 4rl.3AH___“__m_
1 960 1.466 87.2 1.681 3,003 2.924 4.605 47.2
1 96 1____ 1.708
W 87.8 1.947 3,286 3.200 1 5-1473
0
75.1_~7‘m"7I.
1 96 24” _ 1.923 38.3.
_
2.178 3,634 3.539 W 5.717 ___
1963 2.109
A
89.1 2.366 3,901 3.799
58.6 AM M»
6.166 63.2
199413 1-; 2.407 89.9 2.678
04
4,16)- 4.032 Q 9759 ?>‘i?7’f:..f7
1965 2.599 90.5 2.872 4,311 4.198 7.070 72.4
1 966 2.852
4“
91.3
W 3.125 4,533
I
4.414
M 7.539 *7'7.3*v” '3
.1997 If 3.082 95.3 3i234 4,744 4.620 -1 7-854 :_ 17192.-.. -_..f:
1 96_8_______3 .480
1969
98.8 3.522
— 5,005 4.874 8.396 86.0
3.822 99.1
_
3.856 5,258 5.120
Z’
8.976
_
92.0
M
1379 4.463 100.0
W 4.463 5,438 5.296 -- 9-73° 0. 199-9;_ff'l."..‘;
1971 4.876 100.4
1'
4.857 5,709 5.559 10.417 106.7
1.912.. 5.358 100.4 5.339
“-77 6,003 5.846
7*
11.184 114.67“; 4 I
1973*] 5.842 100.5 5.815
'
6,299 6.134 171 -959 - -3111-Ti-.§.:..
.1.27i--... 6.140 100.6
_
6.103 6,542 6.371 12.474 127.8
19.7}. _ _ 6.475 101.0 6.413
7‘
6,857 6.678 713.091
“W 134.1
A“
121.2 -_ . .- 6.5864 101.7
7 6.476 6,984 6.802 __0 13.278” ___173:6.0W _ i_ ____
1977 6.810
W 102.5 6.646 7,166
~
6.978 13.624 139.6
1978 7.182 __ 103.3 6.950 7,346
‘W 7.154
1979M’ p_ 7.517_fifi 104.2 7.212 A 7,698
I
7.497
-_-__.L‘..-1°“. '55‘.-.5
____l4.709 l i iiii W W
1980 8 .000 104.6 7.645 7,908
U
7.701 15.346 157.2
Sources: Column 1: See table B-18, column 4. Column 5: The 1970 value is from table D-7. All other values are
Column 2: See text. computed by converting column 4 to index form (1970= 100) and
Column 3: This is column 1 deflated by column 2. multiplying it by the 1970 value in this column.
Column 4: See text. Column 6: This is column 3 plus column 5.
Column 7: This is the index of column 6.
111
Approved for Release: 2019/07/19 C05210421

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FOIA release, from the cia-readingroom collection. The PDF is mirrored here; the original link is under it. 399 pages are in the text index: search them above, or from the library's search.