Documents / FOIA release

USSR: Measures of Economic Growth and Development, 1950-80

Central Intelligence Agency · 1982-12-08 · 399 pages · text from the file's own layer

This Joint Committee Print, dated December 8, 1982, gathers studies that the Central Intelligence Agency's Directorate of Intelligence prepared for the Joint Economic Committee of the US Congress. It gives estimates of Soviet gross national product for 1950 to 1980, with indexes of industrial production, agricultural production and consumption, and explains the methods and data behind them. The foreword says official Soviet statistics inflate growth and that the CIA measures offer a more accurate picture. The document contains no UFO material.

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Approved for Release: 2019/07/19 C05210421
Table B-17 1970= 100
Derivation of the Index of Value Added in Trade
Year (1)
Retail
Trade
(2) (3) (4)
Wholesale Agricultural Total
Trade Procurement Trade
1950 23.7 23.1 26.4 23.9
1951 25.3 26.2 28.6 26.0
1952 28.1 28.4 31.0 28.5
1953 31.7 31.0 32.5 31.6
are derived by disaggregating the value-added compo-
nents of these two sectors and, therefore, differ from
the end-use weights. The weights used are:
Percent
Repair and personal care 100.0
State provided services 79.9
Privately provided services 20.1
Recreation 100.0
Entertainment 51.5
Vacation resorts 14.0
1954 35.2 34.0 35.4 34.9
Leisure 34.4
1955 38.3 37.5 38.8 38.2
1956 41.4 40.7 46.0 41.7
1957 45.6 43.5 45.8 45.1
1958 49.7 47.2 53.9 49.5
1959 52.5 51.5 58.4 52.9
1 960 56.4 54.9 60.9 56.5
1961 58.3 58.4 61.8 58.7
1962 61.2 62.3 67.0 62.2
1963 63.7 65.4 68.1 64.7
1964 65.2 69.1 73.4 67.2
1965 69.6 73.7 74.5 71.3
1966 74.7 77.8 86.4 76.9
1967 80.9 83.4 89.8 82.6
1968 87.5 88.8 94.6 88.7
1969 94.0 93.7 90.1 93.5
1970 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0
1971 104.7 105.2 104.4 104.8
1972 108.0 109.6 106.7 ‘l08.3
1973 112.8 114.8 118.3 114.0
1974 118.4 122.1 120.9 119.7
1975 124.7 129.1 118.6 125.1
1976 129.2 132.9 124.3 129.6
1977 133.9 138.0 126.9 134.2
1978 138.4 141.7 133.7 138.7
1979 143.1 145.8 127.5 142.0
1980 147.8 148.8 124.7 145.3
utilities sector supplies all urban customers, not just
households. The weights used to combine the two
components of the sector-of-origin utilities index are:
natural gas, 25.3 percent, and the housing stock, 74.7
percent. The weights used to combine the subindexes
of the repair and personal care and recreation indexes
The education and health sector-of-origin indexes are
the man-hour components of the end-use education
and health indexes. The following sections describe
the remaining services—science, credit and insurance,
and government administrative services.
Science
Scope and Coverage. As defined here, science com-
prises the activities of scientific research organiza-
tions subordinate to ministries or the academies of
sciences. More specifically, the organizations included
are: ( 1) academies, institutes, observatories, archives,
botanical gardens, museums, and libraries engaged in
scientific research; (2) surveying and geological explo-
ration of a general nature; (3) independent design
organizations and selected experimental stations;
(4) hydrometeorological service; and (5) ancillary or-
ganizations servicing scientific organizations, such as
machine-testing stations (Ukazaniya, pp. 757-759).
The sector encompasses the Soviet classification cate-
gory “science and scientific services,” for which em-
ployment and wage data are regularly reported. The
activities are financed partly by the state budget and
partly by charges to enterprise costs and profits.
The sector encompasses most but not all Soviet
activity in the area of research and development.
Some of the scientific research done at higher educa-
tional institutions is not included—-about 2 percent of
total reported outlays according to B. M. Grinchel’,
Izmereniye eflectivnosti nauchn0—tekhnichesk0g0
108
Approved for Release: 2019/07/19 C05210421

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FOIA release, from the cia-readingroom collection. The PDF is mirrored here; the original link is under it. 399 pages are in the text index: search them above, or from the library's search.