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USSR: Measures of Economic Growth and Development, 1950-80

Central Intelligence Agency · 1982-12-08 · 399 pages · text from the file's own layer

This Joint Committee Print, dated December 8, 1982, gathers studies that the Central Intelligence Agency's Directorate of Intelligence prepared for the Joint Economic Committee of the US Congress. It gives estimates of Soviet gross national product for 1950 to 1980, with indexes of industrial production, agricultural production and consumption, and explains the methods and data behind them. The foreword says official Soviet statistics inflate growth and that the CIA measures offer a more accurate picture. The document contains no UFO material.

  • p. 4 …The volume contains a series of tables estimating the Soviet gross national product and its components…
  • p. 5 …quantified estimates of the value of Soviet gross national product (GNP), its rate of growth, its…
  • p. 6 …The Soviet indices of industrial and agricultural production are based on gross output rather than value…
  • p. 7 …For example, data on the amount of waste included in the gross output data of agricultural…
  • p. 8 …The measure shown represents “net output,” or gross output less products used by agriculture (seed and…
  • p. 9 …compendium on the Soviet eeonomV- “The Real Gross National Product of the U.S.S.R…
  • p. 10 …Contributions of Rush V. Greenslade ________ _________________-________ ____ __ 1x I. Gross National Product of the USSR, 1950—80.-______________________________ 3…
  • p. 12 …Release: 2019/07/19 C05210421 Part I. GROSS NATIONAL PRODUCT OF THE USSR, 1950-80 By…
  • p. 14 …Turnover Taxes as a Share of Gross Output in Industry, 1972 6. Subsidies on Agricultural Products…
  • p. 15 …2019/07/19 C05210421 Gross National Product of the Soviet Union in Established Prices, 39 by…
  • p. 16 …of Value Added in Agriculture B-8. Gross Output, Total Material Purchases, and Value Added in…
  • p. 17 …I Soviet Gross National Product in Established Priceskby End Use, I if I970 D-6. I…
  • p. 18 …An International Comparison, 1981 Gross National Product of the USSR: An International Comparison, 1982 Soviet Economic…
  • p. 19 …2019/07/19 C05210421 Gross National Product of the USSR, 1950-80 Introduction This paper presents…
  • p. 20 …Lee, “USSR Gross National Product in Established Prices, 1955-1975,” Jahrbuch der Wirtsc/la/I Osteuropas…
  • p. 27 …GNP for the Soviet Union and of gross domestic product (GDP) for selected OECD countries.” For…
  • p. 34 …Lee, “USSR Gross National Product," p. 413; and Becker, 1969, p. 128. difference between the growth…
  • p. 35 …conducted on a net rather than a gross basis. The enterprise is expected to be managed…
  • p. 41 …the business sector and are included in gross private business investment. The second US account shows…
  • p. 43 …On the other hand, the tax amounts to 30 percent of the gross output of the…
  • p. 44 …Turnover taxes were 30 and 56 percent of the gross outputs of the sugar and other…
  • p. 45 …The capital stock data used in this study are gross of depreciation. Approved for Release: 2019…
  • p. 47 …2019/07/19 C05210421 Table 8 Billion Rubles Gross National Product of the Soviet Union ' in…
  • p. 48 …The row and column sums are determined as each sector’s gross output less, respec- tively…
  • p. 49 …2019/07/19 C05210421 Table 10 Percent 1970 Soviet Gross National Product by End Use W…
  • p. 52 …Therefore, value added is computed as a residual—the difference between gross output and current material…
  • p. 53 …Therefore, if in- dexes of gross output and current inputs are both available, the gross output…
  • p. 56 …Each subbranch index measures the gross output of an I-O sector by summing the physical…
  • p. 57 …The material-input index is less desirable than a double deflation or gross output index, but…
  • p. 58 …2019/07/19 C05210421 Appendix A ' Soviet Gross National Product, 1950-80 This appendix presents the…
  • p. 59 …5 0.5 0.6 0.6 Gross national product 133.6 137.7 145.8…
  • p. 60 …4 ._ §l§5QfI.i2j§§5 1.0 Gross national product 232.3 245.3 254.5…
  • p. 61 …4 1.4 1.4 1.4 Gross national product 383.3 398.2 405.7…
  • p. 62 …0 5.2 3.7 2.7___ Gross national product 5.5 5.9 5.0…
  • p. 63 …8 7.6 5.8 4.0 Gross national product 3.1 5.9 5.2…
  • p. 64 …5.1 4.; 2.9 7.7“ ' Gross national product 5.6 3.8 -1.1…
  • p. 65 …2 3.4 0.8 1 4 Gross national product 3.9 1.9 7.3…
  • p. 66 …9 0.3 2.5 0.3 Gross national product 100.0 100.0 100.0…
  • p. 67 …3 0.3 0.3 0.3 Gross national product 100.0 100.0 100.0…
  • p. 68 …3 0.3 0.3 0.3 Gross national product 100.0 100.0 100.0…
  • p. 69 …3 51.2 55.1 58.3 _ Gross national product 34.9 35.9 38.0…
  • p. 71 …7 134.1 135.2 137.1 Gross national product 100.0 103.9 105.9…
  • p. 72 …27.5 24.. ?6i5j_; Gross national product 133.6 137.7 145.8 153.4 160…
  • p. 73 …1 43.7 45.9 s9.7_‘ Gross national product 232.3 245.3 254.5…
  • p. 75 …4.5 1.1 5.9 -3.1 Gross national product 5.5 5.9 5…
  • p. 76 …0 0.0 0.0 0.0 Gross national product 3.1 5.9 5.2…
  • p. 77 …0 0.0 0.0 0.0 Gross national product 5.6 3.8 -1.1…
  • p. 78 …g 4.3 0.0 0.0 Gross national product 3.9 1.9 7.3…
  • p. 79 …1 28.1 29.1 30.2 Gross national product 741.7 752.2 784.0…
  • p. 80 …9 36.6 31.8 Ww3§’.98W Gross national product 1,083.8 1,124.6…
  • p. 81 …1 46.1 46.9 46.8 Gross national product 1,578.5 1,624.6…
  • p. 82 …3.2 7* 1.4 1.3 Gross national product 3.7 4.0 3.5…
  • p. 83 …1 14.0 13.8 13.5 Gross national product 100.0 100.0 100.0…
  • p. 84 …8 13.4 13.3 7 17717 Gross national product 100.0 100.0 100.0…
  • p. 85 …4 9.6 8.1 6.9 Gross national product 100.0 100.0 100.0…
  • p. 86 …31.7 65.3______s.9 g Gross national product 34.9 35.9 38.0…
  • p. 87 …9 98.2 103.1 89.1 Gross national product 60.6 64.0 66.4…
  • p. 88 …8 110.4 93.7 81.8 Gross national product 100.0 103.9 105.9…
  • p. 89 …Subtracting the deflated material pur- chases from the deflated gross output produces value added in constant…
  • p. 90 …The ratio of material inputs (gross output less NMP) to gross output declined slowly in this…
Approved for Release: 2019/07/19 C05210421
Table B-17 1970= 100
Derivation of the Index of Value Added in Trade
Year (1)
Retail
Trade
(2) (3) (4)
Wholesale Agricultural Total
Trade Procurement Trade
1950 23.7 23.1 26.4 23.9
1951 25.3 26.2 28.6 26.0
1952 28.1 28.4 31.0 28.5
1953 31.7 31.0 32.5 31.6
are derived by disaggregating the value-added compo-
nents of these two sectors and, therefore, differ from
the end-use weights. The weights used are:
Percent
Repair and personal care 100.0
State provided services 79.9
Privately provided services 20.1
Recreation 100.0
Entertainment 51.5
Vacation resorts 14.0
1954 35.2 34.0 35.4 34.9
Leisure 34.4
1955 38.3 37.5 38.8 38.2
1956 41.4 40.7 46.0 41.7
1957 45.6 43.5 45.8 45.1
1958 49.7 47.2 53.9 49.5
1959 52.5 51.5 58.4 52.9
1 960 56.4 54.9 60.9 56.5
1961 58.3 58.4 61.8 58.7
1962 61.2 62.3 67.0 62.2
1963 63.7 65.4 68.1 64.7
1964 65.2 69.1 73.4 67.2
1965 69.6 73.7 74.5 71.3
1966 74.7 77.8 86.4 76.9
1967 80.9 83.4 89.8 82.6
1968 87.5 88.8 94.6 88.7
1969 94.0 93.7 90.1 93.5
1970 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0
1971 104.7 105.2 104.4 104.8
1972 108.0 109.6 106.7 ‘l08.3
1973 112.8 114.8 118.3 114.0
1974 118.4 122.1 120.9 119.7
1975 124.7 129.1 118.6 125.1
1976 129.2 132.9 124.3 129.6
1977 133.9 138.0 126.9 134.2
1978 138.4 141.7 133.7 138.7
1979 143.1 145.8 127.5 142.0
1980 147.8 148.8 124.7 145.3
utilities sector supplies all urban customers, not just
households. The weights used to combine the two
components of the sector-of-origin utilities index are:
natural gas, 25.3 percent, and the housing stock, 74.7
percent. The weights used to combine the subindexes
of the repair and personal care and recreation indexes
The education and health sector-of-origin indexes are
the man-hour components of the end-use education
and health indexes. The following sections describe
the remaining services—science, credit and insurance,
and government administrative services.
Science
Scope and Coverage. As defined here, science com-
prises the activities of scientific research organiza-
tions subordinate to ministries or the academies of
sciences. More specifically, the organizations included
are: ( 1) academies, institutes, observatories, archives,
botanical gardens, museums, and libraries engaged in
scientific research; (2) surveying and geological explo-
ration of a general nature; (3) independent design
organizations and selected experimental stations;
(4) hydrometeorological service; and (5) ancillary or-
ganizations servicing scientific organizations, such as
machine-testing stations (Ukazaniya, pp. 757-759).
The sector encompasses the Soviet classification cate-
gory “science and scientific services,” for which em-
ployment and wage data are regularly reported. The
activities are financed partly by the state budget and
partly by charges to enterprise costs and profits.
The sector encompasses most but not all Soviet
activity in the area of research and development.
Some of the scientific research done at higher educa-
tional institutions is not included—-about 2 percent of
total reported outlays according to B. M. Grinchel’,
Izmereniye eflectivnosti nauchn0—tekhnichesk0g0
108
Approved for Release: 2019/07/19 C05210421

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FOIA release, from the cia-readingroom collection. The PDF is mirrored here; the original link is under it. 399 pages are in the text index: search them above, or from the library's search.