Documents / FOIA release
This Joint Committee Print, dated December 8, 1982, gathers studies that the Central Intelligence Agency's Directorate of Intelligence prepared for the Joint Economic Committee of the US Congress. It gives estimates of Soviet gross national product for 1950 to 1980, with indexes of industrial production, agricultural production and consumption, and explains the methods and data behind them. The foreword says official Soviet statistics inflate growth and that the CIA measures offer a more accurate picture. The document contains no UFO material.
Approved for Release: 2019/07/19 C05210421 Table B-l3 (Continued) Derivation of the Retail Trade Index Year of Food Retail Trade Sales (ii) CTCTCWW 7 Consumption Income in Kind Collective Farm Sales (3) <9) 9 (10) Billion 1970 Rubles Billion Percent 1970 of (1) Rubles (billion 1970 rubles) Percent of (1) Food (billion 1970 rubles) Soft Goods (billion 1970 rubles) _A Durables (billion 1970 rubles) Total (billion 1970 rubles) index (l970= 100) 1972 110.4 14.1 15.6 4.4 4.9 89.9 47.7 18.7 156.; 1088.168 8 1973 114.0 13.6 15.5 4.2 4.7 93.8 49.3 20.3 163.3 1 1 2.121;’ 8-” 1974 118.7 13.1 15.6 3.9 4.7 98.5 51.0 22.0 17114 118.4“ 1975 122.6 12.5 15.3 3.8 4.6 102.6 53.8 24.1 180.85 13118.7 ' 1976 123.6 11.2 13.8 3.9 4.8 105.0 56.3 25.7 isio 129112” 1977 126.2 11.0 13.8 3.8 4.8 107.6 58.2 28.0 193.9_ 1338.5’ 1978 129.9 10.7 13.9 3.7 4.8 111.2 59.9 29.2 200.3 D 1 388.1“ 1979 133.0 10.5 13.9 3.6 4.8 114.3 62.4 30.4 _ 207.2“- uzf _ 1980 134.4 10.2 13.7 3.5 4.7 116.0 65.4 32.5 213.9 147.8 Sources: Column 1: The consumption of food in 1970 established prices is computed by multiplying the index of consumption of food by the 1970 Value of 107.9 billion rubles (table 9). The food index is derived in JEC, Consumption. Columns 2 and 4: The values for 1950, 1955, 1960, 1966, 1970, 1974, and 1976 are derived by dividing columns 3 and 5, respectively, by column 1. Intervening years are interpolated by assuming equal percentage rates of change.The values for 1977-80 are assumed to decrease at an annual rate of 0.25 percentage points for income in kind (column 2), and 0.1 percentage points for collective-farm-market sales (column 4). 103 Approved for Release: 2019/07/19 C05210421 Columns 3 and 5: The values for 1950, 1955, 1960, 1966, 1970, 1974, and 1976 are from tables B-11 and B-12. The values for all other years are derived as column 1 times columns 2 and 4, respectively. Column 6: This is column 1 less columns 3 and 5. Columns 7 and 8: The base-year (1970) ruble values of consumption of soft goods and durables are multiplied by our indexes of consumption of soft goods and durables as derived in J EC, Consumption. The 1970 values are from table 9. Column 9: This is the sum of columns 6, 7, and 8. Column 10: This is the index of column 9.
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FOIA release, from the cia-readingroom collection. The PDF is mirrored here; the original link is under it. 399 pages are in the text index: search them above, or from the library's search.