Documents / FOIA release
This Joint Committee Print, dated December 8, 1982, gathers studies that the Central Intelligence Agency's Directorate of Intelligence prepared for the Joint Economic Committee of the US Congress. It gives estimates of Soviet gross national product for 1950 to 1980, with indexes of industrial production, agricultural production and consumption, and explains the methods and data behind them. The foreword says official Soviet statistics inflate growth and that the CIA measures offer a more accurate picture. The document contains no UFO material.
“Cooper”25 pages
Approved for Release: 2019/07/19 C05210421 Table B-11 (continued) Price 1950 e 1955 (rubles per ton) 1900 W 1966 T070 101571110774’- 1970 Fruit 282 Thousand tons 1,100 1,000 1,000 1,500 2,000 _ 2,000 2,s00___ Billion rubles 0.310 0.282 0.282 0.423 0.564 0.564 0.705 Total (billion rubles) 15.483 15.298 16.290 16.526 16.376 15.606 13.842 *1 The price of eggs is 100 rubles per thousand eggs. Sources for this table: Grain. The quantities are estimated by the general methodology given in CIA, GNP I970, p. 31. The 1974 and 1976 values are arbitrarily set equal to the 1970 value. The price is given in CIA, GNP I970, p. 32. Potatoes. The quantities are derived as gross output less the amounts used for seed and marketed output. Gross output and marketed output are given in Narkhoz 1974, pp. 316 and 369, and similar tables in other issues. Seeding rates are derived separately for each year at 19 centners per hectare in 1950, 1955, and 1960; 20 centners per hectare in 1966 and 1974; and 25 centners per hectare in 1970. The price is given in CIA GNP I970, p. 32. Vegetables. The quantities are derived in the same manner as potatoes. Twenty percent of the gross output is assumed to be fed to livestock. The price is from CIA, GNP I970, p. 32. Meat. The slaughter weight of meat is derived in detail as described in CIA. GNP I970, table A-3, p. 38. The slaughter weight is then di- vided into the quantities consumed as meat or animal fat. The percentages of the slaughter weight used for each year are: Meat Animal Fat 1950 81.5 15.2 1955 81.0 16.5 1960 81.3 16.1 1966 80.1 17.3 1970 1974 1976 80.9 79.2 81.7 16.3 17.4 15.3 99 The detailed derivation of these shares and the prices (not presented here) is based on estimates of the quantities and prices of several types of meat. See CIA, GNP I970, pp. 27-38, for the general procedure used. Milk. The quantities of total milk are derived in the same manner as potatoes. Milk consumed is equal to total milk less the quantity used for butter, calculated at 22.6 tons of milk per ton of butter. The quantities of butter for 1960, 1970, 1974, and 1976 are given in Narkhoz I974, p. 187, and similar tables in other issues. The quantities for 1950 and 1955 are assumed to be equal to the value published for 1953, and the quantity for 1966 is assumed to be equal to the value published for 1965. The price for milk is from CIA, GNP 1970, p. 34. Thirteen percent of the gross output is assumed to be used in production. Eggs. The quantities are derived in the same manner as potatoes. The number of hatching eggs are calculated as described in CIA, GNP I970, p. 29. The price is given in CIA, GNP I970, p. 35. Fruit. The quantities consumed in kind are estimated to be 40 percent of the gross output in 1950, 30 percent in 1955, 20 percent in 1960, 19 percent in 1966, 17 percent in 1970, and 16 percent in 1974. Approved for Release: 2019/07/19 C05210421
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FOIA release, from the cia-readingroom collection. The PDF is mirrored here; the original link is above. 399 pages are in the text index: search them above, or from the library's search.