Documents / FOIA release
This Joint Committee Print, dated December 8, 1982, gathers studies that the Central Intelligence Agency's Directorate of Intelligence prepared for the Joint Economic Committee of the US Congress. It gives estimates of Soviet gross national product for 1950 to 1980, with indexes of industrial production, agricultural production and consumption, and explains the methods and data behind them. The foreword says official Soviet statistics inflate growth and that the CIA measures offer a more accurate picture. The document contains no UFO material.
“Gross”60+ pages
employment is shown in column 3. Finally, these data Approved for Release: 2019/07/19 C05210421 are scaled up in column 4 so that the total wages equal 8.748 billion rubles. (1) (2) (3) Monthly Employment Annual Wages (million (rubles) persons) Wage Bill (billion rubles) (4) Adjusted Wage Bill (billion rubles) Total trade 95.1 7.537 NA 8.748 sector Retail trade 92.9 and public dining Wholesale 109.1 trade and material- technical supply Agricultural 102.3 procurement 5.746 6.406 6.436 1.251 1.638 1.646 0.540 0.663 0.666 Other and Imputed Income. The total, 0.932 billion rubles, was distributed among the branches on the basis of their shares of the wage bill. Social Insurance. The total, 0.395 billion rubles, was distributed among the branches on the basis of their shares of the wage bill. Depreciation. Total depreciation in trade was distrib- uted among the branches on the basis of their relative shares in total amortization deductions as given in Narkhoz I972, p. 723. The allocation between retail and wholesale trade was made by estimating amorti- zation deductions for wholesale trade and subtracting the result from the amount given for the two branches combined. The estimate for wholesale trade was made by assuming that the ratio of amortization to wages in that branch was the same as in material-technical supply. Profits. Total profits in the branches of trade are given in Narkhoz I973, pp. 763 and 767. Since the 1970 value-added component for profits represents net profits (CIA, GNP I970, p. 67), the component representing state enterprise profits (5.396 billion rubles) was distributed among the branches on the 97 basis of their shares in total profits of state enter- prises. Net profits equal total profits less the bonuses paid from profits which are also included in wages. Net profits of consumer cooperatives were included with retail trade and public dining. Subsidies. This item applies only to retail trade. lt represents budget reimbursement for losses incurred in sales of slow-moving goods to the population at reduced prices (0.400 billion rubles) and a subsidy on the procurement of fresh vegetables by retail trade (0.130 billion rubles). Description of the Index Retail Trade. The value of total goods flowing through the state and cooperative retail trade network in I970 prices is derived by deducting the value of collective-farm-market and commission sales and the value of household consumption in kind from our index of personal consumption of food expressed in ruble terms, and then adding ruble estimates of the consumption of soft goods and durables. The resulting series measures household purchases of goods in state and cooperative trade in real terms. Estimates of collective-farm-market sales and house- hold consumption in kind first were derived for the benchmark years of 1950, 1955, 1960, 1966, 1970, 1974, and 1976 as shown in tables B-1 l and B-12. The procedure is similar to that used in CIA, GNP I970. First, physical quantities of seven products sold on collective farm markets and nine products con- sumed in kind by households were estimated for each benchmark year. In general, gross output is divided into the amounts used in production, marketed out- put, and, as a residual, farm household consumption in kind. Collective-farm-market sales are then esti- mated as marketed output less state procurement, decentralized procurement, and the difference, if any, between the physical and accounting weight of pro- curements. Some of the major sources and procedures are indicated in the sources to tables B-l l and B-12. Greater detail is given in CIA, GNP I970, table A-1, pp. 27-31. The quantities of each product for each Approved for Release: 2019/07/19 C05210421
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FOIA release, from the cia-readingroom collection. The PDF is mirrored here; the original link is under it. 399 pages are in the text index: search them above, or from the library's search.