Documents / FOIA release

USSR: Measures of Economic Growth and Development, 1950-80

Central Intelligence Agency · 1982-12-08 · 399 pages · text from the file's own layer

This Joint Committee Print, dated December 8, 1982, gathers studies that the Central Intelligence Agency's Directorate of Intelligence prepared for the Joint Economic Committee of the US Congress. It gives estimates of Soviet gross national product for 1950 to 1980, with indexes of industrial production, agricultural production and consumption, and explains the methods and data behind them. The foreword says official Soviet statistics inflate growth and that the CIA measures offer a more accurate picture. The document contains no UFO material.

  • p. 36 …In the USSR the collective farm, or kolkhoz, is part state and part cooperative. The land…
  • p. 47 …0.66e_ Consumer cooperatives 1.283 i Retained profits of consumer cooperatives 0.821 Tax on…
  • p. 50 …Hill, The Measurement of Real Product, The Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development, Paris, 1971; R…
  • p. 103 …Net profits of consumer cooperatives were included with retail trade and public dining. Subsidies. This item…
  • p. 118 …and economic admin- istration, administrative organs of cooperative and social organizations,” for which employment and oth…
  • p. 119 …Social organi- zations include the administrative organs of the All- Union Society of Consumer Cooperatives, the…
  • p. 130 …The profits distributed to consumer cooperative members are now considered to be a transfer receipt rather…
  • p. 133 …Profits distributed to consumer cooperative members 0.027 9. Total income 217.206 Sources to this…
  • p. 134 …Profits distributed to consumer cooperative members. See CIA, GNP I970, p. 23. 9. Total income. This…
  • p. 135 …State, cooperative, and commission sales 141.096 (1)Fo0d 84.104 (2) Soft goods 42.734…
  • p. 137 …Charges paid by members of housing 0.075 cooperatives for maintenance lmputed gross rent on urban…
  • p. 138 …Taxes on land and buildings owned by individuals and cooperatives are from Gosb_vudzhet I972, p…
  • p. 139 …Retained profits of consumer cooperatives 0.821 d. Retained profits of other organizations 0.321 2…
  • p. 142 …Profits distributed to consumer 0.027 cooperative members 8.’C;solidate_d total outlays 215.841…
  • p. 147 …Consumer cooperatives 1.283 (1) Retained profits of consumer cooperatives 0.821 (2) Tax on income…
  • p. 160 …532) plus a share of the amortization deductions of consumer cooperatives. Altough consumer cooperatives are primarily…
  • p. 162 …532) and amortization deductions of consumer cooperatives on industrial capital (0.083 billion ru~ bles-—see…
  • p. 164 …retained profits and income taxes of consumer cooperatives and other organizations, respectively. 7. Total pra/its…
  • p. 257 …Other state purchasing orga- nizations are the Central Union of Consumer Cooper- atives, and the Ministries…
  • p. 286 …Review of I978 and Outlook for I97 9, Economics, Statistics, and Cooperatives Service, April 1979, p…
  • p. 330 …exceeded the prices paid in state and cooperative retail outlets by an average of ~59 percent…
  • p. 331 …index of retail prices in state and cooperative outlets. The index which shows almost no change…
  • p. 332 …In coverage, it differs from the CIA index of consumption, mainly by inclusion of cooperative housing…
  • p. 335 …purchases of these items in state and cooperative retail outlets and in collective farm markets, including…
  • p. 339 …The index implicitly covers all goods purchased in state and cooperative retail out- lets, except those…
Approved for Release: 2019/07/19 C05210421
Weights
Value added in the trade sector in 1970 is derived in
appendix D, at 18.273 billion rubles. The value added
in each of the three branches of the trade sector is
shown in the following tabulation:
Distribution of the Value Added Billion Rubles
in the Trade Sector, 1970
Total Retail Wholesale Agricultural
Trade Trade Trade Procurement
Total value 18.273 11.263 4.826 2.184
added
Wage bill 8.748
Other and 0.932
imputed
income
Social 0.395
insurance
Depreci- 1.323
ation
Profits 6.679 3.359 2.208 1.112
Subsidies -0.530 -0.530 0 0
Miscella- 0.726 0.447 0.192 0.087
neous
charges
Percent 100.0 61.64 26.41 11.95
6.436
0.686
1.646
0.175
0.666
0.071
0.291 0.074 0.030
0.574 0.531 0.218
The sources for each line item are:
Toral Value Added. This is derived as the sum of the
components.
Wage Bill. The total wage bill, 8.748 billion rubles, is
divided among the branches using employment data
for the USSR and wage data for Estonia. Average
wages and employment in Estonia for 1970 for three
branches (retail trade, wholesale trade, and public
dining; material-technical supply; and agricultural
procurement) are given in Narodnoe khozyaystvo
Estonskoy SSR v I972 godu, Tallin, Eesti Raamat,
1973, pp. 219 and 223. These data plus the implied
average monthly wage rate for the total trade sector
are shown in the tabulation below. Also shown is the
ratio of the monthly wages in each of the three
branches to the monthly wage rate for the entire trade
S€C1LOI'I
(1 )
Employment
in Estonia
(thousands)
(2)
Monthly
Wages in
Estonia
(rubles)
(3)
Ratio of
Monthly Wages
to Average
(percent)
Total trade 54.2
SCCIOI’
105.9 100.0
Trade (whole- 46.1
sale and retail)
and public
dining
103.5 97.7
Material- 6.0
technical
supply
121.5 114.7
Agricultural 2.1 113.9 107.6
pl'OCLll'C[I1C[11.
It is assumed that the structure of relative monthly
wages was the same for the USSR as it was for
Estonia. The first column in the tabulation below
shows the average monthly wage rates implied by this
assumption. They are calculated by multiplying the
data in column 3 of the tabulation above by the
average monthly wage for the total trade sector for
the USSR of 95.1 rubles (Narkhoz I979, p. 395).
Employment in each branch is shown in column 2.
Total trade and retail trade employment are given in
Narkhoz I973, pp. 575 and 671. Agricultural pro-
curement employment is given in P. I. Vakhrin,
Formirovaniye osnovnykh fondov kooperativnoy
torgovli, Moscow, Ekonomika, 1974, p. 14. Wholesale
trade and material-technical supply employment are
derived as a residual. The annual wage bill implied for
each branch by the average monthly wage rates and
96
Approved for Release: 2019/07/19 C05210421

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FOIA release, from the cia-readingroom collection. The PDF is mirrored here; the original link is above. 399 pages are in the text index: search them above, or from the library's search.