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USSR: Measures of Economic Growth and Development, 1950-80

Central Intelligence Agency · 1982-12-08 · 399 pages · text from the file's own layer

This Joint Committee Print, dated December 8, 1982, gathers studies that the Central Intelligence Agency's Directorate of Intelligence prepared for the Joint Economic Committee of the US Congress. It gives estimates of Soviet gross national product for 1950 to 1980, with indexes of industrial production, agricultural production and consumption, and explains the methods and data behind them. The foreword says official Soviet statistics inflate growth and that the CIA measures offer a more accurate picture. The document contains no UFO material.

  • p. 18 …Power, United Nations International Comparisons Project, Phase I (Baltimore, The Johns Hopkins University Press, 1975) ICP…
  • p. 19 …Oleg 1-Ioeffding, Soviet National Income and Product in 1928, Columbia University Press, New York, 1954…
  • p. 21 …In theory, the Soviets " Basic Principles of the System of Balances of the National Economy, United…
  • p. 50 …Lawrence Grose, Real Output Measurement in the United States National Income and Product Accounts, US Department…
  • p. 166 …The subsidies on housing, recreation, and the press were allocated to the housing, recreation, and other…
  • p. 181 …Duke University Press, 1972), pp. 155-194; with Wade Robertson, “Industrial Production in the USSR," Soviet…
  • p. 183 …tons, square meters, units of production, or some other convention- al measure. Examples of this type…
  • p. 210 …For example, the production of commodities pub- lished in physical units includes intraplant turnover, but the…
  • p. 222 …bulbs Units Narkhoz Machine tools sector ml Meta? cutting machine tools Rubles Narkhoz Forge presses sector…
  • p. 249 …Hardt, eds., Soviet Economic Statistics, Durham, N.C., Duke University Press, 1972 Treml and Hardt U…
  • p. 261 …Khrushchev stat- ed that “figures for average yield (of grain) which you read in the press…
  • p. 308 …central press. 8 Because the official data have again been made available to the United States…
  • p. 320 …Power, United Nations International Comparisons Project, Phase I (Baltimore: The Johns Hopkins University Press, 1975) ICP…
  • p. 321 …2 For details, see United Nations, Comparisons ofthe System of National Accounts and the System of…
  • p. 328 …Judging from a mass of anecdotal evidence from the Soviet press concerning the poor quality of…
  • p. 342 …Although the average size of a dwelling unit increased between 1950 and 1978-by 17 percent…
Approved for Release: 2019/07/19 C05210421
Table B-10
Derivation of the Index of Value Added in Transportation
Year
"W T11)
V in 5(2)
T K if T
T)
W V Ti“
(4)
Vii VA
Wlglflim W,
161
Freight Transportation Personal Transportation Total Transportation
Billion 1970 Index Billion 1970 Index
Rubles (l970= 100) Rubles (l970= 100)
Billion 1970 lndex
__> Rubles __W (1970f1VQ1)lf’
1950 2.8 15.5 1.2 15.3 4.0 _ flW15.5WVW
1951 3.1 17.4 1.3 17.1 _. 4~5 __ l7-3 . _
1952 3.5 19.1 1.5 18.7 M 4.9 W W7l9.0ii’"
1953 3.8 21.0 1.6 20.9 5.4 21.0
1954 4.2 23.2 1.8 23.2 M6-9 .5
1.1%-_1I 5.8.5:
1955 5.1 28.1 2.0 26.4 ‘17.1 _ _27.6__>____
1956 5.8 31.9 2.2 27.8 _‘ 7.9 30.7
1957 6.6 36.4 2.4 31.3 -29-0 - _..‘5*.._35-21-51”
1958 7.3 40.4 2.7 34.4 W100 ___ f N
1959 8.2 45.2 2.9 37.5 11.1 42.9
1 960 8.9 49.4 3.2 41.4 I 1171 if
1961 9.5 52.6 3.5 45.2 _.l3-° __59-f‘____4
1962 10.1 56.0 3.9 50.7 _.._14-° - _.__5_4.-.4 _
1963 10.9 60.5 4.3 55.4 _. '5.-.2___ _.. ..i9.~9.-..-.__ ..
1964 12.0 66.5 4.6 59.6 d 16.6 __r Mfiiir
1965 13.6 75.3 5.0 64.9 18.6 72.2
1966 14.2 78.8 5.6 72.2 if 19-8 Q: .T"i..-.7@}.9..“
T
1967 15.4 85.3 6.1 79.4 H
21.6 83.6 hi kn
1968
1969
16.3
17.0
90.2
93.9
6.7
7.2
87.3
93.7
WV 23.0 i i WW 89.3%
_ 24.2 93.8
1970 18.1 100.0 7.7 100.0 25.8
_
-1000 "5'
1971 19.3 106.6 8.3 107.0 27.5
CT’? 5
106.7
“WT
1972 20.2 111.8 8.9 114.5 "7511 _j5i;_ _ 7_
1973 21.8 120.7 9.3 120.6 M 31.1 V
120.7’ fiifl
1974 23.3 128.9 10.0 129.7 33.3 H 129.2_ Niffi
1975
1976
24.6
25.5
136.1
141.4
10.8
11.4
139.3
146.8
35.4 _ 137.0 >___W
36.9 143.0 ___v__W
1977 26.5 146.5 11.3 145.6
8
37.7 146.2
1978 27.7 153.4 11.7 151.8
E 39.5_
T“ 152.9
1979 28.1 155.6 12.3 158.5
'8
40.4 _ 156.5“
1980 29.2 161.8 12.7 164.2
T 41.9 162.5
Sources: Column 1: For each year, the physical value in each column The physical values and the average revenue weights are given in
in table B-9 is multiplied by the average revenue rate given in the J EC, Consumption.
text and the results are summed. Column 4: This is an index of column 3.
Column 2: This is an index of column 1. Column 5: This is column 1 plus column 3.
Column 3: The same procedure is followed as for column 1. Column 6: This is an index of column 5.
Approved for Release: 2019/07/19 C05210421
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FOIA release, from the cia-readingroom collection. The PDF is mirrored here; the original link is under it. 399 pages are in the text index: search them above, or from the library's search.