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USSR: Measures of Economic Growth and Development, 1950-80

Central Intelligence Agency · 1982-12-08 · 399 pages · text from the file's own layer

This Joint Committee Print, dated December 8, 1982, gathers studies that the Central Intelligence Agency's Directorate of Intelligence prepared for the Joint Economic Committee of the US Congress. It gives estimates of Soviet gross national product for 1950 to 1980, with indexes of industrial production, agricultural production and consumption, and explains the methods and data behind them. The foreword says official Soviet statistics inflate growth and that the CIA measures offer a more accurate picture. The document contains no UFO material.

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  • p. 4 …The volume contains a series of tables estimating the Soviet gross national product and its components…
  • p. 5 …quantified estimates of the value of Soviet gross national product (GNP), its rate of growth, its…
  • p. 6 …The Soviet indices of industrial and agricultural production are based on gross output rather than value…
  • p. 7 …For example, data on the amount of waste included in the gross output data of agricultural…
  • p. 8 …The measure shown represents “net output,” or gross output less products used by agriculture (seed and…
  • p. 9 …compendium on the Soviet eeonomV- “The Real Gross National Product of the U.S.S.R…
  • p. 10 …Contributions of Rush V. Greenslade ________ _________________-________ ____ __ 1x I. Gross National Product of the USSR, 1950—80.-______________________________ 3…
  • p. 12 …Release: 2019/07/19 C05210421 Part I. GROSS NATIONAL PRODUCT OF THE USSR, 1950-80 By…
  • p. 14 …Turnover Taxes as a Share of Gross Output in Industry, 1972 6. Subsidies on Agricultural Products…
  • p. 15 …2019/07/19 C05210421 Gross National Product of the Soviet Union in Established Prices, 39 by…
  • p. 16 …of Value Added in Agriculture B-8. Gross Output, Total Material Purchases, and Value Added in…
  • p. 17 …I Soviet Gross National Product in Established Priceskby End Use, I if I970 D-6. I…
  • p. 18 …An International Comparison, 1981 Gross National Product of the USSR: An International Comparison, 1982 Soviet Economic…
  • p. 19 …2019/07/19 C05210421 Gross National Product of the USSR, 1950-80 Introduction This paper presents…
  • p. 20 …Lee, “USSR Gross National Product in Established Prices, 1955-1975,” Jahrbuch der Wirtsc/la/I Osteuropas…
  • p. 27 …GNP for the Soviet Union and of gross domestic product (GDP) for selected OECD countries.” For…
  • p. 34 …Lee, “USSR Gross National Product," p. 413; and Becker, 1969, p. 128. difference between the growth…
  • p. 35 …conducted on a net rather than a gross basis. The enterprise is expected to be managed…
  • p. 41 …the business sector and are included in gross private business investment. The second US account shows…
  • p. 43 …On the other hand, the tax amounts to 30 percent of the gross output of the…
  • p. 44 …Turnover taxes were 30 and 56 percent of the gross outputs of the sugar and other…
  • p. 45 …The capital stock data used in this study are gross of depreciation. Approved for Release: 2019…
  • p. 47 …2019/07/19 C05210421 Table 8 Billion Rubles Gross National Product of the Soviet Union ' in…
  • p. 48 …The row and column sums are determined as each sector’s gross output less, respec- tively…
  • p. 49 …2019/07/19 C05210421 Table 10 Percent 1970 Soviet Gross National Product by End Use W…
  • p. 52 …Therefore, value added is computed as a residual—the difference between gross output and current material…
  • p. 53 …Therefore, if in- dexes of gross output and current inputs are both available, the gross output…
  • p. 56 …Each subbranch index measures the gross output of an I-O sector by summing the physical…
  • p. 57 …The material-input index is less desirable than a double deflation or gross output index, but…
  • p. 58 …2019/07/19 C05210421 Appendix A ' Soviet Gross National Product, 1950-80 This appendix presents the…
  • p. 59 …5 0.5 0.6 0.6 Gross national product 133.6 137.7 145.8…
  • p. 60 …4 ._ §l§5QfI.i2j§§5 1.0 Gross national product 232.3 245.3 254.5…
  • p. 61 …4 1.4 1.4 1.4 Gross national product 383.3 398.2 405.7…
  • p. 62 …0 5.2 3.7 2.7___ Gross national product 5.5 5.9 5.0…
  • p. 63 …8 7.6 5.8 4.0 Gross national product 3.1 5.9 5.2…
  • p. 64 …5.1 4.; 2.9 7.7“ ' Gross national product 5.6 3.8 -1.1…
  • p. 65 …2 3.4 0.8 1 4 Gross national product 3.9 1.9 7.3…
  • p. 66 …9 0.3 2.5 0.3 Gross national product 100.0 100.0 100.0…
  • p. 67 …3 0.3 0.3 0.3 Gross national product 100.0 100.0 100.0…
  • p. 68 …3 0.3 0.3 0.3 Gross national product 100.0 100.0 100.0…
  • p. 69 …3 51.2 55.1 58.3 _ Gross national product 34.9 35.9 38.0…
  • p. 71 …7 134.1 135.2 137.1 Gross national product 100.0 103.9 105.9…
  • p. 72 …27.5 24.. ?6i5j_; Gross national product 133.6 137.7 145.8 153.4 160…
  • p. 73 …1 43.7 45.9 s9.7_‘ Gross national product 232.3 245.3 254.5…
  • p. 75 …4.5 1.1 5.9 -3.1 Gross national product 5.5 5.9 5…
  • p. 76 …0 0.0 0.0 0.0 Gross national product 3.1 5.9 5.2…
  • p. 77 …0 0.0 0.0 0.0 Gross national product 5.6 3.8 -1.1…
  • p. 78 …g 4.3 0.0 0.0 Gross national product 3.9 1.9 7.3…
  • p. 79 …1 28.1 29.1 30.2 Gross national product 741.7 752.2 784.0…
  • p. 80 …9 36.6 31.8 Ww3§’.98W Gross national product 1,083.8 1,124.6…
  • p. 81 …1 46.1 46.9 46.8 Gross national product 1,578.5 1,624.6…
  • p. 82 …3.2 7* 1.4 1.3 Gross national product 3.7 4.0 3.5…
  • p. 83 …1 14.0 13.8 13.5 Gross national product 100.0 100.0 100.0…
  • p. 84 …8 13.4 13.3 7 17717 Gross national product 100.0 100.0 100.0…
  • p. 85 …4 9.6 8.1 6.9 Gross national product 100.0 100.0 100.0…
  • p. 86 …31.7 65.3______s.9 g Gross national product 34.9 35.9 38.0…
  • p. 87 …9 98.2 103.1 89.1 Gross national product 60.6 64.0 66.4…
  • p. 88 …8 110.4 93.7 81.8 Gross national product 100.0 103.9 105.9…
  • p. 89 …Subtracting the deflated material pur- chases from the deflated gross output produces value added in constant…
  • p. 90 …The ratio of material inputs (gross output less NMP) to gross output declined slowly in this…
Approved for Release: 2019/07/19 C05210421
Table B-10
Derivation of the Index of Value Added in Transportation
Year
"W T11)
V in 5(2)
T K if T
T)
W V Ti“
(4)
Vii VA
Wlglflim W,
161
Freight Transportation Personal Transportation Total Transportation
Billion 1970 Index Billion 1970 Index
Rubles (l970= 100) Rubles (l970= 100)
Billion 1970 lndex
__> Rubles __W (1970f1VQ1)lf’
1950 2.8 15.5 1.2 15.3 4.0 _ flW15.5WVW
1951 3.1 17.4 1.3 17.1 _. 4~5 __ l7-3 . _
1952 3.5 19.1 1.5 18.7 M 4.9 W W7l9.0ii’"
1953 3.8 21.0 1.6 20.9 5.4 21.0
1954 4.2 23.2 1.8 23.2 M6-9 .5
1.1%-_1I 5.8.5:
1955 5.1 28.1 2.0 26.4 ‘17.1 _ _27.6__>____
1956 5.8 31.9 2.2 27.8 _‘ 7.9 30.7
1957 6.6 36.4 2.4 31.3 -29-0 - _..‘5*.._35-21-51”
1958 7.3 40.4 2.7 34.4 W100 ___ f N
1959 8.2 45.2 2.9 37.5 11.1 42.9
1 960 8.9 49.4 3.2 41.4 I 1171 if
1961 9.5 52.6 3.5 45.2 _.l3-° __59-f‘____4
1962 10.1 56.0 3.9 50.7 _.._14-° - _.__5_4.-.4 _
1963 10.9 60.5 4.3 55.4 _. '5.-.2___ _.. ..i9.~9.-..-.__ ..
1964 12.0 66.5 4.6 59.6 d 16.6 __r Mfiiir
1965 13.6 75.3 5.0 64.9 18.6 72.2
1966 14.2 78.8 5.6 72.2 if 19-8 Q: .T"i..-.7@}.9..“
T
1967 15.4 85.3 6.1 79.4 H
21.6 83.6 hi kn
1968
1969
16.3
17.0
90.2
93.9
6.7
7.2
87.3
93.7
WV 23.0 i i WW 89.3%
_ 24.2 93.8
1970 18.1 100.0 7.7 100.0 25.8
_
-1000 "5'
1971 19.3 106.6 8.3 107.0 27.5
CT’? 5
106.7
“WT
1972 20.2 111.8 8.9 114.5 "7511 _j5i;_ _ 7_
1973 21.8 120.7 9.3 120.6 M 31.1 V
120.7’ fiifl
1974 23.3 128.9 10.0 129.7 33.3 H 129.2_ Niffi
1975
1976
24.6
25.5
136.1
141.4
10.8
11.4
139.3
146.8
35.4 _ 137.0 >___W
36.9 143.0 ___v__W
1977 26.5 146.5 11.3 145.6
8
37.7 146.2
1978 27.7 153.4 11.7 151.8
E 39.5_
T“ 152.9
1979 28.1 155.6 12.3 158.5
'8
40.4 _ 156.5“
1980 29.2 161.8 12.7 164.2
T 41.9 162.5
Sources: Column 1: For each year, the physical value in each column The physical values and the average revenue weights are given in
in table B-9 is multiplied by the average revenue rate given in the J EC, Consumption.
text and the results are summed. Column 4: This is an index of column 3.
Column 2: This is an index of column 1. Column 5: This is column 1 plus column 3.
Column 3: The same procedure is followed as for column 1. Column 6: This is an index of column 5.
Approved for Release: 2019/07/19 C05210421
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FOIA release, from the cia-readingroom collection. The PDF is mirrored here; the original link is under it. 399 pages are in the text index: search them above, or from the library's search.