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Current Intelligence Weekly Summary

Central Intelligence Agency · 1962-03-23 · 42 pages · text from the file's own layer

This is the Central Intelligence Agency's Current Intelligence Weekly Summary of 23 March 1962, a secret digest from the Office of Current Intelligence covering world events. It reviews Soviet foreign policy on Berlin, the Berlin air corridors, disarmament and a nuclear test ban. It also covers Algeria, Argentina's elections, the Congo, Laos, South Vietnam, Guatemala, food rationing in Cuba and Middle East tensions. Special articles assess Brazil under Goulart and Turkey's economic prospects. It contains no UFO material.

Approved for Release: 2026/03/06 C03176167
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CURRENT INTELLIGENCE WEEKLY SUMMARY
highly placed army officers who
feared that Ydigoras’ continua-
tion in power in the face of
public hostility would lead to
an extremist takeover of the
government, and that a military
coup was the only solution. On
19 March, when the worst of the
crisis had abated, Ydigoras ap-
parently ordered the replacement
of Army Chief of Staff Ponciano
and the commander of one of the
capital's two key garrisons.
There are some indications he
may have had to reverse the
order.
The American army and air
attaches expect further high-
level military reassignments of
officers who wavered during the
crisis. The minister of defense
Colonel Enrique Peralta, may be
among those replaced in the near
future.
The acute crisis had abated
by 20 March, but Ydigoras ex-
tended the state of siege to 22
April. He still faces a diffi-
cult situation, and a new series
of incidents could quickly cause
a new deterioration of his posi-
tion. Student groups are still
on strike, although they have
called off their demonstrations.
Communist-supported guerrilla
activity continues in the moun-
tains north of the capital, but
this by itself does not consti-
tute an immediate threat to the
regime.
The deep wounds and rancors
aroused during the crisis will
7
complicate Ydigoras’ already
difficult job of developing
workable relations with the
non—Communist opposition par-
ties--the moderate leftist
Revolutionary party, which has
significant popular support,
the rightist National Liberation
Movement, and the small Christian
Democratic party. These parties
formed a loose alliance during
the crisis and formally demanded
his resignation. Although the
progovernment coalition has at
least 48 seats in the 66-member
unicameral Congress, there have
been defections from this coali-
tion and Ydigoras may have diffi-
culty working with Congress.
A continuing problem of
considerable importance is the
strong opposition in rightist
circles to the candidacy of the
popular ex-President Juan Jose
Arevalo in the elections sched-
uled for December 1963. Even
his enemies concede that Arevalo
would win in a free election.
He will not be constitutionally
eligible for the presidency, how-
ever, until March 1963, when he
will have been out of office fo
the required 12 years. During
the course of this year, there-
fore, opponents of Arevalo will
continue to press for Ydigoras’
removal, since this would require
1'
new elections within four months
--while Arevalo is still ineli-
gible. Arevalo is opposed not
only by rightists because of
his socio-economic reform pro-
gram but also by certain mod-
erate leftist leaders who are
personally antagonistic to him.
23 7 r 62 WEEKLY REVIEW Page 14 of 22
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Approved for Release: 2026/03/06 C03176167

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FOIA release, from the cia-readingroom collection. The PDF is mirrored here; the original link is above. 42 pages are in the text index: search them above, or from the library's search.