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Current Intelligence Weekly Summary

Central Intelligence Agency · 1962-11-09 · 34 pages · text from the file's own layer

This is the Central Intelligence Agency Office of Current Intelligence's Current Intelligence Weekly Summary for 9 November 1962, a secret periodical of intelligence appraisals. Much of it covers the Cuban missile crisis: Soviet missile equipment being loaded onto ships in Cuban ports, IL-28 bombers still in Cuba, and Khrushchev's moves to hold together Soviet bloc support. Other sections cover the Sino-Indian border conflict, Laos, Yemen, the Congo, European elections and Ne Win's Burma. It contains no UFO material.

  • p. 17 …Avtar Singh, the ICC's Indian chairman, has indicated he would act ex- peditiously to investigate…
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Approved for Release: 2026/03/06 C03159090
is: ii
/saeafi
CURRENT INTELLIGENCE WEEKLY SUMMARY
PAKISTAN'S FOREIGN POLICY
The Pakistani Government
is reassessing its foreign
policy. Karachi has long been
frustrated over what it feels
is its allies’ disregard for
its basic interest in forcing
a stronger India to negotiate
over Kashmir. Pakistan fears
now, however, that India's new
willingness to accept arms from
the West and the West's will-
ingness to deliver them will
deprive Pakistan of the major
advantage it has derived from
the Western alliance.
Although Nehru in 1959 re-
fused an offer from Pakistan
to conclude a joint defense
agreement, the Pakistani leaders
have continued to hope that
India's growing problems with
Communist China would force New
Delhi to the conclusion that a
settlement with Pakistan was
desirable to protect the Indian
rear. The Pakistanis now see
this prospect vanishing. When
Pakistani spokesmen object to
Western arms aid to India on
the ground that this endangers
the "local balance of power,"
they are really saying that
this aid enables India to main-
tain military superiority--
better than two to one--along
the Pakistani-Indian border
and to fight the Chinese at
the same time.
Pakistan is concerned over
the growing Chinese Communist
threat to the subcontinent, but
it feels that the present Sinc-
Indian conflict is confined to
a border dispute and does not
threaten Pakistan's security
in any immediate way. Accord-
ingly, President Ayub sees no
need for Pakistan to rally to
India's defense. He sees rather
a chance to exploit India's
predicament by pressing for a
Kashmir settlement. He is re-
luctant to assure India that he
will not cause trouble on the
Kashmir border or elsewhere
because he feels that such an
assurance would deprive him-
of the only real leverage he has.
The Pakistani press has been
taking an increasingly anti-
American line, hitting at the
CENTO and SEATO pacts and calling
for improved relations with
Peiping. Ayub has held emergency
meetings with Foreign Ministry of-
ficials and army leaders; he has
called an emergency meeting of
the National Assembly for 21 No-
vember to explain his views. (bX1)
Ayub's problems are com-
pounded by his need to strengthen
his internal political position
against a determined effort by
old-line politicians to reduce
his power under the new constitu-
tion. At present his power
stems from the backing of the
Pakistani Army, which depends
heavily on US aid.
While Ayub for the immedi-
ate future will probably pro-
ceed cautiously on foreign policy
matters, unless he feels greater
pressure is being put on India
to come to terms on Kashmir,
he is likely to adopt an increas-
inskyHn¢00PeratiVeattitude
toward the West. particularly
the us. \
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9 Nov 62 WEEKLY REVIEW
Approved for Release: 2020/03/00 003159090 Page 10 of 24
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FOIA release, from the cia-readingroom collection. The PDF is mirrored here; the original link is above. 34 pages are in the text index: search them above, or from the library's search.