Documents / FOIA release

Current Intelligence Weekly Summary

Central Intelligence Agency · 1962-11-09 · 34 pages · text from the file's own layer

This is the Central Intelligence Agency Office of Current Intelligence's Current Intelligence Weekly Summary for 9 November 1962, a secret periodical of intelligence appraisals. Much of it covers the Cuban missile crisis: Soviet missile equipment being loaded onto ships in Cuban ports, IL-28 bombers still in Cuba, and Khrushchev's moves to hold together Soviet bloc support. Other sections cover the Sino-Indian border conflict, Laos, Yemen, the Congo, European elections and Ne Win's Burma. It contains no UFO material.

  • p. 10 …to any disarmament or nuclear test ban controls. In order to escape pressure for international supervision…
  • p. 17 …the Canadian member of the International Control Com- mission (ICC). Avtar Singh, the ICC's Indian…
,
Approved for Release: 2026/03/06 C03159090
is W
CURRENT INTELLIGENCE WEEKLY SUMMARY
SINO—SOVIET BLOC DEVELOPMENTS IN THE CUBAN CRISIS
The USSR moved rapidly last
week to withdraw its strategic
missiles from Cuba as quickly
as possible. Moscow's aim is
to undercut US pressure for UN
verification of the dismantling
and removal of the missiles and
to enable Khrushchev to claim
that he has fulfilled his com-
mitments to President Kennedy.
Moscow has taken advantage
of Castro's rejection of any
form of UN inspection in Cuba
and the easing of the crisis
atmosphere that followed Khru-
shchev's 28 October backdown
to maneuver to extricate the
USSR from the embarrassing agree-
ment to UN verification. Al-
though Khrushchev apparently
felt that he had no choice at
the height of the crisis but
to agree to a UN role, Moscow
was concerned that this would
create a dangerous precedent
in the future, particularly
with respect to any disarmament
or nuclear test ban controls.
In order to escape pressure for
international supervision, the
USSR agreed bilaterally to ar-
rangements which allow US naval
vessels to contact Soviet ships
with missiles aboard for the
purpose of counting the missiles
When this process of re-
moval has been completed, Khru-
shchev probably will announce
that he has made good on his
end of the bargain and call on
President Kennedy to respond
by issuing a formal declaration
guaranteeing Cuba against an
invasion by the US and other
Western Hemisphere countries.
The Soviet leaders probably
believe such a move would put
them in a strong position to
charge the US with "bad faith"
if the President should decline
to give a formal guarantee on
the ground that Khrushchev had
reneged on his pledge to accept
UN verification.
It is possible that Khru-
shchev actually hopés to create
such an impasse, believing he
could use it both to repay US
charges of Soviet deception
and to recover the initiative
in the Cuban affair. At the
Kremlin reception on 7 Novem-
ber, he remarked that, although
the Cubans were skeptical, the
Soviet leaders believed that
the President would "keep his
word." He warned, however,
that if a formal US guarantee
against an invasion is not
forthcoming, this would "put
us back to a position of
castastrophe."
Soviet propaganda has be-
gun to accuse the US of attempt-
ing to evade its "commitments,"
in contrast with the USSR which
is scrupulously carrying out
its pledges. Moscow charges
that the US is not only refus-
ing to "guarantee and firmly
respect Cuba's sovereignty"
but advancing new demands that
"look like ultimatums."
@ikoyan's Mission to Cuba
Although neither Moscow
nor Havana has commented on
the course of Mikoyan's talks
with Cuban leaders, there are
indications that the Soviet
envoy has encountered serious
difficulties and has been
obliged to prolong his stay.
Both Fidel and Raul Castro
and Che Guevara were absent
from Havana's ceremonies on the
anniversary of the Bolshevik
/sEenE’1"/
9 Nov 62 Approved?g?¥eTe‘ase?E0’ér67‘(;E">/06 003159090 Page 4 °f 24

Not linked to a story yet.

About this file

FOIA release, from the cia-readingroom collection. The PDF is mirrored here; the original link is above. 34 pages are in the text index: search them above, or from the library's search.