Documents / FOIA release
This Central Intelligence Agency release is a Scientific Intelligence Study, TCS No. 4425/65. The Scientific Intelligence Committee prepared it with other intelligence community committees and approved it on 3 June 1965. It assesses Communist China's capabilities in science and technology through 1970, with particular attention to military and industrial programs. The study concludes that China will lag far behind advanced nations. The exceptions are a few priority areas such as nuclear weapons, missiles and air defense. It contains no discussion of UFOs.
“The Advance”26 pages
Approved for Release: 2018/01/30 C00659420
rcs 4425/(b)(3)
may develop it for use against S-, X-, and L-bar(b)('l)
radar.
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(b)(1
336. The present Chinese research and develop-
ment emphasis apparently is on creating simple
radio equipments of original native design while
copying either wholly or in part the more compli-
cated sets of foreign design. This trend is ex-
pected to continue through 1970. Possibly between
1965 and 1970, transistorized radio equipment will
be introduced into ground forces materiel. Basic
designs, however, will remain the same. Chinese
research and development capabilities to design
wholly native equipments, which have more ad-
vanced features, such as burst transmission or scat-
ter, will not be realized by 1970, unless China re-
ceives substantial outside assistance.
337. ELECTRONIC couNTr.RMEAstmEs—The Chinese
rely heavily on assive detection in sunnort of
milit needs.
They have frequently use
chaff and are expected to continue using it. They
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6-1(b)(?>)
comparable to early versions of Soviet and Western
missile control computers, and it is believed that
a continued research and development effort
through 1970 will enable the Chinese to re—design
and manufacture Soviet models of fire control and
missile guidance computers. (See section on Math-
ematics and Computer Technology, page 24.)
339. INFRARED 1>1~:vicEs——The Chinese have dis-
played an awareness (in published articles) of the
potential applications of infrared radiation to
ground weapons. In 1957, they exhibited a naval
type of infrared direction finder that may have been
obtained from the Soviet Bloc. While (based on
the above) they show some present capability to
develop infrared devices, they do; not show any
apparent trend to apply infrared principles to
ground forces weapons. The Chinese have ob-
tained a Sidewinder in good condition for dupz'b)(1)
cating purposes. They may have developed an
infrared seeker of the type used in the Sidewinder
or AA-2 (Atoll) air-to-air missile and may be pro-
ducing such a weapon system in limited quantity.
Approved for Release: 2018/01/30
the recent Chinese analog units are technically Not linked to a story yet.
FOIA release, from the cia-readingroom collection. The PDF is mirrored here; the original link is above. 95 pages are in the text index: search them above, or from the library's search.