Documents / FOIA release
This Central Intelligence Agency release is a Scientific Intelligence Study, TCS No. 4425/65. The Scientific Intelligence Committee prepared it with other intelligence community committees and approved it on 3 June 1965. It assesses Communist China's capabilities in science and technology through 1970, with particular attention to military and industrial programs. The study concludes that China will lag far behind advanced nations. The exceptions are a few priority areas such as nuclear weapons, missiles and air defense. It contains no discussion of UFOs.
“The Advance”26 pages
mm». A‘ C ....._.....¢ _-_._..._._.._;~.‘_._ 1 l I E 1' l 1 E: i "5€Ji'-"3 ,-J. Approved for Release: 2018/01/30 C00659420 b 3—iHE@R-i ms 4425/4» X l follows closely that of the USSR in regard to the role of persistent and nonpersistent agents, muni- tions employed for agent dissemination, and the role of all types of CW materiel in tactical opera- tions. Defensive rather than oflensive doctrine is emphasized. Much of China’s CW materiel is made from Soviet designs or has been furnished by the USSR. ( 325. China's offensive CW capability is impaired by a limited production and stockpile capability in both World War I-type CW agents and the nerve agents, which could, nevertheless, pose a significant threat to poorly prepared neighboring countries. However, if Soviet logistical support were again available, the Chinese do have ground weapons and aircraft (of Soviet design) capable of disseminating massive quantities of CW agents in a large-scale offensive tactical operation. The CPLA has large stocks of smoke munitions and a well-developed tactical doctrine, which give it an excellent screening-smoke capability. Expanding stocks of flame weapons and additional emphasis on training in flame warfare techniques have given the armed forces a small but growing flame warfare capability. \ 328. The lack of adequate research facilities and an adequate number of personnel experienced in CW research appears to have caused CW research and development in China to remain as a minor effort. China, however, is producing a number of organophosphorus insecticides for agricultural use and is known to be carrying for- ward an active research program in this area at several agricultural institutions. Research and pro- duction facilities working on organophosphorus in- secticides can be converted to work on CW nerve agents. The shortage of CW-experienced scien- tists is expected to continue at least until 1969. 329. Civil defense in China is under the _Min- istry of Public Security. There is little evidence of an effective civil defense program. 8. Military Electronics Teclmology 330. The increasing importance of China as a military power will necessitate the development of tactical communications equipments comparable to those of other countries. These equipments, how- ever, probably will not be as sophisticated as those of the more advanced countries. Nevertheless, by, 1970, the Chinese should be able to meet most of their essential electronics requirements. /T +0" 0' Approved for Release: 2018/01/30 (b s9( O" (b)(1 l (b)(1) ) ) b)(1) )(1 $8 )(1) ) )
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FOIA release, from the cia-readingroom collection. The PDF is mirrored here; the original link is above. 95 pages are in the text index: search them above, or from the library's search.