Documents / FOIA release

(EST Pub Date) Science and Technology in Communist CHINA Through 1970

Central Intelligence Agency · 1965-06-01 · 95 pages · text from the file's own layer

This Central Intelligence Agency release is a Scientific Intelligence Study, TCS No. 4425/65. The Scientific Intelligence Committee prepared it with other intelligence community committees and approved it on 3 June 1965. It assesses Communist China's capabilities in science and technology through 1970, with particular attention to military and industrial programs. The study concludes that China will lag far behind advanced nations. The exceptions are a few priority areas such as nuclear weapons, missiles and air defense. It contains no discussion of UFOs.

  • p. 5 …Hence, the Scientific Intelligence Committee has undertaken this study to provide the intelligence com- munity with…
  • p. 10 …China will continue to lag far behind the more advanced nations of the world in the…
  • p. 12 …from the present through 1970, China will remain far behind the world’s more advanced nations…
  • p. 13 …Much good work in analytical chemistry is conducted by the Chinese, particularly on the methods of…
  • p. 14 …The most im- portant advancement in agricultural research has been in crop breeding. New native strains…
  • p. 17 …with advances in products, equipment, and production techniques. In more complex fields—for example, the priority…
  • p. 18 …In a few fields, especially those related to the advanced weapons program, a high priority in…
  • p. 19 …China is now taking steps to establish rela- tions with advanced countries of the non-Commu…
  • p. 20 …levels in the common disciplines of science and to concentrate on advancement in the follow- ing…
  • p. 24 …Research and de- velopment have continued to expand since 1960, especially in the expensive advanced weapons…
  • p. 28 …the last 10 years. Other new leaders will come from more formal programs for advanced training…
  • p. 29 …Sophisti- cated apparatus of the kind expected to be used in the research laboratories of advanced…
  • p. 32 …techniques and methods, and deficiencies in the amounts of advanced mate- rials, equipment, and facilities. Nevertheless…
  • p. 33 …The most advanced high-speed digital com- puter in China, the 16-K, is somewhat inferior…
  • p. 41 …capabilities lower than in advanced countries. Minimum operational requirements of the armed forces, industry, and agriculture…
  • p. 42 …By 1970, China will be only slightly nearer the level of advanced countries in meteorology. 148…
  • p. 45 …the situation during the period of this estimate, but by 1973-75 they should advance the…
  • p. 46 …Considerable advances have been made by the Chinese in the field of antibiotic research, but they…
  • p. 53 …This research, how- ever, has not yet reached the advanced scientific stage of that in many…
  • p. 62 _.-¢a_.- resistant materials imposed by advanced military and civilian requirements, the Chinese increased substantially the electric…
  • p. 66 …oriented toward the development of advanced weaponry and toward the production of advanced weapons on a…
  • p. 67 …The Chinese now are de- pendent on foreign sources for some advanced equipment and for designs…
  • p. 68 …However, advanced tech- nology is not needed to get most of the jobs done. The Chinese…
  • p. 78 …of the Shanghai-class, which do not represent any radical advances in design. The Shanghai-class…
  • p. 86 …These equipments, how- ever, probably will not be as sophisticated as those of the more advanced…
  • p. 87 …coMMUmcA'r1oNs—China places heavy reli- ance on imports from the more advanced countries for its…
Approved for Release: 2018/01/30 C00659420
TCS 4425/as (W3)
this. _
(b)(1with suitable means of delivery by 1970. If the
Chinese had taken over and continued the japanese
BW research effort in Manchuria, they now could
have such a system, but we have no evidence of
fig K
and civilian BW defense posture is weak. Ade
quate respiratory protection equipment is available
to first line Chinese troops but not to militia or
civilians. Suficient vaccines and antibiotics are
probably available for normal military needs in
China but even by 1970 probably will not be ade-
quate for national defense against large-scale attack.
Military training in BW defense follows the pattern
established by the USSR; such training is given to
limited numbers of ofiicers and NCO's. BW de-
fense is expected to remain at a generally low level
through 1970.
7 BW/CW Activities
CBR materials.
318. a. cENERAL—In 1956, a separate branch was
created as the Antichemical Warfare Corps within
the Chinese People’s Liberation Army. This Corps
was given the mission of training and equipping
CPLA units for defense against chemical, biological,
and radiological (CBR) warfare agents. The
Corps was placed under the command of Major
General Chang Nai keng and subordinated to the
General Rear Services Department of the Ministry
of National Defense The Ministry reserved for
itself the authority to initiate the development of
scientists and facilities to conduct offensive BW
research and development,
China
possibly could produce limited quantities of BW-
agent material and could develop a BW munition
58 l
a s
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321. Civil defense training in China is mainly
devoted to educating the public in carrying out
sanitary measures as defense against BW attack.
Improvement of the BW civil defense could occur
by 1970, probably by support from an improved
public health system, but civilian protective and
decontamination equipment probably still would
not be available in sufficient quantity.
'
The veterinary sciences in ClI(b)('l)
include programs designed to prevent, control, and
eradicate animal diseases affecting livestock. Por-
tions of such research and development conceming
serums and vaccines for prophylaxis and thera](b)('l)
rigid quarantine procedures, and effective decon-
tamination measures, could be applicable to a
livestock defensive BW program.
p
319. b. BIOLOGICAL
Mfihina has a sufficient number of competent
1
Chinese plant-crop research and development (
directed toward the protection of plant life frolP)(1
gram is applicable to defense against BW and "‘
disease and insects for the ultimate prevention Of »
crop losses.
323. c. CHEMICAL wAm='ARE—The Chinese, though
lacking a strong offensive CW capability, recogni.'(b)(1
that toxic chemical weapons are highly effective
for tactical employment and have trained the indi-
vidual soldier to protect himself against their
effects. The CW doctrine of China is sound and
Approved for Release: 2018/01/30 C00659420
the Inili(b)(1
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FOIA release, from the cia-readingroom collection. The PDF is mirrored here; the original link is above. 95 pages are in the text index: search them above, or from the library's search.