Documents / FOIA release
This Central Intelligence Agency release is a Scientific Intelligence Study, TCS No. 4425/65. The Scientific Intelligence Committee prepared it with other intelligence community committees and approved it on 3 June 1965. It assesses Communist China's capabilities in science and technology through 1970, with particular attention to military and industrial programs. The study concludes that China will lag far behind advanced nations. The exceptions are a few priority areas such as nuclear weapons, missiles and air defense. It contains no discussion of UFOs.
“The Advance”26 pages
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Approved for Release: 2018/01/30 C00659420
TCS 4425/65 (W3)
262. The fact the Chinese have launched this
submarine indicates that they probably have a
program to place a missile system on board; how-
ever, there is no intelligence information regard-
ing the missile system. Since the Soviet G-class
submarines were designed specifically for launch-
ing the SS-N-4 missile, we estimate that the SS-N-
4-type missile will be the immediate goal of the
Chinese, though we cannot predict the time frame
for this accomplishment. The Soviets may have
provided SS-N-4 missile hardware and components
and/or plans for the G-class submarine.
263. In the area of guided missile patrol boats,
the presence of at least one Osa-class PTFG and
one Komar-class PTC in China has been detected.
The Chinese have the capability of modifying the
P-6 motor torpedo boat, of which they have a
significant number, to the missile-firing Komar con-
figuration. They also are considered capable of
constructing the Osa-type, which is built from the
keel up as a guided missile craft. The Soviet
SS-N-2 is an aerodynamic vehicle fired from launch
tubes or ramps fitted on the Komar/Osa-class mis-
sile patrol boats. The SS-N-2’s may have been
delivered with the Komar/Osa’s by the Soviets, as
in the case of Indonesia, the UAR, and other na-
tions which have received these systems from the
USSR. If the P-6 motor torpedo boats are being
converted by the Chinese, initiation of SS-N-2
production by Chinese aircraft plants_is a distinct
possibility.
264. In regard to coastal defense missiles, China
was apparently supplied by the USSR with limited
numbers of the coastal defense variant of Kennel
at least as early as 1959. The Chinese established
a test range and/ or training center for this missile
at Lien-shan in the Gulf at Liaotung, and this com-
plex is believed to be still active.
site near Dairen has been in existence since at least
1962, no vehicles or missile-related e ui ment have
been observed in the area. 7
267. 4. Surface-to-Air Missile.s~—The Chinese
were apparently supplied b the Soviets with a
small of complete
SA 2 f '
h SA 2 it ere
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identified as early as 1959, (b)('l)
ate Some 0SAM sites have been observed to .
these sites were never equipped, and in several
cases equipment has been moved from one site to
another. The Chinese appear to be purposely mov-
ing the few sites of SAM equipment in their posses-
sion from one place to another in an effort to
surprise and destroy U~2 reconnaissance aircraft.
In this manner they hope to maintain a deterrent
against these flights.
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Approved for Release: 2018/01/30 C00659420
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FOIA release, from the cia-readingroom collection. The PDF is mirrored here; the original link is above. 95 pages are in the text index: search them above, or from the library's search.