Documents / FOIA release

(EST Pub Date) Science and Technology in Communist CHINA Through 1970

Central Intelligence Agency · 1965-06-01 · 95 pages · text from the file's own layer

This Central Intelligence Agency release is a Scientific Intelligence Study, TCS No. 4425/65. The Scientific Intelligence Committee prepared it with other intelligence community committees and approved it on 3 June 1965. It assesses Communist China's capabilities in science and technology through 1970, with particular attention to military and industrial programs. The study concludes that China will lag far behind advanced nations. The exceptions are a few priority areas such as nuclear weapons, missiles and air defense. It contains no discussion of UFOs.

  • p. 5 …Hence, the Scientific Intelligence Committee has undertaken this study to provide the intelligence com- munity with…
  • p. 10 …China will continue to lag far behind the more advanced nations of the world in the…
  • p. 12 …from the present through 1970, China will remain far behind the world’s more advanced nations…
  • p. 13 …Much good work in analytical chemistry is conducted by the Chinese, particularly on the methods of…
  • p. 14 …The most im- portant advancement in agricultural research has been in crop breeding. New native strains…
  • p. 17 …with advances in products, equipment, and production techniques. In more complex fields—for example, the priority…
  • p. 18 …In a few fields, especially those related to the advanced weapons program, a high priority in…
  • p. 19 …China is now taking steps to establish rela- tions with advanced countries of the non-Commu…
  • p. 20 …levels in the common disciplines of science and to concentrate on advancement in the follow- ing…
  • p. 24 …Research and de- velopment have continued to expand since 1960, especially in the expensive advanced weapons…
  • p. 28 …the last 10 years. Other new leaders will come from more formal programs for advanced training…
  • p. 29 …Sophisti- cated apparatus of the kind expected to be used in the research laboratories of advanced…
  • p. 32 …techniques and methods, and deficiencies in the amounts of advanced mate- rials, equipment, and facilities. Nevertheless…
  • p. 33 …The most advanced high-speed digital com- puter in China, the 16-K, is somewhat inferior…
  • p. 41 …capabilities lower than in advanced countries. Minimum operational requirements of the armed forces, industry, and agriculture…
  • p. 42 …By 1970, China will be only slightly nearer the level of advanced countries in meteorology. 148…
  • p. 45 …the situation during the period of this estimate, but by 1973-75 they should advance the…
  • p. 46 …Considerable advances have been made by the Chinese in the field of antibiotic research, but they…
  • p. 53 …This research, how- ever, has not yet reached the advanced scientific stage of that in many…
  • p. 62 _.-¢a_.- resistant materials imposed by advanced military and civilian requirements, the Chinese increased substantially the electric…
  • p. 66 …oriented toward the development of advanced weaponry and toward the production of advanced weapons on a…
  • p. 67 …The Chinese now are de- pendent on foreign sources for some advanced equipment and for designs…
  • p. 68 …However, advanced tech- nology is not needed to get most of the jobs done. The Chinese…
  • p. 78 …of the Shanghai-class, which do not represent any radical advances in design. The Shanghai-class…
  • p. 86 …These equipments, how- ever, probably will not be as sophisticated as those of the more advanced…
  • p. 87 …coMMUmcA'r1oNs—China places heavy reli- ance on imports from the more advanced countries for its…
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1. Guided Missiles
Approved for Release: 2018/01/30 C00659420
TCS 4425/as
C. MILITARY TECHNOLOGY
249. The Ch’ang-hsin~tien Missile Test Center,
a research and development complex located ap-
proximately 12 miles southwest of Peiping, is de-
signed in part to static testfire large liquid engines
of indeterminable size. Three vertical test stands
are available. Also, a horizontal test stand is
being used at the present.
246. Although interest in space projects has been
noted in the Chinese
no evidence is available m y in ica e a
China has a major space program under way.
The Chinese could have a capability to orbit a
small satellite eventually, using its MRBM when
it is finally developed along with relatively simple
upper stages. Also, if the Chinese efforts to pur-
chase foreign missile equipment and technology are
successful, a program to demonstrate a space capa-
bility could get under way any time before 1970.
247. b. M1ss11.Es—The size and type of the re-
search and development facilities point to the pos-
sibility of Chinese-manufactured operational sur-
face-to-surface and surface-to-air systems in the
not too distant future. In addition, China is be-
lieved to be engaged in a development program
that includes air-to-surface, air-to-air, as well as
cruise missiles for naval use. The largest and
possibly the most important missile complex is the
Shuang-clfeng-tzu Missile Test Center. The ex-
tensive research and development complex, situated
in an isolated area about 40 miles northeast of
Shuang-ch’eng-tzu (4l°02’N -100°l7'E), has sub-
stantial rangehead instrumentation for su ort of
both SSM and SAM launch complexes.TR%
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251. The center apparently was designed to con-
duct research and to develop and fabricate missiles
and missile ground support prototype equipment
for surface-to-surface missiles. The stands at this
facility are credited with the capability of testing
missiles of at least MRBM size, and the industrial
buildings are believed capable of fabricating R&D
missiles and of limited series production.
252. The cruise launch sites at the Lien-shan
(40°42’N - l20°52’E) complex are close to a naval
airfield, naval air school, and a shipyard. This
proximity and type of sites point to the complex
as being a candidate for a naval missile training
facility, as well as a naval research and develop-
ment facility for cruise-type shore defense SSM’s.
253. The facilities at Tai-yiian (37 °59’N —
ll2°33’E) are believed to consist of an SA-2 type of
solid-propellant booster test stand and a missile
solid-propellant production plant.
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Approved for Release: 2018/01/30 C00659420
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FOIA release, from the cia-readingroom collection. The PDF is mirrored here; the original link is above. 95 pages are in the text index: search them above, or from the library's search.