Documents / FOIA release

(EST Pub Date) Science and Technology in Communist CHINA Through 1970

Central Intelligence Agency · 1965-06-01 · 95 pages · text from the file's own layer

This Central Intelligence Agency release is a Scientific Intelligence Study, TCS No. 4425/65. The Scientific Intelligence Committee prepared it with other intelligence community committees and approved it on 3 June 1965. It assesses Communist China's capabilities in science and technology through 1970, with particular attention to military and industrial programs. The study concludes that China will lag far behind advanced nations. The exceptions are a few priority areas such as nuclear weapons, missiles and air defense. It contains no discussion of UFOs.

  • p. 5 …Hence, the Scientific Intelligence Committee has undertaken this study to provide the intelligence com- munity with…
  • p. 10 …China will continue to lag far behind the more advanced nations of the world in the…
  • p. 12 …from the present through 1970, China will remain far behind the world’s more advanced nations…
  • p. 13 …Much good work in analytical chemistry is conducted by the Chinese, particularly on the methods of…
  • p. 14 …The most im- portant advancement in agricultural research has been in crop breeding. New native strains…
  • p. 17 …with advances in products, equipment, and production techniques. In more complex fields—for example, the priority…
  • p. 18 …In a few fields, especially those related to the advanced weapons program, a high priority in…
  • p. 19 …China is now taking steps to establish rela- tions with advanced countries of the non-Commu…
  • p. 20 …levels in the common disciplines of science and to concentrate on advancement in the follow- ing…
  • p. 24 …Research and de- velopment have continued to expand since 1960, especially in the expensive advanced weapons…
  • p. 28 …the last 10 years. Other new leaders will come from more formal programs for advanced training…
  • p. 29 …Sophisti- cated apparatus of the kind expected to be used in the research laboratories of advanced…
  • p. 32 …techniques and methods, and deficiencies in the amounts of advanced mate- rials, equipment, and facilities. Nevertheless…
  • p. 33 …The most advanced high-speed digital com- puter in China, the 16-K, is somewhat inferior…
  • p. 41 …capabilities lower than in advanced countries. Minimum operational requirements of the armed forces, industry, and agriculture…
  • p. 42 …By 1970, China will be only slightly nearer the level of advanced countries in meteorology. 148…
  • p. 45 …the situation during the period of this estimate, but by 1973-75 they should advance the…
  • p. 46 …Considerable advances have been made by the Chinese in the field of antibiotic research, but they…
  • p. 53 …This research, how- ever, has not yet reached the advanced scientific stage of that in many…
  • p. 62 _.-¢a_.- resistant materials imposed by advanced military and civilian requirements, the Chinese increased substantially the electric…
  • p. 66 …oriented toward the development of advanced weaponry and toward the production of advanced weapons on a…
  • p. 67 …The Chinese now are de- pendent on foreign sources for some advanced equipment and for designs…
  • p. 68 …However, advanced tech- nology is not needed to get most of the jobs done. The Chinese…
  • p. 78 …of the Shanghai-class, which do not represent any radical advances in design. The Shanghai-class…
  • p. 86 …These equipments, how- ever, probably will not be as sophisticated as those of the more advanced…
  • p. 87 …coMMUmcA'r1oNs—China places heavy reli- ance on imports from the more advanced countries for its…
1
..i
Approved for Release: 2018/01/30 C00659420
rcs 4425/as _IOP-see-R»|rr1 (b)(_3)
serious fungal and viral crop diseases have accom-
plished practical results, which have significantly
reduced crop losses.
172. China has very little good research in the
Canton, Shanghai, and possibly at Urumchi and
other locations. However, the current status,
amounts, and types of equipment at these branches
are not known.
animal sciences, but its very few co animal
"scientists have co '
0 the improvement of
t
i
'
, s eep, and poultry breeding stock.
Nevertheless, in China, the weak scientific founda-
tion and the feed and breeding stock will make
the development of the livestock industry extremely
slow. Significantly, China has adapted foreign
livestock practices to reduce disease incidence,
which has nearly eliminated some of the more
serious diseases.
10. Nuclear Energy Research
173. INTRODUCI‘ION——Tlf1e Chinese atomic energy
program began in the mid—l950s with Soviet aid
that continued until mid-1960. The aid involved
technical manpower, technology and some equip-
ment. Western unclassified literature also provided
valuable information. The Soviets participated
with the Chinese in geological exploration, min-
ing, and the design and perhaps the construction
of a uranium-metal plant. In addition, they prob-
ably provided plans and possibly some equipment
for the gaseous diffusion plant at Lanchou and for
the reactor facility at Pao-tou. The withdrawal
of Soviet aid in mid-1960 undoubtedly impeded
China’s atomic energy program, forcing the Chi-
nese to reorient their efforts to develop and pro-
duce, with little or no assistance, the varioous criti-
cal materials and equipment required.
174. Although research in nuclear physics was
being conducted as early as 1955 or 1956 by a
group of scientists within the Institute of Physics
of the Chinese Academy of Sciences, China did not
officially announce the establishment of the Insti-
tute of Atomic Energy (IAE) until 28 ]une 1958.
The Institute was made subordinate to the De-
partment of Physics, Mathematics, and Chemistry
of the Chinese Academy of Sciences. Although
the administrative headquarters and some facilities
are located in the Chung-kuan-ts'un section of Pei-
ping, the major equipment and laboratories are
located near the suburb of T’o-li, approximately 19
nautical miles southwest of Peiping. The IAE
also has established branches throughout China in
such places as Lan-chou, Hsi-an, Wu-han, Ch’eng-tu,
34
\
"JP
(Ell?
(b)(1)
176. Other than the Institute of Atomic Energy,
many of the colleges and universities offer training
in nuclear energy subjects and undoubtedly would
support any Chinese efforts in this field by con-
ducting basic research in nuclear energy or associ-
ated fields. (See Nuclear Weapons Program, para
304)
(b )(
Approved for Release: 2018/01/30 C00659420
1

Not linked to a story yet.

About this file

FOIA release, from the cia-readingroom collection. The PDF is mirrored here; the original link is above. 95 pages are in the text index: search them above, or from the library's search.