Documents / FOIA release

(EST Pub Date) Science and Technology in Communist CHINA Through 1970

Central Intelligence Agency · 1965-06-01 · 95 pages · text from the file's own layer

This Central Intelligence Agency release is a Scientific Intelligence Study, TCS No. 4425/65. The Scientific Intelligence Committee prepared it with other intelligence community committees and approved it on 3 June 1965. It assesses Communist China's capabilities in science and technology through 1970, with particular attention to military and industrial programs. The study concludes that China will lag far behind advanced nations. The exceptions are a few priority areas such as nuclear weapons, missiles and air defense. It contains no discussion of UFOs.

  • p. 5 …Hence, the Scientific Intelligence Committee has undertaken this study to provide the intelligence com- munity with…
  • p. 10 …China will continue to lag far behind the more advanced nations of the world in the…
  • p. 12 …from the present through 1970, China will remain far behind the world’s more advanced nations…
  • p. 13 …Much good work in analytical chemistry is conducted by the Chinese, particularly on the methods of…
  • p. 14 …The most im- portant advancement in agricultural research has been in crop breeding. New native strains…
  • p. 17 …with advances in products, equipment, and production techniques. In more complex fields—for example, the priority…
  • p. 18 …In a few fields, especially those related to the advanced weapons program, a high priority in…
  • p. 19 …China is now taking steps to establish rela- tions with advanced countries of the non-Commu…
  • p. 20 …levels in the common disciplines of science and to concentrate on advancement in the follow- ing…
  • p. 24 …Research and de- velopment have continued to expand since 1960, especially in the expensive advanced weapons…
  • p. 28 …the last 10 years. Other new leaders will come from more formal programs for advanced training…
  • p. 29 …Sophisti- cated apparatus of the kind expected to be used in the research laboratories of advanced…
  • p. 32 …techniques and methods, and deficiencies in the amounts of advanced mate- rials, equipment, and facilities. Nevertheless…
  • p. 33 …The most advanced high-speed digital com- puter in China, the 16-K, is somewhat inferior…
  • p. 41 …capabilities lower than in advanced countries. Minimum operational requirements of the armed forces, industry, and agriculture…
  • p. 42 …By 1970, China will be only slightly nearer the level of advanced countries in meteorology. 148…
  • p. 45 …the situation during the period of this estimate, but by 1973-75 they should advance the…
  • p. 46 …Considerable advances have been made by the Chinese in the field of antibiotic research, but they…
  • p. 53 …This research, how- ever, has not yet reached the advanced scientific stage of that in many…
  • p. 62 _.-¢a_.- resistant materials imposed by advanced military and civilian requirements, the Chinese increased substantially the electric…
  • p. 66 …oriented toward the development of advanced weaponry and toward the production of advanced weapons on a…
  • p. 67 …The Chinese now are de- pendent on foreign sources for some advanced equipment and for designs…
  • p. 68 …However, advanced tech- nology is not needed to get most of the jobs done. The Chinese…
  • p. 78 …of the Shanghai-class, which do not represent any radical advances in design. The Shanghai-class…
  • p. 86 …These equipments, how- ever, probably will not be as sophisticated as those of the more advanced…
  • p. 87 …coMMUmcA'r1oNs—China places heavy reli- ance on imports from the more advanced countries for its…
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154. Although published material indicates a
strong interest in marine seismology, gravimetry,
and geomagnetism, no important research programs
have been noted. The ‘Chinese possibly have as
many as three small oceanographic investigation
ships, but they rely mainly on small naval ships
for support. Instrumentation is undoubtedly in-
ferior to that of the leading
I
No major ad-
vance in the Chinese oceanographic program is
expected by 1970.
7. Medical Sciences
155. China has a severe shortage of trained
medical personnel. Many Chinese medical doctors
in comparison with Western-trained physicians are
weak in basic sciences, generally demonstrate
superficiality in clinical practice, and are strongly
influenced by political dictums. The reforms of
medical education that have been introduced will
not rectify the situation during the period of this
estimate, but by 1973-75 they should advance the
quality of graduate physicians to a level that will
compare favorably with Western standards.
156. Medical research in China is directed to-
ward infectious and neoplastic diseases and along
the lines of basic disciplines. Major attention has
been given by the Chinese Academy of Medical
Sciences (CAMS) to research on the prevention
and control of infectious diseases which exact the
greatest toll on the working forces—schistosomi-
asis, tuberculosis, malaria, ]apanese B. encephalitis,
typhus, bacillary andamebic-dysentery, and hook-
worm. Significant contributions include the isola-
tion of a strain of trachoma virus by Tang and
Chang et al at the T’ung-jen Hospital at Peiping,
and the development by the Ch’ang-Ch’un Vaccine
and Serum Institute and the CAMS, of a less toxic
vaccine against Iapanese B. encephalitis. China
has a capability for the production of vaccines and
serums for most of her human and veterinary dis-
eases, as well as the production of standard phar-
maceuticals and antibiotics in limited quantities.
With the exception of this work, little in the way
of original research in this area seems to have been
accomplished in recent years. Use is now being
made of the few highly qualified Chinese micro-
biologists by giving more emphasis to fundamental
research in addition to purely practical aspects.
Work is in progress on the use of purine an-
tagonists as antiviral agents, on the nature of drug
resistance, on the structure and function of viral
nucleic acids, and on the mechanism of anti-
genicity.
157. Main lines of research on biochemical and
biophysical areas of the medical sciences include:
(I) the crystallization of proteins, (2) the discovery
of active sites on enzymes and their mechanism of
action, (3) the structure, properties, and genetic
role of nucleic acids, (4) the general study of
metabolism, using tracer techniques, and (5) bio-
logical effects of radiation. The best of this work
is conducted at the Institute of Biochemistry of
the Chinese Academy of Sciences (CAS), Shanghai.
VVhile none of this work is entirely original, it is
well conceived, controlled, and executed. Work
in physiology, neurophysiology, and pharmacology,
especially the mechanism‘ of drug action, is ex-
cellent.
158. Cancer research has included clinical studies
on cervical carcinoma, choriocarcinoma, chorio-
adenoma destruens, esophageal carcinoma, and
nasopharyngeal carcinoma; these included histo-
pathologic studies associated with the clinical in-
vestigations, principally conducted by the Institute
of Experimental Medicine, CAMS, in Peiping. -
159. Although individual basic studies on cancer,
protein synthesis, and medical virology have at-
tracted international attention, China will be un-
able to exploit in depth or adequately to broaden
its indigenous medical research capabilities before
1970. China is expected to seek Western scien-
tific and technological aid in the next decade in
order to overcome domestic research and develop-
ment deficiencies. Initial contacts and rapport are
being sought in part through the biomedical
sciences.
160. China is attempting to assure an adequate
food supply for its expanding population by in-
creased nutritional research and by birth control.
It is supporting a broad program of applied nu-
tritional research designed to identify the food
requirements of farmers and workers, to increase
the nutritive value of foods, to standardize and
simplify techniques for determining nutritional
levels, to apply nutritional science in the treatment
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FOIA release, from the cia-readingroom collection. The PDF is mirrored here; the original link is above. 95 pages are in the text index: search them above, or from the library's search.