Documents / FOIA release

(EST Pub Date) Science and Technology in Communist CHINA Through 1970

Central Intelligence Agency · 1965-06-01 · 95 pages · text from the file's own layer

This Central Intelligence Agency release is a Scientific Intelligence Study, TCS No. 4425/65. The Scientific Intelligence Committee prepared it with other intelligence community committees and approved it on 3 June 1965. It assesses Communist China's capabilities in science and technology through 1970, with particular attention to military and industrial programs. The study concludes that China will lag far behind advanced nations. The exceptions are a few priority areas such as nuclear weapons, missiles and air defense. It contains no discussion of UFOs.

  • p. 5 …Hence, the Scientific Intelligence Committee has undertaken this study to provide the intelligence com- munity with…
  • p. 10 …China will continue to lag far behind the more advanced nations of the world in the…
  • p. 12 …from the present through 1970, China will remain far behind the world’s more advanced nations…
  • p. 13 …Much good work in analytical chemistry is conducted by the Chinese, particularly on the methods of…
  • p. 14 …The most im- portant advancement in agricultural research has been in crop breeding. New native strains…
  • p. 17 …with advances in products, equipment, and production techniques. In more complex fields—for example, the priority…
  • p. 18 …In a few fields, especially those related to the advanced weapons program, a high priority in…
  • p. 19 …China is now taking steps to establish rela- tions with advanced countries of the non-Commu…
  • p. 20 …levels in the common disciplines of science and to concentrate on advancement in the follow- ing…
  • p. 24 …Research and de- velopment have continued to expand since 1960, especially in the expensive advanced weapons…
  • p. 28 …the last 10 years. Other new leaders will come from more formal programs for advanced training…
  • p. 29 …Sophisti- cated apparatus of the kind expected to be used in the research laboratories of advanced…
  • p. 32 …techniques and methods, and deficiencies in the amounts of advanced mate- rials, equipment, and facilities. Nevertheless…
  • p. 33 …The most advanced high-speed digital com- puter in China, the 16-K, is somewhat inferior…
  • p. 41 …capabilities lower than in advanced countries. Minimum operational requirements of the armed forces, industry, and agriculture…
  • p. 42 …By 1970, China will be only slightly nearer the level of advanced countries in meteorology. 148…
  • p. 45 …the situation during the period of this estimate, but by 1973-75 they should advance the…
  • p. 46 …Considerable advances have been made by the Chinese in the field of antibiotic research, but they…
  • p. 53 …This research, how- ever, has not yet reached the advanced scientific stage of that in many…
  • p. 62 _.-¢a_.- resistant materials imposed by advanced military and civilian requirements, the Chinese increased substantially the electric…
  • p. 66 …oriented toward the development of advanced weaponry and toward the production of advanced weapons on a…
  • p. 67 …The Chinese now are de- pendent on foreign sources for some advanced equipment and for designs…
  • p. 68 …However, advanced tech- nology is not needed to get most of the jobs done. The Chinese…
  • p. 78 …of the Shanghai-class, which do not represent any radical advances in design. The Shanghai-class…
  • p. 86 …These equipments, how- ever, probably will not be as sophisticated as those of the more advanced…
  • p. 87 …coMMUmcA'r1oNs—China places heavy reli- ance on imports from the more advanced countries for its…
I
u rcs 4425/as
tinue to remain far behind the leading nations of
the world in geophysical science and technology.
136. a. AsTaoNoMY—China has only a few
modest programs in areas of astronomy such as
asteroids, latitude and time, celestial mechanics,
stellar evolution and solar astronomy. There is
also an interest in radio astronomy and in the de-
sign of astronomical instruments. China main-
tains an optical satellite observation program which
is directed by the country’s largest observatory at
Purple Mountain, near Nanking.
137. The largest telescope in China, a 60-centi-
meter reflector, is located at Purple Mountain.
China’s lack of larger telescopes greatly restricts
activities in observational astronomy. The observa-
tory also has a horizontal spectrograph and a Lyot
chromospheric telescope for solar research, as well
as several transit instruments and astronomical
clocks.
138. Although the Peiping Observatory has as
large a staff as that at Purple Mountain, little
observation work is conducted, the emphasis being
on basic astrophysics and teaching. A radio tele-
scope is planned for the next solar cycle peak
(1968-69) and will consist of 32 6-meter dishes.
Observatories at Shanghai and Tientsin are active
in time service and latitude determination respec-
tively.
139. b. UPPER ATMOSPHERE AND SPACE—-R6-
search is conducted in several sub-fields of upper
atmosphere and space geophysics. Greatest em-
phasis has been on ionospheric studies, with most
of the work that is published being on correlation
studies of ionospheric irregularities.
density determinations can be made. The Chinese
have stated their intention to develop rockets and
satellites for upper atmospheric and space research.
140. The development of sounding rockets is the
responsibility of the Academy’s Institute of Geo-
physics, which is responsible for developing an
upper atmosphere rocket research program and
possibly for designing scientific payloads for earth
satellites. l l
141. A few cosmic ray observatories exist in
China, including a new one established near Can-
ton in 1964. This new station was associated with
the IQSY in publicity although China is not an
oificial participant. In the next 5 years, China’s
research will probably be expanded to other sub-
fields, such as aurora, airglow, and meteor investi-
gations.
142. c. ME"rEonoLocY—In China, meteorology is
probably one of the most active and productive of
the earth sciences programs. Nevertheless, the
status of meteorological research is low compared-
with the status of similar research in more ad-
vanced countries. As with most other sciences,
meteorology is expanding in China, and attention
appears to be concentrated on establishing a data
collecting net and on developing forecasting ca-
pabilities to support the military, agriculture, avia-
tion, and industry.
143. Although China has progressed rapidly in
meteorology since 1949, the average quality and
limited quantity of personnel, instrumentation, and
weather communications keeps capabilities lower
than in advanced countries. Minimum operational
requirements of the armed forces, industry, and
agriculture can be met. Better forecasting capabili-
ties and some additional improvement in the ob-
servational network will be accomplished in pro-
grams during the next 5 years. The Chinese have
had research on the theory of numerical weather
prediction under way for several years and are now
using electronic computers for weather forecasting.
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Approved for Release: 2018/01/30 C00659420
Approved for Release: 2018/01/30 C00659420 ‘
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FOIA release, from the cia-readingroom collection. The PDF is mirrored here; the original link is above. 95 pages are in the text index: search them above, or from the library's search.