Documents / FOIA release

(EST Pub Date) Science and Technology in Communist CHINA Through 1970

Central Intelligence Agency · 1965-06-01 · 95 pages · text from the file's own layer

This Central Intelligence Agency release is a Scientific Intelligence Study, TCS No. 4425/65. The Scientific Intelligence Committee prepared it with other intelligence community committees and approved it on 3 June 1965. It assesses Communist China's capabilities in science and technology through 1970, with particular attention to military and industrial programs. The study concludes that China will lag far behind advanced nations. The exceptions are a few priority areas such as nuclear weapons, missiles and air defense. It contains no discussion of UFOs.

  • p. 5 …Hence, the Scientific Intelligence Committee has undertaken this study to provide the intelligence com- munity with…
  • p. 10 …China will continue to lag far behind the more advanced nations of the world in the…
  • p. 12 …from the present through 1970, China will remain far behind the world’s more advanced nations…
  • p. 13 …Much good work in analytical chemistry is conducted by the Chinese, particularly on the methods of…
  • p. 14 …The most im- portant advancement in agricultural research has been in crop breeding. New native strains…
  • p. 17 …with advances in products, equipment, and production techniques. In more complex fields—for example, the priority…
  • p. 18 …In a few fields, especially those related to the advanced weapons program, a high priority in…
  • p. 19 …China is now taking steps to establish rela- tions with advanced countries of the non-Commu…
  • p. 20 …levels in the common disciplines of science and to concentrate on advancement in the follow- ing…
  • p. 24 …Research and de- velopment have continued to expand since 1960, especially in the expensive advanced weapons…
  • p. 28 …the last 10 years. Other new leaders will come from more formal programs for advanced training…
  • p. 29 …Sophisti- cated apparatus of the kind expected to be used in the research laboratories of advanced…
  • p. 32 …techniques and methods, and deficiencies in the amounts of advanced mate- rials, equipment, and facilities. Nevertheless…
  • p. 33 …The most advanced high-speed digital com- puter in China, the 16-K, is somewhat inferior…
  • p. 41 …capabilities lower than in advanced countries. Minimum operational requirements of the armed forces, industry, and agriculture…
  • p. 42 …By 1970, China will be only slightly nearer the level of advanced countries in meteorology. 148…
  • p. 45 …the situation during the period of this estimate, but by 1973-75 they should advance the…
  • p. 46 …Considerable advances have been made by the Chinese in the field of antibiotic research, but they…
  • p. 53 …This research, how- ever, has not yet reached the advanced scientific stage of that in many…
  • p. 62 _.-¢a_.- resistant materials imposed by advanced military and civilian requirements, the Chinese increased substantially the electric…
  • p. 66 …oriented toward the development of advanced weaponry and toward the production of advanced weapons on a…
  • p. 67 …The Chinese now are de- pendent on foreign sources for some advanced equipment and for designs…
  • p. 68 …However, advanced tech- nology is not needed to get most of the jobs done. The Chinese…
  • p. 78 …of the Shanghai-class, which do not represent any radical advances in design. The Shanghai-class…
  • p. 86 …These equipments, how- ever, probably will not be as sophisticated as those of the more advanced…
  • p. 87 …coMMUmcA'r1oNs—China places heavy reli- ance on imports from the more advanced countries for its…
Approved for Release: 2018/01/30 C00659420 '
battery. Investigation of newer battery systems,
such as the nickel-cadium system is also carried
out. There is evidence of some fuel-cell research,
but this will not have military significance for many
years.
103. Basic research on organic chemistry in China
is far behind that in the West, with only a few
significant contributions having been made. The
Chinese are conducting a small amount of high-
quality basic research on the chemistry of high
polymers and have a major development program
in this field. The application of results produced
in the research institutes has been inhibited, how-
ever, by a shortage of engineering know-how and
inept management.
104. In the field of pharmaceutical chemistry,
there has been some success in producing drugs
for export. While some of the work was merely
copying known methods, some very good original
research has been done. For example, the Chi-
nese successfully developed diosgenin and in 1962
began to sell it abroad. (Diosgenin is an ex-
tremely important substance used in the prepara-
tion of cortisone, hydrocortisone, and progesterone.)
Now they are able to export finished cortisone in
various forms as well as other steriod hormones.
105. Tn support of their agricultural program, the
Chinese have conducted a sizable amount of re-
search in insecticides, includin s thesis of or-
ganophosphorous compoundsl
106. Research has been carried out to exploit
waste materials. Agricultural wastes have yielded
furfural, and research is being carried out to_ pro-
duce a series of organic chemicals analogous to
those derived from coal-tar. There is no evidence,
however, that commercial-scale processes have been
developed. Attention has also been paid to by-
Fproducts from petroleum and shale firocessing,
107. Basic research in chemical engineering is
rather limited in China and is concentrated at
educational institutions,
* rcs 4425/as lb -8
@
109. Resources in chemical engineering research
and development have been devoted primarily to
agricultural and military needs. Great emphasis
is being given‘ to the development of processes and
equipment for synthetic ammonia, urea and other
fertilizers, as well as other chemicals for use in
@
_-.
,
agriculture. l
4. Metallurgy
110. Specialty alloy steels are receiving the high-
est priority in Chinese metallurgical research. Be-
cause of the scarceness of nickel in China, a large
effort has been devoted to substitute steel composi-
tions that require a minimum of this element for
alloving purposes. l
,
,5,
111. The high-priority materials requirements of
agricultural, industrial, and military programs are
reflected in Chinese metallurgical research activity
on corrosion- and heat-resistant steels used for the
construction of chemical process equipment and on
processes for extracting certain of the less common
metals. It is questionable whether China now has
the capability to produce and fabricate high-tem-
perature alloys required for aircraft jet engines;
however, a very limited capability may be de-
veloping.
112. The Chinese are producing a modest variety
of alloy steels, including some stainless steels,
ordinary grades of precision steels, high-speed tool
Approved for Release: 2018/01/30 C00659420
S9 83

Not linked to a story yet.

About this file

FOIA release, from the cia-readingroom collection. The PDF is mirrored here; the original link is above. 95 pages are in the text index: search them above, or from the library's search.