Documents / FOIA release
This Central Intelligence Agency release is a Scientific Intelligence Study, TCS No. 4425/65. The Scientific Intelligence Committee prepared it with other intelligence community committees and approved it on 3 June 1965. It assesses Communist China's capabilities in science and technology through 1970, with particular attention to military and industrial programs. The study concludes that China will lag far behind advanced nations. The exceptions are a few priority areas such as nuclear weapons, missiles and air defense. It contains no discussion of UFOs.
“The Advance”26 pages
Approved for Release: 2018/01/30 C00659420 TCS 4425/as (b _ 2. Mathematics and Computer Technology 94. China’s research in theoretical and applied mathematics is fairly active and competent, espe- cially when compared with the situation before 1949. Most of the research follows the lead of simi- lar work abroad and is directed toward applica- tion in such areas as computers, automatic control, statistics, operations research, and linear program- mmg. 95. A dozen or so senior mathematicians are conducting high-level research on such subjects as number theory, differential equations, analysis, topology, differential geometry, and real and com- plex variables. These men are devoting a con- siderable portion of their time to training students. As the younger mathematicians gain experience, China should be capable of original research on theoretical and applied mathematics ‘on a fairly large_ scale. 96. “China's computer technology has been highly dependent on foreign assistance, but native com- petence is growing rapidly. The Chinese are" fully aware of modem developments and are exerting considerable eiforts to improve their technology which is still considerably inferior to that in the West. The most advanced high-speed digital com- puter in China, the 16-K, is somewhat inferior to the U.S. IBM 7090, which was commercially avail- able in 1959; 97. The availability of computers is marginal in meeting many of China’s needs, and strict alloca- tion of computer time is needed to solve even pri- ority economic and military projects. Neverthe- less, a dozen or so factories are now producing numerous special-purpose analog computers and lesser numbers of fairly high-speed electronic digital computers, which are adequate for the tasks 2, A for Release: 2018/01/30 C00659420 g ‘Z /T 8 A “ of numerical weather forecasting, operations r|(b)(1)~ search, business data processing and various types of scientific and technical computations. China's capabilities probably also are adequate to provide some specialized computing devices that may be required as elements of military systems. More sophisticated research in the space sciences and military technology will require advanced types of computers which the Chinese are now building. (See “Computers,” para. 338.) 3. Chemistry and Chemical Engineering 98. Most of China’s current research projects in chemistry are aimed at mastering the known chemi- cal processes and adapting them to China’s condi- tions. Research results are not outstanding nor are the projects very original, but they do provide sup- port for China’s military and economic programs. 99. Emphasis in chemical research is on: the separation and preparation of pure materials for electronic and nuclear applications; the develop- ment of chemical fertilizers and production of in- secticides to support agriculture; and the produc- tion of polymeric materials, petroleum products, and phannaceuticals. 100. Chinese research in inorganic chemistry sup- ports the light and heavy industries by developing methods for analysis and for the separation of economically important metals from indigenous ores containing iron, ttmgsten, manganese, tin, the rare- earth elements, and the radio-active elements thorium and uranium. The preparation of pure materials, such as silicon, rare earth oxides, and borides, that are useful in the electronics industry has been achieved, at least to the pilot-plant stage. 101. The major topic in physical chemistry re- search is catalysis related to petroleum processing. Here the eifort is imitative of Western research, b_ ( ) with a study on cobalt catalysts, among other(b)( Although the effort has not achieved significant results, it will continue to stress the improvement of yields using well-tried processes. 102. Electrochemical research is aimed at the separation and purification of rare metals from molten salts. Research on batteries for use in all types of military vehicles and aircraft is aimed at lengthening the lifetime of the standard lead-acid L/T \/@ /\/\ CTCT \_/\_/ /\/\ 0000 ) ) )
Not linked to a story yet.
FOIA release, from the cia-readingroom collection. The PDF is mirrored here; the original link is above. 95 pages are in the text index: search them above, or from the library's search.