Documents / FOIA release

(EST Pub Date) Science and Technology in Communist CHINA Through 1970

Central Intelligence Agency · 1965-06-01 · 95 pages · text from the file's own layer

This Central Intelligence Agency release is a Scientific Intelligence Study, TCS No. 4425/65. The Scientific Intelligence Committee prepared it with other intelligence community committees and approved it on 3 June 1965. It assesses Communist China's capabilities in science and technology through 1970, with particular attention to military and industrial programs. The study concludes that China will lag far behind advanced nations. The exceptions are a few priority areas such as nuclear weapons, missiles and air defense. It contains no discussion of UFOs.

  • p. 5 …Hence, the Scientific Intelligence Committee has undertaken this study to provide the intelligence com- munity with…
  • p. 10 …China will continue to lag far behind the more advanced nations of the world in the…
  • p. 12 …from the present through 1970, China will remain far behind the world’s more advanced nations…
  • p. 13 …Much good work in analytical chemistry is conducted by the Chinese, particularly on the methods of…
  • p. 14 …The most im- portant advancement in agricultural research has been in crop breeding. New native strains…
  • p. 17 …with advances in products, equipment, and production techniques. In more complex fields—for example, the priority…
  • p. 18 …In a few fields, especially those related to the advanced weapons program, a high priority in…
  • p. 19 …China is now taking steps to establish rela- tions with advanced countries of the non-Commu…
  • p. 20 …levels in the common disciplines of science and to concentrate on advancement in the follow- ing…
  • p. 24 …Research and de- velopment have continued to expand since 1960, especially in the expensive advanced weapons…
  • p. 28 …the last 10 years. Other new leaders will come from more formal programs for advanced training…
  • p. 29 …Sophisti- cated apparatus of the kind expected to be used in the research laboratories of advanced…
  • p. 32 …techniques and methods, and deficiencies in the amounts of advanced mate- rials, equipment, and facilities. Nevertheless…
  • p. 33 …The most advanced high-speed digital com- puter in China, the 16-K, is somewhat inferior…
  • p. 41 …capabilities lower than in advanced countries. Minimum operational requirements of the armed forces, industry, and agriculture…
  • p. 42 …By 1970, China will be only slightly nearer the level of advanced countries in meteorology. 148…
  • p. 45 …the situation during the period of this estimate, but by 1973-75 they should advance the…
  • p. 46 …Considerable advances have been made by the Chinese in the field of antibiotic research, but they…
  • p. 53 …This research, how- ever, has not yet reached the advanced scientific stage of that in many…
  • p. 62 _.-¢a_.- resistant materials imposed by advanced military and civilian requirements, the Chinese increased substantially the electric…
  • p. 66 …oriented toward the development of advanced weaponry and toward the production of advanced weapons on a…
  • p. 67 …The Chinese now are de- pendent on foreign sources for some advanced equipment and for designs…
  • p. 68 …However, advanced tech- nology is not needed to get most of the jobs done. The Chinese…
  • p. 78 …of the Shanghai-class, which do not represent any radical advances in design. The Shanghai-class…
  • p. 86 …These equipments, how- ever, probably will not be as sophisticated as those of the more advanced…
  • p. 87 …coMMUmcA'r1oNs—China places heavy reli- ance on imports from the more advanced countries for its…
Approved for Release: 2018/01/30 C00659420
TCS 4425/as (b _
2. Mathematics and Computer Technology
94. China’s research in theoretical and applied
mathematics is fairly active and competent, espe-
cially when compared with the situation before
1949. Most of the research follows the lead of simi-
lar work abroad and is directed toward applica-
tion in such areas as computers, automatic control,
statistics, operations research, and linear program-
mmg.
95. A dozen or so senior mathematicians are
conducting high-level research on such subjects as
number theory, differential equations, analysis,
topology, differential geometry, and real and com-
plex variables. These men are devoting a con-
siderable portion of their time to training students.
As the younger mathematicians gain experience,
China should be capable of original research on
theoretical and applied mathematics ‘on a fairly
large_ scale.
96. “China's computer technology has been highly
dependent on foreign assistance, but native com-
petence is growing rapidly. The Chinese are" fully
aware of modem developments and are exerting
considerable eiforts to improve their technology
which is still considerably inferior to that in the
West. The most advanced high-speed digital com-
puter in China, the 16-K, is somewhat inferior to
the U.S. IBM 7090, which was commercially avail-
able in 1959;
97. The availability of computers is marginal in
meeting many of China’s needs, and strict alloca-
tion of computer time is needed to solve even pri-
ority economic and military projects. Neverthe-
less, a dozen or so factories are now producing
numerous special-purpose analog computers and
lesser numbers of fairly high-speed electronic
digital computers, which are adequate for the tasks
2, A
for Release: 2018/01/30 C00659420 g
‘Z /T 8
A
“
of numerical weather forecasting, operations r|(b)(1)~
search, business data processing and various types
of scientific and technical computations. China's
capabilities probably also are adequate to provide
some specialized computing devices that may be
required as elements of military systems. More
sophisticated research in the space sciences and
military technology will require advanced types of
computers which the Chinese are now building.
(See “Computers,” para. 338.)
3. Chemistry and Chemical Engineering
98. Most of China’s current research projects in
chemistry are aimed at mastering the known chemi-
cal processes and adapting them to China’s condi-
tions. Research results are not outstanding nor are
the projects very original, but they do provide sup-
port for China’s military and economic programs.
99. Emphasis in chemical research is on: the
separation and preparation of pure materials for
electronic and nuclear applications; the develop-
ment of chemical fertilizers and production of in-
secticides to support agriculture; and the produc-
tion of polymeric materials, petroleum products,
and phannaceuticals.
100. Chinese research in inorganic chemistry sup-
ports the light and heavy industries by developing
methods for analysis and for the separation of
economically important metals from indigenous ores
containing iron, ttmgsten, manganese, tin, the rare-
earth elements, and the radio-active elements
thorium and uranium. The preparation of pure
materials, such as silicon, rare earth oxides, and
borides, that are useful in the electronics industry
has been achieved, at least to the pilot-plant stage.
101. The major topic in physical chemistry re-
search is catalysis related to petroleum processing.
Here the eifort is imitative of Western research, b_ ( )
with a study on cobalt catalysts, among other(b)(
Although the effort has not achieved significant
results, it will continue to stress the improvement
of yields using well-tried processes.
102. Electrochemical research is aimed at the
separation and purification of rare metals from
molten salts. Research on batteries for use in all
types of military vehicles and aircraft is aimed at
lengthening the lifetime of the standard lead-acid
L/T
\/@
/\/\
CTCT \_/\_/
/\/\
0000
)
)
)

Not linked to a story yet.

About this file

FOIA release, from the cia-readingroom collection. The PDF is mirrored here; the original link is above. 95 pages are in the text index: search them above, or from the library's search.