Documents / FOIA release

(EST Pub Date) Science and Technology in Communist CHINA Through 1970

Central Intelligence Agency · 1965-06-01 · 95 pages · text from the file's own layer

This Central Intelligence Agency release is a Scientific Intelligence Study, TCS No. 4425/65. The Scientific Intelligence Committee prepared it with other intelligence community committees and approved it on 3 June 1965. It assesses Communist China's capabilities in science and technology through 1970, with particular attention to military and industrial programs. The study concludes that China will lag far behind advanced nations. The exceptions are a few priority areas such as nuclear weapons, missiles and air defense. It contains no discussion of UFOs.

  • p. 5 …Hence, the Scientific Intelligence Committee has undertaken this study to provide the intelligence com- munity with…
  • p. 10 …China will continue to lag far behind the more advanced nations of the world in the…
  • p. 12 …from the present through 1970, China will remain far behind the world’s more advanced nations…
  • p. 13 …Much good work in analytical chemistry is conducted by the Chinese, particularly on the methods of…
  • p. 14 …The most im- portant advancement in agricultural research has been in crop breeding. New native strains…
  • p. 17 …with advances in products, equipment, and production techniques. In more complex fields—for example, the priority…
  • p. 18 …In a few fields, especially those related to the advanced weapons program, a high priority in…
  • p. 19 …China is now taking steps to establish rela- tions with advanced countries of the non-Commu…
  • p. 20 …levels in the common disciplines of science and to concentrate on advancement in the follow- ing…
  • p. 24 …Research and de- velopment have continued to expand since 1960, especially in the expensive advanced weapons…
  • p. 28 …the last 10 years. Other new leaders will come from more formal programs for advanced training…
  • p. 29 …Sophisti- cated apparatus of the kind expected to be used in the research laboratories of advanced…
  • p. 32 …techniques and methods, and deficiencies in the amounts of advanced mate- rials, equipment, and facilities. Nevertheless…
  • p. 33 …The most advanced high-speed digital com- puter in China, the 16-K, is somewhat inferior…
  • p. 41 …capabilities lower than in advanced countries. Minimum operational requirements of the armed forces, industry, and agriculture…
  • p. 42 …By 1970, China will be only slightly nearer the level of advanced countries in meteorology. 148…
  • p. 45 …the situation during the period of this estimate, but by 1973-75 they should advance the…
  • p. 46 …Considerable advances have been made by the Chinese in the field of antibiotic research, but they…
  • p. 53 …This research, how- ever, has not yet reached the advanced scientific stage of that in many…
  • p. 62 _.-¢a_.- resistant materials imposed by advanced military and civilian requirements, the Chinese increased substantially the electric…
  • p. 66 …oriented toward the development of advanced weaponry and toward the production of advanced weapons on a…
  • p. 67 …The Chinese now are de- pendent on foreign sources for some advanced equipment and for designs…
  • p. 68 …However, advanced tech- nology is not needed to get most of the jobs done. The Chinese…
  • p. 78 …of the Shanghai-class, which do not represent any radical advances in design. The Shanghai-class…
  • p. 86 …These equipments, how- ever, probably will not be as sophisticated as those of the more advanced…
  • p. 87 …coMMUmcA'r1oNs—China places heavy reli- ance on imports from the more advanced countries for its…
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IV. Status and Trends in Research and Development
87. China has achieved certain successes in some
areas of its research and development programs in
spite of critical shortages of senior scientists and
engineers, lack of modern techniques and methods,
and deficiencies in the amounts of advanced mate-
rials, equipment, and facilities. Nevertheless,
China’s immediate research and development capa-
bilities and rate of progress in the disciplines and
technologies will feel the eitects of these far-
reaching shortages for several years to come. The
assessments that are presented in this study are
based on the assumption that there will be no re-
sumption of foreign assistance to Chinese research
and development as had been provided by the
Soviet Union before 1960.
A. SCIENTIFIC DISCIPLINES
1. Physics
88. China has recognized the importance of basic
physics research and has a program of study in
that discipline. Although the country has not
achieved notable results, a good foundation exists
for growth and for general support of economic
and military needs.
89. An increasing amount of basic solid-state
research is being conducted. A major research
effort in solid-state physics has been designed to
support the Chinese electronics industry, which
obviously can make immediate contributions to
advanced weapons systems and to the civilian
91. China has made modest achievements in
low-energy nuclear physics, and gradual progress
in this field can be expected. Accelerators avail-
able for research are relativelv few in numbeLan£L
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92. In high-energy physics, much of the research
is done at the Institute of Atomic Energy* in Pei-
ping. This work must be largely theoretical be-
cause experimental facilities are limited; many
problems in this area are referred to Chinese scien-
tists working at the ]oint Institute for Nuclear
Research in Dubna, USSR.
The limitations im-
posed by inadequate equipment will almost cer-
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diate future.
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FOIA release, from the cia-readingroom collection. The PDF is mirrored here; the original link is above. 95 pages are in the text index: search them above, or from the library's search.