Documents / FOIA release

(EST Pub Date) Science and Technology in Communist CHINA Through 1970

Central Intelligence Agency · 1965-06-01 · 95 pages · text from the file's own layer

This Central Intelligence Agency release is a Scientific Intelligence Study, TCS No. 4425/65. The Scientific Intelligence Committee prepared it with other intelligence community committees and approved it on 3 June 1965. It assesses Communist China's capabilities in science and technology through 1970, with particular attention to military and industrial programs. The study concludes that China will lag far behind advanced nations. The exceptions are a few priority areas such as nuclear weapons, missiles and air defense. It contains no discussion of UFOs.

Open the PDF at page 27 Original source ↗

“The Advance”26 pages

  • p. 5 …Hence, the Scientific Intelligence Committee has undertaken this study to provide the intelligence com- munity with…
  • p. 10 …China will continue to lag far behind the more advanced nations of the world in the…
  • p. 12 …from the present through 1970, China will remain far behind the world’s more advanced nations…
  • p. 13 …Much good work in analytical chemistry is conducted by the Chinese, particularly on the methods of…
  • p. 14 …The most im- portant advancement in agricultural research has been in crop breeding. New native strains…
  • p. 17 …with advances in products, equipment, and production techniques. In more complex fields—for example, the priority…
  • p. 18 …In a few fields, especially those related to the advanced weapons program, a high priority in…
  • p. 19 …China is now taking steps to establish rela- tions with advanced countries of the non-Commu…
  • p. 20 …levels in the common disciplines of science and to concentrate on advancement in the follow- ing…
  • p. 24 …Research and de- velopment have continued to expand since 1960, especially in the expensive advanced weapons…
  • p. 28 …the last 10 years. Other new leaders will come from more formal programs for advanced training…
  • p. 29 …Sophisti- cated apparatus of the kind expected to be used in the research laboratories of advanced…
  • p. 32 …techniques and methods, and deficiencies in the amounts of advanced mate- rials, equipment, and facilities. Nevertheless…
  • p. 33 …The most advanced high-speed digital com- puter in China, the 16-K, is somewhat inferior…
  • p. 41 …capabilities lower than in advanced countries. Minimum operational requirements of the armed forces, industry, and agriculture…
  • p. 42 …By 1970, China will be only slightly nearer the level of advanced countries in meteorology. 148…
  • p. 45 …the situation during the period of this estimate, but by 1973-75 they should advance the…
  • p. 46 …Considerable advances have been made by the Chinese in the field of antibiotic research, but they…
  • p. 53 …This research, how- ever, has not yet reached the advanced scientific stage of that in many…
  • p. 62 _.-¢a_.- resistant materials imposed by advanced military and civilian requirements, the Chinese increased substantially the electric…
  • p. 66 …oriented toward the development of advanced weaponry and toward the production of advanced weapons on a…
  • p. 67 …The Chinese now are de- pendent on foreign sources for some advanced equipment and for designs…
  • p. 68 …However, advanced tech- nology is not needed to get most of the jobs done. The Chinese…
  • p. 78 …of the Shanghai-class, which do not represent any radical advances in design. The Shanghai-class…
  • p. 86 …These equipments, how- ever, probably will not be as sophisticated as those of the more advanced…
  • p. 87 …coMMUmcA'r1oNs—China places heavy reli- ance on imports from the more advanced countries for its…
1 Approved for Release: 2018/01/30 C00659420
i 4
Estimates of Surviving Graduates of Higher Education in Chin
AGE cnovp ALL FIELDS
All Ages . . . . .. 1,539,056
20-24 . . . . . . . .
25-29 . . . . . . . .
. 563,929
. 497,776
30-34 . . . . . . . .. 227,917
35-39 . . . . . . . .. 102,531
40-44 . . . . . . . .
45-49 . . . . . . . .
50-54 . . . . . . . .
55-59 . . . . . . . .
‘
60-64 . . . . . . . .
65-69 . . . . . . . .
70-74 . . . . . . . .
75 + . . . . . . . . .
Percent by Cate-
gory‘
Acn cnoup
A11 Ages
20-24 . . . . . . . .
25-29 . . . . . . . .
30-34 . . . . . . . .
35-39 - - . . , . . .
40-44 . . . . . . . .
45-49 . . . . . . . .
50-54 . . . . . . . .
55-59 . . . . . . . .
60-64 . . . . . . . .
65-69 . . . . . . . .
70-74 . . . . . . . .
75+ . . . . . . . . .
. 60,247
. 27,996
. 31,730
. 15,430
. 6,637
3,018
. 1,762
. 83
100.0
ALL FIELDS
100.0
36.6
32.4
14.8
6.7
3.9
1.8
2.1
1.0
0.4
0.2
0.1
0.0
—H'H-G|:A-5-5-I-H-EB-
Table 4
Field of Specialization—thr0ugh 1964
A. NUMBER OF GRADUATES
Ewcxm-:1~:n
476,204
206,480
148, 176
73,575
23,840
1 1,502
5,806
4,056
1,664
637
290
170
8
31 .0
B. PERCENTAGE OF
ENGINEER
100.0- .
43.4
31.1
15.5
5.0
MEDICAL
SCIENCE
143,851
85,555
42,303
21,298
7,145
3,327
1,908
1,322
474
188
84
49
2
9.3
MEDICAL
Scmncz
100.0
45.7
29.5
14.8
5.0
2.4 '
2.3
1.2
0.9
0.3
0.1
0.1
0.0
0.0
1.3
0.9
0.3
0.1
0.1
0.0
0.0
NATURAL
AGRICULTURAL SCIENCE
130,009
50,935
47,449
13,881
8,205
5,295
2,129
1,507
558
178
82
48
2
95,590
30,801
34,888
10,208
7,375
4,317
3,383
3,031
1,084
488
221
128
8
8.5 6.2
DISTRIBUTION*
NATURAL
AGRICULTURAL Scmncz
100.0
39.2
36.5
10.5
6.3
14.1
1.6
1.2
0.4
0.1
0.1
0.0
0.0
100.0
32.1
36.3
10.7
7.7
4.5
3.6
3.2
1.1
0.5
0.2
0.1
0.0
a by Age and
Enucxnon
388,470
145,238
166,060
50,681
9,938
7,734
2,395
3,461
1,618
777
352
206
10
25.2
EDUCATION
100.0
37.4
42.7
13.0
2.6
2.0
0.6
0.9
0.4
0.2
0.1
0.1
0.0
Orrnzn
305,072
05,060
59,100
58,478
48,028
28,072
12,375
18,353
10,032
4,371
1,989
1,181
55
19.8
OTHER
100.0
21.3
'
19.4
19.2
15.1
9.2
4.1
6.0
3.3
1.4
0.6
0.4
0.0
* Percentage figures forced to add to an even 10.0.0 percent. (Prepared by ]ohn Aird, FDAD, U.S. Bur. of
Census—Dec. 1964. )
—-U-N-G|n9r55'l'F1'ED'—
Approved for Release: 2018/01/30 C00659420
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FOIA release, from the cia-readingroom collection. The PDF is mirrored here; the original link is above. 95 pages are in the text index: search them above, or from the library's search.