Documents / FOIA release

(EST Pub Date) Science and Technology in Communist CHINA Through 1970

Central Intelligence Agency · 1965-06-01 · 95 pages · text from the file's own layer

This Central Intelligence Agency release is a Scientific Intelligence Study, TCS No. 4425/65. The Scientific Intelligence Committee prepared it with other intelligence community committees and approved it on 3 June 1965. It assesses Communist China's capabilities in science and technology through 1970, with particular attention to military and industrial programs. The study concludes that China will lag far behind advanced nations. The exceptions are a few priority areas such as nuclear weapons, missiles and air defense. It contains no discussion of UFOs.

  • p. 5 …Hence, the Scientific Intelligence Committee has undertaken this study to provide the intelligence com- munity with…
  • p. 10 …China will continue to lag far behind the more advanced nations of the world in the…
  • p. 12 …from the present through 1970, China will remain far behind the world’s more advanced nations…
  • p. 13 …Much good work in analytical chemistry is conducted by the Chinese, particularly on the methods of…
  • p. 14 …The most im- portant advancement in agricultural research has been in crop breeding. New native strains…
  • p. 17 …with advances in products, equipment, and production techniques. In more complex fields—for example, the priority…
  • p. 18 …In a few fields, especially those related to the advanced weapons program, a high priority in…
  • p. 19 …China is now taking steps to establish rela- tions with advanced countries of the non-Commu…
  • p. 20 …levels in the common disciplines of science and to concentrate on advancement in the follow- ing…
  • p. 24 …Research and de- velopment have continued to expand since 1960, especially in the expensive advanced weapons…
  • p. 28 …the last 10 years. Other new leaders will come from more formal programs for advanced training…
  • p. 29 …Sophisti- cated apparatus of the kind expected to be used in the research laboratories of advanced…
  • p. 32 …techniques and methods, and deficiencies in the amounts of advanced mate- rials, equipment, and facilities. Nevertheless…
  • p. 33 …The most advanced high-speed digital com- puter in China, the 16-K, is somewhat inferior…
  • p. 41 …capabilities lower than in advanced countries. Minimum operational requirements of the armed forces, industry, and agriculture…
  • p. 42 …By 1970, China will be only slightly nearer the level of advanced countries in meteorology. 148…
  • p. 45 …the situation during the period of this estimate, but by 1973-75 they should advance the…
  • p. 46 …Considerable advances have been made by the Chinese in the field of antibiotic research, but they…
  • p. 53 …This research, how- ever, has not yet reached the advanced scientific stage of that in many…
  • p. 62 _.-¢a_.- resistant materials imposed by advanced military and civilian requirements, the Chinese increased substantially the electric…
  • p. 66 …oriented toward the development of advanced weaponry and toward the production of advanced weapons on a…
  • p. 67 …The Chinese now are de- pendent on foreign sources for some advanced equipment and for designs…
  • p. 68 …However, advanced tech- nology is not needed to get most of the jobs done. The Chinese…
  • p. 78 …of the Shanghai-class, which do not represent any radical advances in design. The Shanghai-class…
  • p. 86 …These equipments, how- ever, probably will not be as sophisticated as those of the more advanced…
  • p. 87 …coMMUmcA'r1oNs—China places heavy reli- ance on imports from the more advanced countries for its…
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Approved for Release: 2018/01/30 C00659420
—-reP—sEcREr TCS 4425/as
riculum heavily biased toward those scientific and
engineering subjects especially significant in ad-
vanced industrial and military technology. A
4-year graduate training program has been operat-
ing since 1956. Facilities of the Academy are lo-
cated in many parts of China, but the largest con-
centration is in Peiping, with Shanghai ranking
next.
66. One pattern of organization found among
some of the technical ministries consists of a sci-
entific committee and a research academy (yen-
chiu-yuan) with subordinate research -institutes
(yen-chiu-so). The scientific committee is a gen-
eral planning and overseeing body, probably com-
posed of representatives from both those agencies
needing the research and those doing it. It would
probably be the body in direct contact with the
State Scientific and Technological Commission.
The research academy and its subordinate research
institutes carry out research on key problems or
problems common to the field of responsibility of
the ministry. Major industrial plants usually have
plant laboratories attached to handle local prob-
lems. In the cases of both the Ministry of Agri-
culture and the Ministry of Public Health, the
status of the central research body may be higher
than in the cases of other ministries, the central
bodies being called the Chinese Academy of Agri-
cultural Sciences and the Chinese Academy of Med-
ical Sciences. (The term used in the name is
k’o-hsueh yuan.) Both have extensive research fa-
cilities extending throughout China and operate
the major higher educational institutions in their
respective fields in China.
67. A definitive description of the organization
for planning, controlling, and supervising defense
research and development at all levels cannot be
made. Nevertheless, a few facts are available.
At the top is the Party’s Military Affairs Commit-
tee in whose hands rests basic policy direction.
Within the government, the highest level body is
the National Defense Council, but its role in re-
search and development is not known.
68. The Ministry of National Defense is the
logical locus of responsibilities in military research
and development, but the degree to which it is
responsible for planning and managing the vast
military research and development effort that ex-
tends into many other ministries and the Academy
of Sciences is not clear. Within the Ministry of
National Defense, the same pattern of organization
for research that is seen in other ministries is indi-
cated by the organizational names—a Ministry of
National Defense Science Committee and an Acad-
emy of Military Sciences. Also under the ministry
is the.People’s Liberation Army Academy of Medi-
cal Sciences. Some research and development fa-
cilities are operated by the Ministry of National
Defense, and they may be subordinate to the Acad-
emy of Military Sciences. Research organs also
are known to be subordinate to the Defense Science
Committee.
2nd Ministry of Machine Building—nuclear energy
ELEMENTS OF CONTROL
70. The control of research for defense in these
various organs may center in the Ministry of Na-
tional Defense or possibly in the State Scientific
and Technological Commission. Within the Com-
mission there is believed to be a Division for De-
fense Technology; whether this division has a co-
ordinating and supervising function or is limited
to collating for plarming is not known. Some key
projects, however, are believed to be supervised
directly by the Commission; some of these could
be military projects.
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Approved for Release: 2018/01/30 C00659420
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FOIA release, from the cia-readingroom collection. The PDF is mirrored here; the original link is above. 95 pages are in the text index: search them above, or from the library's search.