Documents / FOIA release
This Central Intelligence Agency release is a Scientific Intelligence Study, TCS No. 4425/65. The Scientific Intelligence Committee prepared it with other intelligence community committees and approved it on 3 June 1965. It assesses Communist China's capabilities in science and technology through 1970, with particular attention to military and industrial programs. The study concludes that China will lag far behind advanced nations. The exceptions are a few priority areas such as nuclear weapons, missiles and air defense. It contains no discussion of UFOs.
“The Advance”26 pages
Approved for Release: 2018/01/30 C00659420 I x rcs 4425/as II. Notional Objectives, NATIONAL GOALS AND PLANS 57. The ultimate Chinese goal is to overtake and to move ahead of the world’s scientific and tech- nological leaders at a rapid pace. Central to all planning and programming is the aspiration for an ever increasing capacity for self-sufi-iciency, while at the same time making use of all “available for- eign technology judged useful in speeding up the PIOCBSS. 58. In 1956, China set forth a 12-year Plan for Scientific Development. It’s aim was to reach world levels in the common disciplines of science and to concentrate on advancement in the follow- ing ll technological subjects: i. Nuclear energy ii. Electronics iii. jet propulsion iv. Automation and precision instrumentation v. Exploration and exploitation of petroleum and other scarce mineral resources vi. Metallurgical process and alloys vii. Heavy organic synthesis and use of fuels viii. New power equipment and heavy machinery ix. Important problems in harnessing the Yellow and Yangtse Rivers x. Agriculture mechanization, electrification and chemicals' xi. Countermeasures against major endemic diseases. A 12th subject (not listed here) cited important theoretical problems in natural science, presum- ably areas of research intimately related to some of the 11 technological subjects. 59. The Chinese, in 1956, explicitly stated that success in carrying out the plan by 1967 would de- pend heavily on assistance from the Soviet Union. When the keystone of Soviet aid dropped out of the plan during 1960, the target date of 1967 was no longer tenable. Even before 1960, the schedule had been upset by gross mismanagement of re- search and training during the “great leap forward” which started in 1958, only a few months after the plan had finally been made firm and a yearly plan prepared in accordance with it. Although the “great leap forward” and the withdrawal of almost Orgonizotion and Control all Soviet assistance upset the schedule of the 12-Year Plan and called for some shifting of pri- orities, the overall aims continued to be in line with national goals. ORGANIZATION OF RESEARCH AND DEVELOPMENT 61. Under the supervision of the Chinese Com- munist Party, the National government plans and supervises scientific and technological affairs pre- sumably through the State Scientific and Techno- logical Commission, a senior level body in the State Council. The actual execution of research and development is carried out principally by the Chinese Academy of Sciences and by the research organs of the various technical ministries. The ministries operate central research academies with subordinate research institutes and have additional research facilities attached to industrial plants. The capabilities of ministry research facilities have increased markedly in the last 5 years and now A H Approved for Release: 2018/01/30 C00659420 (b)( 1 4 I I I I l I1o'|=I<*‘m“-" ~% ‘*~"-‘M
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FOIA release, from the cia-readingroom collection. The PDF is mirrored here; the original link is above. 95 pages are in the text index: search them above, or from the library's search.