Documents / FOIA release

(EST Pub Date) Science and Technology in Communist CHINA Through 1970

Central Intelligence Agency · 1965-06-01 · 95 pages · text from the file's own layer

This Central Intelligence Agency release is a Scientific Intelligence Study, TCS No. 4425/65. The Scientific Intelligence Committee prepared it with other intelligence community committees and approved it on 3 June 1965. It assesses Communist China's capabilities in science and technology through 1970, with particular attention to military and industrial programs. The study concludes that China will lag far behind advanced nations. The exceptions are a few priority areas such as nuclear weapons, missiles and air defense. It contains no discussion of UFOs.

  • p. 5 …Hence, the Scientific Intelligence Committee has undertaken this study to provide the intelligence com- munity with…
  • p. 10 …China will continue to lag far behind the more advanced nations of the world in the…
  • p. 12 …from the present through 1970, China will remain far behind the world’s more advanced nations…
  • p. 13 …Much good work in analytical chemistry is conducted by the Chinese, particularly on the methods of…
  • p. 14 …The most im- portant advancement in agricultural research has been in crop breeding. New native strains…
  • p. 17 …with advances in products, equipment, and production techniques. In more complex fields—for example, the priority…
  • p. 18 …In a few fields, especially those related to the advanced weapons program, a high priority in…
  • p. 19 …China is now taking steps to establish rela- tions with advanced countries of the non-Commu…
  • p. 20 …levels in the common disciplines of science and to concentrate on advancement in the follow- ing…
  • p. 24 …Research and de- velopment have continued to expand since 1960, especially in the expensive advanced weapons…
  • p. 28 …the last 10 years. Other new leaders will come from more formal programs for advanced training…
  • p. 29 …Sophisti- cated apparatus of the kind expected to be used in the research laboratories of advanced…
  • p. 32 …techniques and methods, and deficiencies in the amounts of advanced mate- rials, equipment, and facilities. Nevertheless…
  • p. 33 …The most advanced high-speed digital com- puter in China, the 16-K, is somewhat inferior…
  • p. 41 …capabilities lower than in advanced countries. Minimum operational requirements of the armed forces, industry, and agriculture…
  • p. 42 …By 1970, China will be only slightly nearer the level of advanced countries in meteorology. 148…
  • p. 45 …the situation during the period of this estimate, but by 1973-75 they should advance the…
  • p. 46 …Considerable advances have been made by the Chinese in the field of antibiotic research, but they…
  • p. 53 …This research, how- ever, has not yet reached the advanced scientific stage of that in many…
  • p. 62 _.-¢a_.- resistant materials imposed by advanced military and civilian requirements, the Chinese increased substantially the electric…
  • p. 66 …oriented toward the development of advanced weaponry and toward the production of advanced weapons on a…
  • p. 67 …The Chinese now are de- pendent on foreign sources for some advanced equipment and for designs…
  • p. 68 …However, advanced tech- nology is not needed to get most of the jobs done. The Chinese…
  • p. 78 …of the Shanghai-class, which do not represent any radical advances in design. The Shanghai-class…
  • p. 86 …These equipments, how- ever, probably will not be as sophisticated as those of the more advanced…
  • p. 87 …coMMUmcA'r1oNs—China places heavy reli- ance on imports from the more advanced countries for its…
Approved for Release: 2018/01/30 C00659420
; TCS 4425/65
48. During the period through 1970, techno-
logical progress in industry is not likely to speed
up from the slow pace of the past few years un-
less China receives technical assistance on a scale
at least as large as that of the first decade of
Communist rule on the mainland. Technological
advance probably will be at a slow rate and will
be centered on a small group of industries. In a
few fields, especially those related to the advanced
weapons program, a high priority in the allocation
of scarce resources probably will yield notable im-
provements in technological capabilities.
DISCUSSION
I. Introduction
ATTITUDE OF THE REGIME TOWARD
SCIENCE AND TECHNOLOGY
49. China’s leaders have consistently emphasized
the key role played by science and technology in
helping to build China into a powerful state. Mod-
ern science and technology get equal billing as
prime national objectives along with modern agri-
culture, modern industry, and modern national de-
fense. Premier Chou En-lai restated this position
at the December 1964 National People’s Congress
and said further that “we cannot take the beaten
track traversed by other countries in the develop-
ment of technology and travel behind them at a
snail’s pace” but “must break away from conven-
tions and do our utmost to adopt advanced tech-
niques.” Such exhortations for the promotion of
science and technology are directed not only at
planners, managers, and research scientists dealing
with advanced techniques but toward all personnel
who in any way are connected with scientific and
technical matters, including farmers and industrial
workers. The application of scientific experimental
methods is urged on all. .
The objectives being the
improvement of working methods, tools, and prod-
ucts at the production level, and the advancement
of scientific and technological capabilities all along
the line up to the more complex technological de-
velopments and advanced fundamental research.
The latter being acknowledged by the Chinese as
necessary for success in putting China abreast of
the rest of the world in scientific and technological
capabilities. In China, scientific experimentation,
technical innovation, and technical revolution are
Communist watchwords.
FOREIGN RELATIONS IN SCIENCE AND
TECHNOLOGY
50. The Chinese view science and technology
as an important factor in their foreign relations.
First, they need the scientific and technological
information and materials to be found in other
countries, particularly the more advanced countries.
Second, they can use science and technology to
improve access to less developed countries and
thus promote friendly relations.
51. Until mid-1960, China had the kind of rela-
tion with the Soviet Union whereby China’s needs
could be satisfied to a large degree. Two basic
agreements were involved: the Scientific and Tech-
nical Agreement which was signed in October 1954
and the Scientific Cooperation Agreement in ]anu-
ary 1958. The latter agreement provided particu-
larly for close relations between the academies of
sciences of the two countries. During 1960, the
agreements were abrogated but for the sake of ap-
pearances were revised and reinstituted in 1961.
F ormalities have been followed, but little of sub-
stantive value to China has resulted. Recently, the
lack of normal activity connected with the agree-
ments indicates that they have both become mori-
bund. China has not discontinued all relationships
with the USSR, however, but has continued such
contacts as participation in scientific conferences in
the Soviet Union, afliliation with the ]oint Institute
for Nuclear Research at Dubna, USSR, and mem-
bership in the Fisheries Research Commission for
the Western Pacific, made up of Communist coun-
tries. Some contacts in the technological field
A
9
for Release: 2018/01/30 C00659420
_..___
,.-_._..-____~_»
_-
-—--_
~_-
1‘
4

Not linked to a story yet.

About this file

FOIA release, from the cia-readingroom collection. The PDF is mirrored here; the original link is above. 95 pages are in the text index: search them above, or from the library's search.