Documents / FOIA release
This Central Intelligence Agency release is a Scientific Intelligence Study, TCS No. 4425/65. The Scientific Intelligence Committee prepared it with other intelligence community committees and approved it on 3 June 1965. It assesses Communist China's capabilities in science and technology through 1970, with particular attention to military and industrial programs. The study concludes that China will lag far behind advanced nations. The exceptions are a few priority areas such as nuclear weapons, missiles and air defense. It contains no discussion of UFOs.
Approved for Release: 2018/01/30 C00659420 ; TCS 4425/65 48. During the period through 1970, techno- logical progress in industry is not likely to speed up from the slow pace of the past few years un- less China receives technical assistance on a scale at least as large as that of the first decade of Communist rule on the mainland. Technological advance probably will be at a slow rate and will be centered on a small group of industries. In a few fields, especially those related to the advanced weapons program, a high priority in the allocation of scarce resources probably will yield notable im- provements in technological capabilities. DISCUSSION I. Introduction ATTITUDE OF THE REGIME TOWARD SCIENCE AND TECHNOLOGY 49. China’s leaders have consistently emphasized the key role played by science and technology in helping to build China into a powerful state. Mod- ern science and technology get equal billing as prime national objectives along with modern agri- culture, modern industry, and modern national de- fense. Premier Chou En-lai restated this position at the December 1964 National People’s Congress and said further that “we cannot take the beaten track traversed by other countries in the develop- ment of technology and travel behind them at a snail’s pace” but “must break away from conven- tions and do our utmost to adopt advanced tech- niques.” Such exhortations for the promotion of science and technology are directed not only at planners, managers, and research scientists dealing with advanced techniques but toward all personnel who in any way are connected with scientific and technical matters, including farmers and industrial workers. The application of scientific experimental methods is urged on all. . The objectives being the improvement of working methods, tools, and prod- ucts at the production level, and the advancement of scientific and technological capabilities all along the line up to the more complex technological de- velopments and advanced fundamental research. The latter being acknowledged by the Chinese as necessary for success in putting China abreast of the rest of the world in scientific and technological capabilities. In China, scientific experimentation, technical innovation, and technical revolution are Communist watchwords. FOREIGN RELATIONS IN SCIENCE AND TECHNOLOGY 50. The Chinese view science and technology as an important factor in their foreign relations. First, they need the scientific and technological information and materials to be found in other countries, particularly the more advanced countries. Second, they can use science and technology to improve access to less developed countries and thus promote friendly relations. 51. Until mid-1960, China had the kind of rela- tion with the Soviet Union whereby China’s needs could be satisfied to a large degree. Two basic agreements were involved: the Scientific and Tech- nical Agreement which was signed in October 1954 and the Scientific Cooperation Agreement in ]anu- ary 1958. The latter agreement provided particu- larly for close relations between the academies of sciences of the two countries. During 1960, the agreements were abrogated but for the sake of ap- pearances were revised and reinstituted in 1961. F ormalities have been followed, but little of sub- stantive value to China has resulted. Recently, the lack of normal activity connected with the agree- ments indicates that they have both become mori- bund. China has not discontinued all relationships with the USSR, however, but has continued such contacts as participation in scientific conferences in the Soviet Union, afliliation with the ]oint Institute for Nuclear Research at Dubna, USSR, and mem- bership in the Fisheries Research Commission for the Western Pacific, made up of Communist coun- tries. Some contacts in the technological field A 9 for Release: 2018/01/30 C00659420 _..___ ,.-_._..-____~_» _- -—--_ ~_- 1‘ 4
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FOIA release, from the cia-readingroom collection. The PDF is mirrored here; the original link is above. 95 pages are in the text index: search them above, or from the library's search.