Documents / FOIA release
This Central Intelligence Agency release is a Scientific Intelligence Study, TCS No. 4425/65. The Scientific Intelligence Committee prepared it with other intelligence community committees and approved it on 3 June 1965. It assesses Communist China's capabilities in science and technology through 1970, with particular attention to military and industrial programs. The study concludes that China will lag far behind advanced nations. The exceptions are a few priority areas such as nuclear weapons, missiles and air defense. It contains no discussion of UFOs.
“The Advance”26 pages
' H Approved for Release: 2018/01/30 C00659420 O rcs 4425/as basin. / naval weapons, although the Chinese have as- sembled some Soviet-designed submarines, de- stroyer escorts, and smaller vessels, the capability for indigenous research and development is prob- ably very limited. The capability in this area, however, is expected to improve considerably by the completion within the next couple of years of a large installation which is believed to be a model 11. The level of industrial technology in China apparently varies sharply between sectors. On the whole it is very backward, and in most industrial fields progress has been extremely slow since 1960. During the period covered by this study, significant improvements in the level of industrial technology probably will be confined to a few selected indus- tries. By 1970, however, new industrial techniques will begin to be introduced more generally. SUMMARY 12. _China’s original 12-Year Plan for catching up with the industrialized nations in science and technology by 1967 was a casualty of both the “great leap forward” (1958-60) and the withdrawal of Soviet assistance, a keystone to the fulfillment of the plan. A new 10-Year Plan for Research (1963-72) was formulated both to fill the gap left by the Soviet withdrawal and to support the Chi- nese determination to attain a high degree of self- reliance. This long-range planning for research and development was done in a period of general retrenchment characterized by ad hoc short-term economic planning. The plan’s adoption under these circumstances points up the important role assigned to research and development in China’s total effort to reach first class power status. 13. During the period extending from the present through 1970, China will remain far behind the world’s more advanced nations in the major areas of science and technology for several reasons. Probably the key factor is the shortage of well- trained scientists and engineers in the middle and upper brackets of competence and experience in almost all fields of interest. This shortage of skilled manpower has caused most of the able workers to be taxed to the limit. Another con- spicuous weakness is the nationwide shortage of research apparatus, test equipment, modern and specialized machine tools, and various technological materials that require sophisticated processing. Efforts to strengthen science and technology have included: (a) setting up a sound system of tech- nical standards, (b) developing new sources for the equipment and technical assistance formerly supplied by the USSR, and (c) strengthening the quality of education. 14. China is gradually increasing its exploitation of foreign science and technology and will con- tinue to do so during the period of this estimate. l China has been obtaining technical data designs and prototypes of reliable equipment, new instrumentation, highly advanced methods and processes, unique apparatus, critical raw materials, components, spare parts, and production plant facilities. " 15. China is also using science and technology as a basis for enhancing its relations with the less developed countries. Scientific and technical co- operation agreements have been signed with a number of such countries and contacts have been made through scientific conferences and sympo- siums, touring delegations, scientific survey teams and training of foreign students in China. By such means, China has attempted to increase its pene- tration and domination among the less developed countries. 16. Chinese work in the physical and life sci- ences is primarily applied and concerned almost wholly with urgent practical problems. There are, however, some examples of original fundamental \ 3 _ Approved for Release: 2018/01/30 C00659420__
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FOIA release, from the cia-readingroom collection. The PDF is mirrored here; the original link is above. 95 pages are in the text index: search them above, or from the library's search.