Documents / FOIA release

(Estimated Pub Date) the Challenge of Ethnic Conflict to National and International Order in the 1990S: Geographic Perspectives- October 1995

Central Intelligence Agency · 1995-10-01 · 205 pages · text from the file's own layer

This Central Intelligence Agency conference report, numbered RTT 95-10039 and dated October 1995, presents the proceedings of a conference held 30 September to 1 October 1993. The CIA's Geographic Resources Division sponsored the conference. In it, academic geographers, anthropologists and US Government officials examined ethnic conflict by region, covering Eastern Europe, the former Soviet Union, Africa, Latin America, the Middle East, Asia and South Asia. The report also discusses what these conflicts mean for US policy. It does not deal with UFOs or unidentified aerial phenomena.

  • p. 50 …For example, Muslim Serbs and Muslim Croats never defined them- selves as a people. They never…
  • p. 51 …I think that’s very crucial to under- standing why the Albanians never claimed Kosovo. Of…
  • p. 62 …be taught as a second foreign language, never as the first, and d_) less information and…
  • p. 78 …It never was. It might be useful, instead, to view the Soviet Union as a colonial…
  • p. 91 …As such, the ability of states to get from their people what they want has never…
  • p. 92 …The peoples of Africa never chose what their bound- aries should be—they were imposed by…
  • p. 93 …I never would have sent them in the first place. I thought our job was to…
  • p. 109 …Most of the provisions of this agreement were never imple- mented, and Kurdish autononiy became a…
  • p. 110 …those remaining in Lebanon, that prospect was never accepted by Muslims. The absence of believable data…
  • p. 112 …the vast majority of them—who have never known democracy. Other hopes can be enter- tained…
  • p. 114 …But in this region we can never say never, as evi- denced by the recent gasp…
  • p. 116 …Although Sovietologists could never have predicted the rapid events that dismantled the USSR at the beginning…
  • p. 119 …The Chinese, in my opinion,‘ never take China for granted, culturally, politically, or otherwise. This is…
  • p. 120 …What is going on here? National identities, although imagined, are never arbi- trary but arise in…
  • p. 121 …be one reason why these categories have never been challenged. The very Confucian practice of the…
  • p. 123 …These ethnic identities are “imagined” in Ben Ander- son’s (1983) terms, but they are never…
  • p. 133 …Inter- vention in the cause of the exacerbation of ethnic conflict should never be justified. Intervention…
  • p. 141 …Sociocultural identities in South Asia have never been fixed. The corporate mobility of particular groups, some…
  • p. 147 …Although never posing a serious challenge to Congress, the Mahasabha was particularly influential in the period…
  • p. 157 …were always moderate and that the extremists never represented the Sikh rank and file. One fundamental…
  • p. 166 …These are the people who have never had any form of internationally recognized status and who…
  • p. 169 …ways to enter as illegal immigrants and never get counted. 1 I Another important point to…
  • p. 177 …The -French nation never managed to incorpo- rate the adjacent French-speaking Belgian Walloons or the…
  • p. 186 …The reason Armenians still hate Turks is that there has never been reconciliation. Similarly there will…
  • p. 204 …You are never going to have total agreement on mov- ing boundaries. In fact, hundreds of…
.Appr0ved for Release: 2018/06/01 C00123268
economic slowdown has also been attended by
increasing ethnic strife. Even during the expansion of
the 1980s, African economies lagged; with the world
economy slowed down, African economies deterio-
rate. Economic growth provides opportunities and
lessens frustrations. In Africa, the opposite situation
prevails.
This is not the place to recapitulate the historical
geography of black Africa, but its outlines—West
Africa’s cultural flowering, that region’s ancient
savanna states, the arrival and diffusion of Islam, the
European colonial intervention, the imposition of the
boundary framework, contrasting colonial policies
and practices, and the rise of Afiican nationalism-—
must be kept in mind, for they" are etched on cultural
landscapes, and they still influence interethnic rela-
tions today.
No African region has been immune from costly eth-
nic conflict. In West Africa, the most destructive con-
flict since the Biafra War has ravaged Liberia. In
Equatorial Africa, southem Chad and the southern
Sudan have been engulfed by war. In the Horn, Soma-
lia has become synonymous with ethnic strife, and
Ethiopia and Eritrea witnessed years of tribal fighting.
In East Africa, Uganda has been a caldron of ethnic
conflict, and today Rwanda and Burundi continue to
suffer. And in southern Africa, an uncertain truce has
quieted decades of war in Angola, while ethnic strife
is at least temporarily quiescent in South Africa.
This incomplete summary of current and recent ethnic
conflict notwithstanding, some African countries have
achieved ethnic accommodation against great odds.
Africa is divided into more than 1,000 ethnolinguistic
domains, creating cultural mosaics that make the
former Yugoslavia look uncomplicated by compari-
son. Political geographers often point to India as mira-
cle of multicultural stability, but Nigeria‘s continuity
may be a greater achievement still. Senegal, Tanzania,
Zambia, Botswana, and Namibia are other success
stories.
‘
A Typology of Ethnic Conflict in Africa
Ethnic conflict in Africa has variable roots, suggesting
a typology that may help assess it. Along the Islamicl
non-Islamic transition zone in the north, the ultimate
-\
cause of conflict often is religious, as is the case in
Sudan today and has been in Chad. This should not
imply that religion is the sole incentive, but it does
dominate here. In the case of Sudan, fear of Khar-
toum’s imposition of sharia criminal law upon Chris-
tian and animist southerners is a catalyst for conflict.
A second form of conflict may be designated as tribal
and is exemplified by what is happening today in
Liberia. With a population well under 3 million,
Liberia incorporates more than a dozen major ethnic
groups, including the Kpelle (about 20 percent of the
population), Bassa (14 percent), Grebo (9 percent),
Gio (8 percent), Kru (7 percent), and Mano (7 per-
cent). In 1990 the country collapsed into civil war, in
which tribal loyalties were paramount. Tens of thou-
sands were killed, and nearly I million refugees
streamed across Liberia’s borders.
A third kind of ethnic conflict has strategic origins: it
may have started as a tribal struggle but has worsened
by external interests. In early 1995, one of these con-
flicts had recently abated: the war between Popular
Movement for the Liberation of Angola (MPLA) and
National Union for the Total Independence of Angola
(UNITA) forces in Angola. A fourth form of conflict p
may be categorized as reformist. This has its origins in
the political transformation of a state. For example, in
Kenya during the runup to independence, the Mau
Mau rebellion was essentially a Kikuyu movement
aimed not only against whites but also against “collab-
orators.” In fact, many more Africans than Europeans
lost their lives during that period, and animosities
between Kikuyu and non-Kikuyu endured after inde-
pendence. The first clashes in Liberia involved the
ouster of the Americo-Liberian elite by the so-called
aborigines, as the indigenous peoples of Liberia were
called. In Zimbabwe, Mashona/Matabele conflict
arose in similar context.
In Africa today, the geographic dimension of ethnic
conflict is this: religious strife affects principally the
northern cultural transition zone; reformist conflict
prevails in the south; and tribal war not directly
related to external influences afflicts the central zone,
most severely in Rwanda and Liberia. Persistent stra-
tegic conflict has devastated Angola and, while quies-
cent at present, still looms in Mozambique.
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Approved for Release: 2018/06/01 C00123268

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FOIA release, from the cia-readingroom collection. The PDF is mirrored here; the original link is under it. 205 pages are in the text index: search them above, or from the library's search.