Documents / FOIA release

(Estimated Pub Date) the Challenge of Ethnic Conflict to National and International Order in the 1990S: Geographic Perspectives- October 1995

Central Intelligence Agency · 1995-10-01 · 205 pages · text from the file's own layer

This Central Intelligence Agency conference report, numbered RTT 95-10039 and dated October 1995, presents the proceedings of a conference held 30 September to 1 October 1993. The CIA's Geographic Resources Division sponsored the conference. In it, academic geographers, anthropologists and US Government officials examined ethnic conflict by region, covering Eastern Europe, the former Soviet Union, Africa, Latin America, the Middle East, Asia and South Asia. The report also discusses what these conflicts mean for US policy. It does not deal with UFOs or unidentified aerial phenomena.

  • p. 50 …For example, Muslim Serbs and Muslim Croats never defined them- selves as a people. They never…
  • p. 51 …I think that’s very crucial to under- standing why the Albanians never claimed Kosovo. Of…
  • p. 62 …be taught as a second foreign language, never as the first, and d_) less information and…
  • p. 78 …It never was. It might be useful, instead, to view the Soviet Union as a colonial…
  • p. 91 …As such, the ability of states to get from their people what they want has never…
  • p. 92 …The peoples of Africa never chose what their bound- aries should be—they were imposed by…
  • p. 93 …I never would have sent them in the first place. I thought our job was to…
  • p. 109 …Most of the provisions of this agreement were never imple- mented, and Kurdish autononiy became a…
  • p. 110 …those remaining in Lebanon, that prospect was never accepted by Muslims. The absence of believable data…
  • p. 112 …the vast majority of them—who have never known democracy. Other hopes can be enter- tained…
  • p. 114 …But in this region we can never say never, as evi- denced by the recent gasp…
  • p. 116 …Although Sovietologists could never have predicted the rapid events that dismantled the USSR at the beginning…
  • p. 119 …The Chinese, in my opinion,‘ never take China for granted, culturally, politically, or otherwise. This is…
  • p. 120 …What is going on here? National identities, although imagined, are never arbi- trary but arise in…
  • p. 121 …be one reason why these categories have never been challenged. The very Confucian practice of the…
  • p. 123 …These ethnic identities are “imagined” in Ben Ander- son’s (1983) terms, but they are never…
  • p. 133 …Inter- vention in the cause of the exacerbation of ethnic conflict should never be justified. Intervention…
  • p. 141 …Sociocultural identities in South Asia have never been fixed. The corporate mobility of particular groups, some…
  • p. 147 …Although never posing a serious challenge to Congress, the Mahasabha was particularly influential in the period…
  • p. 157 …were always moderate and that the extremists never represented the Sikh rank and file. One fundamental…
  • p. 166 …These are the people who have never had any form of internationally recognized status and who…
  • p. 169 …ways to enter as illegal immigrants and never get counted. 1 I Another important point to…
  • p. 177 …The -French nation never managed to incorpo- rate the adjacent French-speaking Belgian Walloons or the…
  • p. 186 …The reason Armenians still hate Turks is that there has never been reconciliation. Similarly there will…
  • p. 204 …You are never going to have total agreement on mov- ing boundaries. In fact, hundreds of…
Approved for Release: 2018/06/01 C00123268
Russia anyway-—‘is a question of decentralization ver-
sus centralization, more than of ethnicity.
QUESTION: To what extent will patterns of trade and
commerce shift the regional identification of the Rus-
sians who live in the Far East from considering them-
selves to be Russians to considering themselves a part
of the Pacific Rim or the Northeast Asian community?
Vlfill such pattems accelerate the trends that you are
speaking of in terms of localization?
DR. KAISER: Dr. Wixman seems to see more of a
potential for separatism in the Far East among the
Russians themselves than I do. On the ethnic map of
Russia, the Far East is overwhelmingly Russian and
has been since about 1700. Even so, the region is
sparsely populated; only about 25 million people live
east of the Urals. I suppose a redirection or reorienta-
tion of the population could occur, because there is a
great deal of localism there. Two different regional
restructuring processes have been at work, however.
First, the Russians themselves are reorganizing and
directing their attention to the Pacific Rim and think-
ing more in local and economic terms; second, the
non-Russian population IS banding together in groups
and organizing to try to gain political clout. Neither of
these restructuring processes is on the same level as an
independence movement and certainly not on that of a
movement based on ethnonationalism. Instead, local
Russian areas are demanding more autonomy within a
more decentralized Russia and particularly seek
greater control ojver the economic wealth that flows
through their region. Because these Russians are not
sacrificing for the good of Mother Russia and all Rus-
sians, one could probably question the level of their
Russian national consciousness and their common
sense of homeland, but this localism/regionalism is
not on the same order of magnitude as separatist
nationalism. ,
DR. WIXMAN: I think the movement for autonomy
in the Russian Far East is greater than in even the eth-
nic regions. There is a strong anticentralist feeling.
There is no question that the population is Russian;
they are just as Russian as anyone else. But who
resides in the Russian Far East? The descendants of
the people who fled to the Far East to escape central
authority before the Soviets took over and of those
people who were sent there after 1917. This is the
groupof people in the Russian empire who, more than
anyone else, has had an antagonistic attitude toward
Moscow for decades. They are located on the Pacific,
so a strong movement exists toward stronger ties to
Korea, Japan, the United States, and Canada.
QUESTION: Would you comment on the relation
between ethnicity and environment?
DR. KAISER: At the beginning of the independence
movements, a lot of national fronts-—particularly in
the Baltic states and in Belarus—began as environ-
mental movements. Environmentalism and national-
ism—especially national independence——were very
closely tied, not only in the Baltic states but also in
many of the European republics.
This should not be surprising because people consid-
ered their soil to be sacred-—as the only place where
their nation could survive and prosper—-and they
became angry when it was polluted by forces outside
their control. Indeed, a lot of the region’s polluting
industries were moved in at the behest of Moscow.
Along with them came Russians, so the ethnic feature
was added on top of the environmental one.
Since independence, environmentalism has often
taken a back seat to nationalism and independence.
For example, nationalists in Estonia who had
lamented the fact that Russians had set up an oil shale
mining operation there now say they need to keep that
operation going so as not to rely on Russia for oil. The
same thing occurred in Lithuania with the Ignalina
nuclear plant. The Lithuanians have talked about add-
ing a third unit to that nuclear facility—even though
before independence it was a symbol of Soviet
oppression and a symbol of the environmental degra-
dation of the homeland. In Ukraine, there is even talk
about keeping Ohomobyl‘ (Chernobyl') in operation
and maybe expanding it as well. In Armenia, a nuclear
plant had been shut down by grassroots opposition
because it was on a geologic faultline and has been
damaged by earthquakes. Now the Armenians are
considering reopening it because they need local
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Approved for Release: 2018/06/01 C00123268

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FOIA release, from the cia-readingroom collection. The PDF is mirrored here; the original link is under it. 205 pages are in the text index: search them above, or from the library's search.