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(Estimated Pub Date) the Challenge of Ethnic Conflict to National and International Order in the 1990S: Geographic Perspectives- October 1995

Central Intelligence Agency · 1995-10-01 · 205 pages · text from the file's own layer

This Central Intelligence Agency conference report, numbered RTT 95-10039 and dated October 1995, presents the proceedings of a conference held 30 September to 1 October 1993. The CIA's Geographic Resources Division sponsored the conference. In it, academic geographers, anthropologists and US Government officials examined ethnic conflict by region, covering Eastern Europe, the former Soviet Union, Africa, Latin America, the Middle East, Asia and South Asia. The report also discusses what these conflicts mean for US policy. It does not deal with UFOs or unidentified aerial phenomena.

  • p. 50 …For example, Muslim Serbs and Muslim Croats never defined them- selves as a people. They never…
  • p. 51 …I think that’s very crucial to under- standing why the Albanians never claimed Kosovo. Of…
  • p. 62 …be taught as a second foreign language, never as the first, and d_) less information and…
  • p. 78 …It never was. It might be useful, instead, to view the Soviet Union as a colonial…
  • p. 91 …As such, the ability of states to get from their people what they want has never…
  • p. 92 …The peoples of Africa never chose what their bound- aries should be—they were imposed by…
  • p. 93 …I never would have sent them in the first place. I thought our job was to…
  • p. 109 …Most of the provisions of this agreement were never imple- mented, and Kurdish autononiy became a…
  • p. 110 …those remaining in Lebanon, that prospect was never accepted by Muslims. The absence of believable data…
  • p. 112 …the vast majority of them—who have never known democracy. Other hopes can be enter- tained…
  • p. 114 …But in this region we can never say never, as evi- denced by the recent gasp…
  • p. 116 …Although Sovietologists could never have predicted the rapid events that dismantled the USSR at the beginning…
  • p. 119 …The Chinese, in my opinion,‘ never take China for granted, culturally, politically, or otherwise. This is…
  • p. 120 …What is going on here? National identities, although imagined, are never arbi- trary but arise in…
  • p. 121 …be one reason why these categories have never been challenged. The very Confucian practice of the…
  • p. 123 …These ethnic identities are “imagined” in Ben Ander- son’s (1983) terms, but they are never…
  • p. 133 …Inter- vention in the cause of the exacerbation of ethnic conflict should never be justified. Intervention…
  • p. 141 …Sociocultural identities in South Asia have never been fixed. The corporate mobility of particular groups, some…
  • p. 147 …Although never posing a serious challenge to Congress, the Mahasabha was particularly influential in the period…
  • p. 157 …were always moderate and that the extremists never represented the Sikh rank and file. One fundamental…
  • p. 166 …These are the people who have never had any form of internationally recognized status and who…
  • p. 169 …ways to enter as illegal immigrants and never get counted. 1 I Another important point to…
  • p. 177 …The -French nation never managed to incorpo- rate the adjacent French-speaking Belgian Walloons or the…
  • p. 186 …The reason Armenians still hate Turks is that there has never been reconciliation. Similarly there will…
  • p. 204 …You are never going to have total agreement on mov- ing boundaries. In fact, hundreds of…
Approved for Release: 2018/06/01 C00123268
Ethnoterritorial Conflict in the
Former Soviet Union
Robert Kaiser
Professor of Geography
University of Missouri-Columbia
Introduction
The former USSR has been the scene of scores of
active and potential ethnoterritorial conflicts. More
than 200 ethnic and territorial disputes have been
identified in this region since 1989, encompassing
nearly all the territory of the former USSR (see
figure 6). However, not all the disputes have erupted
into violent conflict. In Latvia and Estonia, ethnic con-
flict has taken the form of “constitutional nationalism”
or “ethnic democracy,” as Latyian and Estonian politi-
cal elites restructure ethnic relations through the use
of legislation to exclude nonmembers.‘ In Transcauca-
sia, ethnoterritorial conflicts between titular nations
and indigenous minorities began before 1991 and
quickly escalated to open warfare. In Central Asia,
sporadic outbreaks of ethnic violence against nontitu-
lar populations have occurred but have not been orga-
nized by indigenous political elites pursuing the
politics of territorial nationalism. In the Russian Fed-
eration, disputes over the level of territorial autonomy
for non-Russians have risen, but, aside from a few
specific republics, a process of political disintegration
comparable to that which occurred in the USSR does
not appear to be on the horizon.
Rather than provide a descriptive summary of all 200
plus ethnoterritorial conflicts, this paper explores the
factors underyling the regional variation in the ethnot-
erritorial conflicts that have arisen in the former
' The term constitutional nationalismi its use by the political elites
of the dominant nation, the consequences of the new political real-
ity for nonmembers. and reactions leading to violent ethnoterrito-
rial conflict was recently elaborated by Robert Hayden (1992) with
reference to Yugoslavia. According to Hayden, “constitutional
nationalism envisions a state in which sovereignty resides with a
particular nation, the members of which are the only ones who can
decide fundamental questions of state: form and identity." Ethnic
democracy has been defined by Smooha and Hanf (1992, 31) as “a
democracy in which the dominance of one ethnic group is institu-
tionalized." 1
Soviet Union.’ The factors and consequences briefly
discussed are generalizations drawn from comparative
research on nationalism and territoriality and from the
disputes that have emerged in the former USSR. They
are by no means the only important factors, and, to
fully understand why some ethnoterritorial disputes
escalated to violent conflict and others did not, it is
necessary to explore each dispute in detail and to
examine it from each side’s perspective. Nonetheless,
it is also essential to understand the geographic vari-
ability in ethnoterritorial conflict in the former USSR
more generally and to place the events in this critical
world region in the context of a broader conceptual
framework.
Ethnoterritorial Conflicts: Factors Underlying
Regional Differences
The Degree of National Consciousness
The formation of a national identity is one of the most
important, but also one of the most difficult, factors to
grasp. Nationalists throughout this region tend to
depict their nations as “primordial organisms” that
were dormant during the oppressive Soviet period and
were reawakened during the Gorbachev era (for
example, RUKH 1989). However, it is more accurate
to view the Soviet period as crucial to the national for-
mation process, during which time nations became
mass-based communities of interest and belonging
that developed a sense of identity and a sense of
homeland more extensive than their local environment
(Kaiser 1994). However, even though this nationaliza-
tion process during the Soviet era resulted in a higher
and more mass-based national consciousness than
existed before, not all groups are equally national.
Because national consciousness is essentially subjec-
tive, it is difficult to measure the degree to which it has
become mass-based. Soviet censuses did ask a ques-
tion on national identity, and this data provided one
indicator of groups that were losing members as a
1 For such a descriptive summary of the conflicts that had emerged
by 1992, see Kolossor (1992).
59
Approved for Release: 2018/06/01 C00123268

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FOIA release, from the cia-readingroom collection. The PDF is mirrored here; the original link is under it. 205 pages are in the text index: search them above, or from the library's search.