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(Estimated Pub Date) the Challenge of Ethnic Conflict to National and International Order in the 1990S: Geographic Perspectives- October 1995

Central Intelligence Agency · 1995-10-01 · 205 pages · text from the file's own layer

This Central Intelligence Agency conference report, numbered RTT 95-10039 and dated October 1995, presents the proceedings of a conference held 30 September to 1 October 1993. The CIA's Geographic Resources Division sponsored the conference. In it, academic geographers, anthropologists and US Government officials examined ethnic conflict by region, covering Eastern Europe, the former Soviet Union, Africa, Latin America, the Middle East, Asia and South Asia. The report also discusses what these conflicts mean for US policy. It does not deal with UFOs or unidentified aerial phenomena.

  • p. 9 …He also dis- cusses how various groups have reacted to rising terri- torial nationalism. Approved for…
  • p. 18 …The issue of sense of territory is thus closely linked to the second core terri- torial…
  • p. 19 …The latter encompasses laws that set aside some terri- tory for a given ethnic group. The…
  • p. 28 …The link between territory, identity, and terri- toriality becomes especially dynamic when discord exists between two…
  • p. 32 …Murphy made about ethnic mobili- zation and socioeconomic status as they relate to terri- toriality. Dr…
  • p. 33 …suggest giving the old provinces more political-terri- torial significance within the state. Then their citizens…
  • p. 50 …The Serbs want Krajina as a piece of geographical terri- tory, and the Serbs who live…
  • p. 52 …Sovereignty over European terri- tory was initially determined by church and dynastic settlements following periodic warfare…
  • p. 66 …That may mean some of the kinds of terri- torial policies that I suggested. It also…
  • p. 76 …National identity and terri- torial identity have been intimately interrelated, and a rising sense of national…
  • p. 79 …The big- gest threat to Russia today in terms of its intemal terri- torial integrity is…
  • p. 153 …The real crux of the terri- torial problem is one of scale because the homoge- neity…
  • p. 184 …Nevertheless, many geographers will agree that one of the most important characteristics of‘terri- tory is…
Approved for Release: 2018/06/01 C00123268
movement and border vigilance have not been lost,
merely shifted further east. Geographers, who have a
long-established interest in migration, displacement,
and territorial adjustment, are contributing to our
understanding of the changing pattems.
James Walsh (1992) has provided an overview that
suggests that in France the threat of increasing migra-
tion of Muslims animates racial passions. Fully
3.5 million foreigners make up 6.2 percent of the total
population. The migrants are accused of such things as
depressing average economic wage levels, refusing to
integrate, clustering in Islamic neighborhoods, and
undermining French culture and customs. Such
charges serve the cause of the National Front under
Le Pen, who won 38 percent of the November 1991
election vote and, in the regional elections of 1992,
gave the National Front a larger percentage of the vote
than the Socialist Party under Francois Mitterrand.
Bruno Megret, a leading theoretician of the National
Front, has announced a package of migration-curbing
proposals: 1) posting of $180,000 bond by all non-
European visitors, 2) mandatory AIDS testing,
3) review of the status of all aliens in France, 4)
stricter border control, 5) no family unity doctrine,
6) repeal of the agreement on freedom of movement
for EC-member migrants, 7) no social benefits to
migrant children, 8) priority for French citizens in
housing and social benefits, and 9) immediate deporta-
tion for migrants with improper or no official docu-
ments, (Walsh, 1992, p. 2l).'C1early such blatant state
nationalism will not be adopted in policy terms by any
responsible French Government, but more subtle vari-
ants of these elements have entered the agenda of
respectable political parties and interest groups and
will be set in sharper focus as the key policy altema-
tives each time urban racial violence occurs.
The former German Federal Republic was a logical
destination for many displaced Europeans and others
because of its historically sympathetic reception of
refugees that is enshrined in Article 16 of the German
Basic Law. It is estimated that some 400,000 asylum
seekers were processed into Germany in 1992. Walsh
suggests that 80 percent came from the Third World
and that the vast majority were Muslim; he argues that
an additional 4 million Turks and their families and a
further 310,000 de facto refugees should be taken into
account as constituting the non-German sector of the
population.
Since unification and its attendant economic and fiscal
difficulties, this liberal attitude has been openly chal-
lenged. Anti-immigrant violence has made many Ger-
man citizens wary of an extension of their open-door
policy, especially when the media are quick to point
out that 93 percent of asylum seekers do not have a
valid case. Thus, one inescapable conclusion is that
many places within Germany are going to witness
sporadic and deep-seated violence. When this general
trend is applied to the borders with Poland, the Czech
Republic, and Austria, it is evident that one major
cause of future conflict will be the manner in which
cross-border movement is handled.
The German state’s response is to attempt to quench
the migration fiow at the source through a massive
investment in the emergent capitalist economies of the
east and increased immigration control at external EU
borders. To some extent this will be welcomed by
dependent economies that will replace the ruble with
the mark, but it is also likely to create deep-seated
resentment and accusations of intemal colonialism,
reminiscent of the first waves of German expansion in
previous centuries. Such border controls will facilitate
the removal of intemal EU border checks but only to
the extent that each constituent country is as efficient
and determined as Germany, France, and the United
Kingdom in employing external controls, a doubtful
assumption.
The most recent migrants are incorrectly viewed as
economically dependent and relatively unskilled-—a
drain on EU resources. Miles (1992, p.41) is especially
sensitive to this assumption. He argues that “this
homogenization of migration flows is factually mis-
taken and analytically problematic" and that “...large
numbers of recent migrants originate from Eastern
Europe, the migration of aussiedler into Germany
being of special significance; that the most important
category of intemal labor migration within the EU is
that of skilled professional and managerial labour; and
Approved for Release: 2018/06/01 C00123268

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FOIA release, from the cia-readingroom collection. The PDF is mirrored here; the original link is above. 205 pages are in the text index: search them above, or from the library's search.