Documents / FOIA release

(Estimated Pub Date) the Challenge of Ethnic Conflict to National and International Order in the 1990S: Geographic Perspectives- October 1995

Central Intelligence Agency · 1995-10-01 · 205 pages · text from the file's own layer

This Central Intelligence Agency conference report, numbered RTT 95-10039 and dated October 1995, presents the proceedings of a conference held 30 September to 1 October 1993. The CIA's Geographic Resources Division sponsored the conference. In it, academic geographers, anthropologists and US Government officials examined ethnic conflict by region, covering Eastern Europe, the former Soviet Union, Africa, Latin America, the Middle East, Asia and South Asia. The report also discusses what these conflicts mean for US policy. It does not deal with UFOs or unidentified aerial phenomena.

  • p. 50 …For example, Muslim Serbs and Muslim Croats never defined them- selves as a people. They never…
  • p. 51 …I think that’s very crucial to under- standing why the Albanians never claimed Kosovo. Of…
  • p. 62 …be taught as a second foreign language, never as the first, and d_) less information and…
  • p. 78 …It never was. It might be useful, instead, to view the Soviet Union as a colonial…
  • p. 91 …As such, the ability of states to get from their people what they want has never…
  • p. 92 …The peoples of Africa never chose what their bound- aries should be—they were imposed by…
  • p. 93 …I never would have sent them in the first place. I thought our job was to…
  • p. 109 …Most of the provisions of this agreement were never imple- mented, and Kurdish autononiy became a…
  • p. 110 …those remaining in Lebanon, that prospect was never accepted by Muslims. The absence of believable data…
  • p. 112 …the vast majority of them—who have never known democracy. Other hopes can be enter- tained…
  • p. 114 …But in this region we can never say never, as evi- denced by the recent gasp…
  • p. 116 …Although Sovietologists could never have predicted the rapid events that dismantled the USSR at the beginning…
  • p. 119 …The Chinese, in my opinion,‘ never take China for granted, culturally, politically, or otherwise. This is…
  • p. 120 …What is going on here? National identities, although imagined, are never arbi- trary but arise in…
  • p. 121 …be one reason why these categories have never been challenged. The very Confucian practice of the…
  • p. 123 …These ethnic identities are “imagined” in Ben Ander- son’s (1983) terms, but they are never…
  • p. 133 …Inter- vention in the cause of the exacerbation of ethnic conflict should never be justified. Intervention…
  • p. 141 …Sociocultural identities in South Asia have never been fixed. The corporate mobility of particular groups, some…
  • p. 147 …Although never posing a serious challenge to Congress, the Mahasabha was particularly influential in the period…
  • p. 157 …were always moderate and that the extremists never represented the Sikh rank and file. One fundamental…
  • p. 166 …These are the people who have never had any form of internationally recognized status and who…
  • p. 169 …ways to enter as illegal immigrants and never get counted. 1 I Another important point to…
  • p. 177 …The -French nation never managed to incorpo- rate the adjacent French-speaking Belgian Walloons or the…
  • p. 186 …The reason Armenians still hate Turks is that there has never been reconciliation. Similarly there will…
  • p. 204 …You are never going to have total agreement on mov- ing boundaries. In fact, hundreds of…
Approved for Release: 2018/06/01 C00123268
movement and border vigilance have not been lost,
merely shifted further east. Geographers, who have a
long-established interest in migration, displacement,
and territorial adjustment, are contributing to our
understanding of the changing pattems.
James Walsh (1992) has provided an overview that
suggests that in France the threat of increasing migra-
tion of Muslims animates racial passions. Fully
3.5 million foreigners make up 6.2 percent of the total
population. The migrants are accused of such things as
depressing average economic wage levels, refusing to
integrate, clustering in Islamic neighborhoods, and
undermining French culture and customs. Such
charges serve the cause of the National Front under
Le Pen, who won 38 percent of the November 1991
election vote and, in the regional elections of 1992,
gave the National Front a larger percentage of the vote
than the Socialist Party under Francois Mitterrand.
Bruno Megret, a leading theoretician of the National
Front, has announced a package of migration-curbing
proposals: 1) posting of $180,000 bond by all non-
European visitors, 2) mandatory AIDS testing,
3) review of the status of all aliens in France, 4)
stricter border control, 5) no family unity doctrine,
6) repeal of the agreement on freedom of movement
for EC-member migrants, 7) no social benefits to
migrant children, 8) priority for French citizens in
housing and social benefits, and 9) immediate deporta-
tion for migrants with improper or no official docu-
ments, (Walsh, 1992, p. 2l).'C1early such blatant state
nationalism will not be adopted in policy terms by any
responsible French Government, but more subtle vari-
ants of these elements have entered the agenda of
respectable political parties and interest groups and
will be set in sharper focus as the key policy altema-
tives each time urban racial violence occurs.
The former German Federal Republic was a logical
destination for many displaced Europeans and others
because of its historically sympathetic reception of
refugees that is enshrined in Article 16 of the German
Basic Law. It is estimated that some 400,000 asylum
seekers were processed into Germany in 1992. Walsh
suggests that 80 percent came from the Third World
and that the vast majority were Muslim; he argues that
an additional 4 million Turks and their families and a
further 310,000 de facto refugees should be taken into
account as constituting the non-German sector of the
population.
Since unification and its attendant economic and fiscal
difficulties, this liberal attitude has been openly chal-
lenged. Anti-immigrant violence has made many Ger-
man citizens wary of an extension of their open-door
policy, especially when the media are quick to point
out that 93 percent of asylum seekers do not have a
valid case. Thus, one inescapable conclusion is that
many places within Germany are going to witness
sporadic and deep-seated violence. When this general
trend is applied to the borders with Poland, the Czech
Republic, and Austria, it is evident that one major
cause of future conflict will be the manner in which
cross-border movement is handled.
The German state’s response is to attempt to quench
the migration fiow at the source through a massive
investment in the emergent capitalist economies of the
east and increased immigration control at external EU
borders. To some extent this will be welcomed by
dependent economies that will replace the ruble with
the mark, but it is also likely to create deep-seated
resentment and accusations of intemal colonialism,
reminiscent of the first waves of German expansion in
previous centuries. Such border controls will facilitate
the removal of intemal EU border checks but only to
the extent that each constituent country is as efficient
and determined as Germany, France, and the United
Kingdom in employing external controls, a doubtful
assumption.
The most recent migrants are incorrectly viewed as
economically dependent and relatively unskilled-—a
drain on EU resources. Miles (1992, p.41) is especially
sensitive to this assumption. He argues that “this
homogenization of migration flows is factually mis-
taken and analytically problematic" and that “...large
numbers of recent migrants originate from Eastern
Europe, the migration of aussiedler into Germany
being of special significance; that the most important
category of intemal labor migration within the EU is
that of skilled professional and managerial labour; and
Approved for Release: 2018/06/01 C00123268

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FOIA release, from the cia-readingroom collection. The PDF is mirrored here; the original link is under it. 205 pages are in the text index: search them above, or from the library's search.