Documents / FOIA release
This Central Intelligence Agency conference report, numbered RTT 95-10039 and dated October 1995, presents the proceedings of a conference held 30 September to 1 October 1993. The CIA's Geographic Resources Division sponsored the conference. In it, academic geographers, anthropologists and US Government officials examined ethnic conflict by region, covering Eastern Europe, the former Soviet Union, Africa, Latin America, the Middle East, Asia and South Asia. The report also discusses what these conflicts mean for US policy. It does not deal with UFOs or unidentified aerial phenomena.
“The Advance”17 pages
Approved for Release: 2018/06/01 C00123268 its relations with Turkey. Thus, in the event of a widen- ing war, we may find Serbia and Greece isolated and Turkey, Bulgaria, and Albania backed by Russia, Croatia, Hungary,‘and many Middle Eastem States. It is doubtful that we could do anything under those cir- cumstances in temis of any involvement. Although one can paint other scenarios, one thing is clear--the West made a grave error in allowing and promoting Serbian aggression. Some say it is too late to do anything. That is an absurd position. In 1940 one could say that Germany had won the war and that it was too late to do anything to free Poland or Czecho- slovakia. The Russians proved otherwise. Serbia is not a great power and need not be feared. If after three years of vast military superiority the Serbs still have not won, they would be easy to push back. The main- tenance of the embargo against the Bosnian Muslims should be lifted and airpower should be used to liber- ate Bosnia. It is certainly not too late to do that. By continuing to legitimize Serbian aggression, we are once again letting the people of Eastern Europe know that we do not support democratic governments or independent nation-states in that region. We should therefore not be surprised that a greater and far more serious war may be looming on the horizon. The alienation of the Turks and of Turkey is a far more serious issue in the realm of geopolitical reality than the support of Serbian delusions of grandeur. We risk not only a great Balkan war but also one that may result in Bulgaria, Greece, and Turkey changing their national borders. Inaction in Bosnia has also resulted in a massive rise of anti-Western and anti-American sentiment throughout the Middle East and other Mus- lim areas. The United States should rethink its posi- tion on Serbia. 36 Approved for Release: 2018/06/01 C00123268
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FOIA release, from the cia-readingroom collection. The PDF is mirrored here; the original link is above. 205 pages are in the text index: search them above, or from the library's search.