Documents / FOIA release

(Estimated Pub Date) the Challenge of Ethnic Conflict to National and International Order in the 1990S: Geographic Perspectives- October 1995

Central Intelligence Agency · 1995-10-01 · 205 pages · text from the file's own layer

This Central Intelligence Agency conference report, numbered RTT 95-10039 and dated October 1995, presents the proceedings of a conference held 30 September to 1 October 1993. The CIA's Geographic Resources Division sponsored the conference. In it, academic geographers, anthropologists and US Government officials examined ethnic conflict by region, covering Eastern Europe, the former Soviet Union, Africa, Latin America, the Middle East, Asia and South Asia. The report also discusses what these conflicts mean for US policy. It does not deal with UFOs or unidentified aerial phenomena.

  • p. 50 …For example, Muslim Serbs and Muslim Croats never defined them- selves as a people. They never…
  • p. 51 …I think that’s very crucial to under- standing why the Albanians never claimed Kosovo. Of…
  • p. 62 …be taught as a second foreign language, never as the first, and d_) less information and…
  • p. 78 …It never was. It might be useful, instead, to view the Soviet Union as a colonial…
  • p. 91 …As such, the ability of states to get from their people what they want has never…
  • p. 92 …The peoples of Africa never chose what their bound- aries should be—they were imposed by…
  • p. 93 …I never would have sent them in the first place. I thought our job was to…
  • p. 109 …Most of the provisions of this agreement were never imple- mented, and Kurdish autononiy became a…
  • p. 110 …those remaining in Lebanon, that prospect was never accepted by Muslims. The absence of believable data…
  • p. 112 …the vast majority of them—who have never known democracy. Other hopes can be enter- tained…
  • p. 114 …But in this region we can never say never, as evi- denced by the recent gasp…
  • p. 116 …Although Sovietologists could never have predicted the rapid events that dismantled the USSR at the beginning…
  • p. 119 …The Chinese, in my opinion,‘ never take China for granted, culturally, politically, or otherwise. This is…
  • p. 120 …What is going on here? National identities, although imagined, are never arbi- trary but arise in…
  • p. 121 …be one reason why these categories have never been challenged. The very Confucian practice of the…
  • p. 123 …These ethnic identities are “imagined” in Ben Ander- son’s (1983) terms, but they are never…
  • p. 133 …Inter- vention in the cause of the exacerbation of ethnic conflict should never be justified. Intervention…
  • p. 141 …Sociocultural identities in South Asia have never been fixed. The corporate mobility of particular groups, some…
  • p. 147 …Although never posing a serious challenge to Congress, the Mahasabha was particularly influential in the period…
  • p. 157 …were always moderate and that the extremists never represented the Sikh rank and file. One fundamental…
  • p. 166 …These are the people who have never had any form of internationally recognized status and who…
  • p. 169 …ways to enter as illegal immigrants and never get counted. 1 I Another important point to…
  • p. 177 …The -French nation never managed to incorpo- rate the adjacent French-speaking Belgian Walloons or the…
  • p. 186 …The reason Armenians still hate Turks is that there has never been reconciliation. Similarly there will…
  • p. 204 …You are never going to have total agreement on mov- ing boundaries. In fact, hundreds of…
Approved for Release: 2018/06/01 C00123268
50 percent within the next decade as more informa-
tion is generated and stored but not necessarily ana-
lyzed or understood. Sometimes, I think “we don’t
know what we don’t know.” Such information gaps
are especially apparent when working with new
democracies, new ideologies, and problems related
to human welfare.
' How do we communicate? How we communicate is
always a problem and will remain so far among
those who attempt to understand global political
changes. The introduction of faster and cheaper
modes of communication—modems, FAX machines
and e-mail—literally place more locations on the
planet within easy reach of others that are con-
nected. It is important to know from where the infor-
mation comes and its credibility.
' CNN and photographs. CNN, out of Atlanta, is
replacing the standard news organizations and
sources. This “global newspaper of the air” reaches
all parts of the world. What viewers see are CNN ’s
views of the world. Literally, we could say that “We
are watching CNN and CNN is watching us.” The
second part ofthis instant television of the-world is
the growing importance of images conveyed to glo-
bal audiences by CNN and other television net-
works. Photos are replacing words and speeches as
the important elements in many international policy
decisions. '
~ Surveys and polls. One of the consequences of the
information revolution is the increased use of polls
and surveys at local, regional, and global levels.
Those groups surveyed may have narrow or broad
support among a state’s population; for this reason,
the geographic results of surveys and polls take on
added meaning. The use of these surveys, whether
designed and conducted fairly or manipulated, can
form an important weapon on the part of the state to
conduct specific policies in certain regions and with
certain groups.
Learning About Conflict and Cooperation
Much of the discussion during the past few days has
focused on ethnic conflict within states and regions.
As we have learned, there are multiple causes of local
and regional conflict, and conflict assumes different
forms in different locations and political settings.
There is no question that the geographies and politics
of conflict—especially ethnic and racial confiict—will
assume center stage in many regions during the next
few decades.
While we spend time and energy studying the causes
and geographies of conflict, we also would be wise to
investigate conflict resolution. That is, what are the
alternatives to keep conflict? What are useful local
and regional strategies that govemments and other
institutions—-including religious, educational, and
volunteer ones--might implement to conflict situa-
tions from emerging. Or, once conflict has surfaced,
what can be done to lessen or resolve the conflict or
prevent it from spreading. Much of the conflict resolu-
tion literature focuses on information—-who knows
what about another group. Understanding conflict and
conflict resolution is best not left only to experts in the
govermnent or universities who swdy cultural, poli-
tics, and social change. It also must be an integral part
of the educational system in early and middle school
years. Just as one learns to hate and practice discrimi-
nation, so one can learn strategies to reduce conflict,
hatred, and discrimination and see the benefits of rec-
onciliation.
Looking Ahead
In closing, I think it is important to train and retrain
professionals for the future geopolitical worlds of the
next 25 to 50 years. This entails an understanding and
appreciation of the new global diversities that the
planet’s leaders and citizens will face. There are not
one or two best solutions to problems, but potentially
a host of altematives. Somehow it is important to
develop familiarity with various models and method-
ologies ranging from scenario writing to complex
mathematical computer gaming. Specialists need to be
constantly investigating creative alternatives to exist-
ing or anticipated problems. Being bold, creative, and
imaginative are more important than being bound by
disciplinary strategems, traditional solutions, and regi-
mented ideologies and philosophies.
190
Approved for Release: 2018/06/01 C00123268

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FOIA release, from the cia-readingroom collection. The PDF is mirrored here; the original link is under it. 205 pages are in the text index: search them above, or from the library's search.