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(Estimated Pub Date) the Challenge of Ethnic Conflict to National and International Order in the 1990S: Geographic Perspectives- October 1995

Central Intelligence Agency · 1995-10-01 · 205 pages · text from the file's own layer

This Central Intelligence Agency conference report, numbered RTT 95-10039 and dated October 1995, presents the proceedings of a conference held 30 September to 1 October 1993. The CIA's Geographic Resources Division sponsored the conference. In it, academic geographers, anthropologists and US Government officials examined ethnic conflict by region, covering Eastern Europe, the former Soviet Union, Africa, Latin America, the Middle East, Asia and South Asia. The report also discusses what these conflicts mean for US policy. It does not deal with UFOs or unidentified aerial phenomena.

  • p. 28 …not a given that some people can cooperate and share territory whereas others must be divided…
  • p. 95 …guilty of mistreating Indians who are not cooperative. It may be that Sendero Luminoso has driven…
  • p. 106 …In the Guate- malan case, it has been a cooperative movement with inputs from the Catholic…
  • p. 130 …2018/06/01 C00123268 ' the loyalty, allegiance, and cooperation of ethnic groups whose interests were perceived…
  • p. 142 …Not surprisingly, the League vacil- lated between periods of cooperation with the Con- gress and periods…
  • p. 192 …Active cooperation in this partnership could lay the foundation for full NATO membership. In short, future…
  • p. 193 …We must now extend these habits of cooperation to the East. 183 I I Approved for…
  • p. 197 …UN or the Conference on Security and Cooperation in Europe—and as long as certain rules…
  • p. 201 …Learning About Conflict and Cooperation Much of the discussion during the past few days has focused…
Approved for Release: 2018/06/01 C00123268
50 percent within the next decade as more informa-
tion is generated and stored but not necessarily ana-
lyzed or understood. Sometimes, I think “we don’t
know what we don’t know.” Such information gaps
are especially apparent when working with new
democracies, new ideologies, and problems related
to human welfare.
' How do we communicate? How we communicate is
always a problem and will remain so far among
those who attempt to understand global political
changes. The introduction of faster and cheaper
modes of communication—modems, FAX machines
and e-mail—literally place more locations on the
planet within easy reach of others that are con-
nected. It is important to know from where the infor-
mation comes and its credibility.
' CNN and photographs. CNN, out of Atlanta, is
replacing the standard news organizations and
sources. This “global newspaper of the air” reaches
all parts of the world. What viewers see are CNN ’s
views of the world. Literally, we could say that “We
are watching CNN and CNN is watching us.” The
second part ofthis instant television of the-world is
the growing importance of images conveyed to glo-
bal audiences by CNN and other television net-
works. Photos are replacing words and speeches as
the important elements in many international policy
decisions. '
~ Surveys and polls. One of the consequences of the
information revolution is the increased use of polls
and surveys at local, regional, and global levels.
Those groups surveyed may have narrow or broad
support among a state’s population; for this reason,
the geographic results of surveys and polls take on
added meaning. The use of these surveys, whether
designed and conducted fairly or manipulated, can
form an important weapon on the part of the state to
conduct specific policies in certain regions and with
certain groups.
Learning About Conflict and Cooperation
Much of the discussion during the past few days has
focused on ethnic conflict within states and regions.
As we have learned, there are multiple causes of local
and regional conflict, and conflict assumes different
forms in different locations and political settings.
There is no question that the geographies and politics
of conflict—especially ethnic and racial confiict—will
assume center stage in many regions during the next
few decades.
While we spend time and energy studying the causes
and geographies of conflict, we also would be wise to
investigate conflict resolution. That is, what are the
alternatives to keep conflict? What are useful local
and regional strategies that govemments and other
institutions—-including religious, educational, and
volunteer ones--might implement to conflict situa-
tions from emerging. Or, once conflict has surfaced,
what can be done to lessen or resolve the conflict or
prevent it from spreading. Much of the conflict resolu-
tion literature focuses on information—-who knows
what about another group. Understanding conflict and
conflict resolution is best not left only to experts in the
govermnent or universities who swdy cultural, poli-
tics, and social change. It also must be an integral part
of the educational system in early and middle school
years. Just as one learns to hate and practice discrimi-
nation, so one can learn strategies to reduce conflict,
hatred, and discrimination and see the benefits of rec-
onciliation.
Looking Ahead
In closing, I think it is important to train and retrain
professionals for the future geopolitical worlds of the
next 25 to 50 years. This entails an understanding and
appreciation of the new global diversities that the
planet’s leaders and citizens will face. There are not
one or two best solutions to problems, but potentially
a host of altematives. Somehow it is important to
develop familiarity with various models and method-
ologies ranging from scenario writing to complex
mathematical computer gaming. Specialists need to be
constantly investigating creative alternatives to exist-
ing or anticipated problems. Being bold, creative, and
imaginative are more important than being bound by
disciplinary strategems, traditional solutions, and regi-
mented ideologies and philosophies.
190
Approved for Release: 2018/06/01 C00123268

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FOIA release, from the cia-readingroom collection. The PDF is mirrored here; the original link is above. 205 pages are in the text index: search them above, or from the library's search.