Documents / FOIA release

(Estimated Pub Date) the Challenge of Ethnic Conflict to National and International Order in the 1990S: Geographic Perspectives- October 1995

Central Intelligence Agency · 1995-10-01 · 205 pages · text from the file's own layer

This Central Intelligence Agency conference report, numbered RTT 95-10039 and dated October 1995, presents the proceedings of a conference held 30 September to 1 October 1993. The CIA's Geographic Resources Division sponsored the conference. In it, academic geographers, anthropologists and US Government officials examined ethnic conflict by region, covering Eastern Europe, the former Soviet Union, Africa, Latin America, the Middle East, Asia and South Asia. The report also discusses what these conflicts mean for US policy. It does not deal with UFOs or unidentified aerial phenomena.

  • p. 37 …Russian) as far as the Bal- tic Sea, Russians fonn a clear majority of the popula…
  • p. 78 …For example, Moscow claims the Black Sea Fleet because the govemment built it. Ukrainians say the…
  • p. 85 …Nuba and the Beni Amer in Red Sea Prov- ince, continued even as the larger war…
  • p. 90 …Morton, J. “Ethnicity and Politics in Red Sea Prov- ince, Sudan,” African Afiairs, Vol. 88, No…
  • p. 104 …the coastal regions adjacent the Carib- bean Sea. Both locations are classic areas of refuge. Mayan…
  • p. 131 …This is particu- larly true in Vietnam, where disputes over the South China Sea islands have…
  • p. 132 …will link south- west China to the sea through Laos and Vietnam. Tribal rebels these days…
  • p. 172 …K9’ -.r'\.._ _ mg T"j:>$ S“-1 L- xmcn4r- '}--""‘-'--/I CD ' §'\.r" > . '/ *- v.,__ Black Sea J…
Approved for Release: 2018/06/01 C00123268
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far-reaching weapons and technology. So the Defense
Department, and the US Government in general, has
quite an interest in this phenomenon and is trying to
understand it and construct a; strategy to address it.
In attempting to grapple with this issue, initial think-
ing on a Clinton national security strategy has focused
on three elements?
' Engagement. The United States is committed to
remaining engaged in international affairs.
~ Prevention. We want to prevent or contain the
effects of ethnic conflict. We want to use all the ele-
ments of national power, development assistance,
and trade assistance to prevent conflict, and, if that
does not work, we want to act early to keep the con-
flict small. ,
~ Partnership. We want to expand the core group of
like-minded democratic countries that we forged
during the Cold War and have this group work as a
I
1 In July 1994, the Clinton Administration published its first com-
prehensive national security strategy, which used as its concep-
tional framework the elements of "engagement" and
"enlargement." _
partnership to either prevent or to contain conflict.
We need to work together in a variety of multilateral
and bilateral ways to marshal all those resources
together as a partnership for addressing the issue.
The govemment needs much more analysis to under-
stand in a robust way the phenomenon of ethnic and
national conflict. We need academic researchers to
tum toward applied robust, rigorous, and predictive
research that we can bring inside the govemment in
testable ways and see if we can motivate policy. We
are not interested in sponsoring more original
research; as Dr. Ted Gurr wrote in his book on conflict
a few years ago, there are 686 books on the theory of
conflict—we do not want a 687th. What we want are
robust, testable, applied research and models that we
can bring inside the govemment. We take this problem
seriously. It is a critical issue of US national security.
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Approved for Release: 2018/06/01 C00123268

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FOIA release, from the cia-readingroom collection. The PDF is mirrored here; the original link is under it. 205 pages are in the text index: search them above, or from the library's search.